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Cibona vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-88
27-20 24-27 11-10 21-31
Position#16
Record4-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#9
Record14-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 28· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Domestic2024
Meetings · Cibona v Mega Basket
21 Apr 2025
CIB83
MEG88
24 Nov 2023
CIB69
MEG83
29 Jan 2023
CIB72
MEG106
04 Oct 2021
CIB89
MEG84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 76
H21/03
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
83avg 76
A23/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-82
98
82
+16
96avg 76
H28/03
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 76
H30/03
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
103-89
103
89
+14
115avg 76
H04/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
76avg 76
H07/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
82avg 76
A09/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
67avg 76
H11/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 76
A13/04
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
65avg 76
A18/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-25
24-17
27-25
24-23
12-22
23-18
24-20
24-25
27-20
12-21
35-16
13-30
20-20
34-25
15-21
36-21
19-23
25-21
23-24
25-30
19-24
11-29
26-24
19-25
25-27
25-26
18-25
18-26
23-25
18-14
15-22
23-22
27-28
10-28
21-18
13-16
13-22
33-17
12-30
178.1Avg total
85.3Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.788.8165.5-12.115%
Season at home (13)74.385.2159.5-10.923%
Season away (14)78.992.1171.0-13.37%
Last 10 (10)85.392.8178.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)78.895.6174.4-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.289.0165.2-12.812%
vs Similar (2)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
vs Weaker (11)89.281.0170.2+8.273%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 74
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
89-48
89
48
+41
95avg 74
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
48avg 74
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 74
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 74
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 74
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 74
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 74
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 74
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 74
H15/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
18-23
17-25
17-20
22-9
25-15
22-10
20-14
22-31
11-18
18-15
12-19
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
159.6Avg total
81.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.481.5164.0+0.952%
Season at home (14)82.680.0162.6+2.657%
Season away (13)82.283.2165.4-0.946%
Last 10 (10)81.278.4159.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.280.4159.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.186.3163.4-9.220%
vs Similar (8)77.882.8160.5-5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.677.7165.4+9.973%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
CibonaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H21/03
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H28/03
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H30/03
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H04/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H07/04
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H11/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A13/04
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Premijer liga
88.9Avg total
41.4Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.085.3-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.045.786.7-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.283.8-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.447.588.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.049.090.0-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.346.083.3-8.712%-
vs Similar (2)45.552.598.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (11)44.042.086.0+2.073%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
86.7Avg total
43.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.484.5-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.382.3+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.686.7-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.286.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.289.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.243.983.1-4.730%-
vs Similar (8)40.847.087.8-6.212%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.339.584.7+5.864%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.8
57.4%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.9
42.1%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
75.6%12.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.7
57.5%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.9
36.5%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.3
71.5%
75.6%13.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cibona
LLLLLWLWLL
Mega Basket
WWWLLWLLWW
#16
League position
#9
-9.6
Net rating
+4.0
111.3
Offensive rating
107.8
121.0
Defensive rating
103.8
59.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.7%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.1%
3-point %
36.5%
71.7%
Assist %
71.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 107.8Defence121.0 · 103.8Shooting59.9% · 56.3%3-point %42.1% · 36.5%Ball care17.9% · 19.7%Off. rebounds19.3% · 27.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Cibona   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cibona wins
5
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Mega Basket v Cibona88-58
11/03/24Mega Basket v Cibona80-76
24/11/23Cibona v Mega Basket69-83
29/01/23Cibona v Mega Basket72-106
23/10/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-100 OT
09/01/22Mega Basket v Cibona93-89
04/10/21Cibona v Mega Basket89-84 OT
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25AZadar71-85
13/04/25ACedevita Olimpija81-96
11/04/25HSplit74-87
09/04/25ACedevita Junior87-103
07/04/25HCrvena zvezda81-107
04/04/25HDubrovnik103-89
30/03/25HBuducnost82-96
28/03/25HDinamo Zagreb98-82
23/03/25AKvarner91-95 OT
21/03/25HIgokea85-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90
14/02/25APartizan63-83
13/02/25HDunav89-48
09/02/25HSplit84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cibona
ABA League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%23%7%
Points / game76.774.378.9
Allowed / game88.885.292.1
Point differential-12.1-10.9-13.3
Avg total165.5159.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game82.482.682.2
Allowed / game81.580.083.2
Point differential+0.9+2.6-0.9
Avg total164.0162.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)75% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost2825389%90.977.6+13.4
2 Partizan2824486%91.074.8+16.3
3 Dubai2823582%87.877.2+10.6
4 Crvena zvezda2720774%88.678.7+9.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija28181064%85.179.7+5.4
6 Igokea28181064%86.686.5+0.1
7 Spartak Subotica28151354%84.683.0+1.6
8 Mega Basket27141352%82.481.5+0.9
9 FMP Beograd28141450%79.585.0-5.4
10 Zadar27121544%75.975.8+0.1
11 Studentski Centar27101737%85.387.9-2.6
12 Borac Mozzart2891932%75.383.1-7.8
13 Split2882029%76.583.1-6.6
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2852318%82.288.3-6.1
15 Cibona2742315%76.788.8-12.1
16 Mornar Bar272257%74.893.0-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cibona2724112183
Mega Basket2027103188
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