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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 75-74
24-25 19-18 14-15 18-16
Position#9
Record11-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#10
Record12-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 76
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
113-83
113
83
+30
118avg 76
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
89-48
89
48
+41
95avg 76
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
48avg 76
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 76
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 76
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 76
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 76
H23/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
12-29
22-22
15-27
17-17
26-16
33-19
29-20
25-28
32-14
18-23
17-25
17-20
22-9
25-15
22-10
20-14
22-31
11-18
18-15
12-19
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
163.7Avg total
82.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.281.7164.0+0.546%
Season at home (12)82.179.7161.8+2.450%
Season away (12)82.483.8166.2-1.342%
Last 10 (10)82.681.1163.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)77.482.8160.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.286.7163.9-9.523%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.083.0158.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (10)88.477.9166.3+10.570%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 75
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 75
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 75
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 75
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 75
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 75
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
69avg 75
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
99-71
99
71
+28
98avg 75
H21/03
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
68avg 75
A23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
94-62
94
62
+32
91avg 75
H27/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
10-20
31-19
13-19
22-29
13-8
16-21
16-14
27-20
26-16
17-21
23-16
25-18
25-10
21-19
20-20
9-16
10-15
25-16
15-17
16-18
27-22
24-13
25-16
23-20
13-14
18-15
20-8
12-7
28-15
21-25
22-9
23-13
147.6Avg total
78.3Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.775.1151.8+1.550%
Season at home (13)75.271.9147.1+3.254%
Season away (11)78.578.9157.4-0.545%
Last 10 (10)78.369.3147.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)81.264.4145.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.090.3166.3-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.370.5143.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (20)78.865.5144.4+13.385%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
86.5Avg total
44.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.283.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.481.3+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.986.0-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.286.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.885.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.444.183.5-4.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.547.385.8-8.80%-
vs Weaker (10)45.538.483.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A16/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/03
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/03
Premijer liga
74.5Avg total
39.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.076.4+6.380%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.832.777.4+12.192%-
Last 30 away (18)39.136.675.7+2.472%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.674.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.875.2+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.344.082.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.037.077.0+3.083%-
vs Weaker (20)42.032.874.8+9.285%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.3
57.2%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
36.9%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
75.6%14.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.1%
54.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
75.6%14.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLWLLWWWLL
Zadar
WWWLWWWLLL
#9
League position
#10
+1.7
Net rating
+12.0
109.4
Offensive rating
107.1
107.6
Defensive rating
95.0
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.9%
3-point %
32.2%
72.9%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.1Defence107.6 · 95.0Shooting56.3% · 50.1%3-point %36.9% · 32.2%Ball care18.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 36.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
3
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Zadar v Mega Basket65-68
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90
14/02/25APartizan63-83
13/02/25HDunav89-48
09/02/25HSplit84-82
01/02/25AMornar Bar113-83
27/01/25HDubai66-95
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HZabok94-62
23/03/25AAlkar63-44
21/03/25HFMP Beograd99-71
16/03/25ACedevita Olimpija75-80 OT
14/03/25HGKK Sibenka75-65
09/03/25AOsijek91-71
06/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto72-63
02/03/25ACrvena zvezda76-87
28/02/25AKvarner68-79
12/02/25ASplit70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game82.282.182.4
Allowed / game81.779.783.8
Point differential+0.5+2.4-1.3
Avg total164.0161.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW54%
AwayLLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%54%45%
Points / game76.775.278.5
Allowed / game75.171.978.9
Point differential+1.5+3.2-0.5
Avg total151.8147.1157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2421388%91.974.0+17.9
2 Buducnost2421388%90.276.0+14.2
3 Dubai2520580%87.877.6+10.2
4 Crvena zvezda2419579%88.878.4+10.4
5 Igokea2416867%84.484.9-0.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija2415962%83.279.7+3.6
7 Zadar24121250%76.775.1+1.5
8 Spartak Subotica24121250%83.882.5+1.3
9 FMP Beograd25121348%78.985.3-6.4
10 Mega Basket24111346%82.281.7+0.5
11 Studentski Centar2491538%83.785.5-1.8
12 Split2481633%77.183.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2481633%75.983.3-7.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2442017%81.988.7-6.8
15 Cibona2442017%76.187.5-11.4
16 Mornar Bar241234%74.994.7-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2419141875
Zadar2518151674
← all games of the day
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