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Crvena zvezda vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-72
33-18 16-18 17-13 15-23
Position#5
Record17-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#9
Record11-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23· Beogradska arena
Domestic2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket
25 Oct 2025
CZV94
MEG73
17 Mar 2025
CZV81
MEG72
03 May 2024
CZV103
MEG73
25 Mar 2024
CZV83
MEG89
18 Feb 2023
CZV96
MEG79
18 Dec 2022
CZV92
MEG58
14 Jun 2022
CZV88
MEG66
10 Jun 2022
CZV114
MEG78
19 Feb 2022
CZV72
MEG53
01 Nov 2021
CZV81
MEG67
13 Jun 2021
CZV77
MEG65
09 Jun 2021
CZV98
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 81
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
81avg 81
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
113avg 81
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
84-63
84
63
+21
87avg 81
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 81
H02/03
ABA League
Bayern
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
75avg 81
A06/03
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A09/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
25-22
19-20
18-16
11-19
25-23
21-21
23-17
30-21
25-23
23-10
26-16
22-16
19-18
22-21
21-8
16-20
24-17
18-20
19-20
22-23
21-21
17-23
20-19
20-10
19-31
19-13
29-22
22-20
15-32
18-25
27-23
18-24
21-17
14-13
16-20
24-23
21-25
19-20
16-14
164.2Avg total
84.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.779.0167.7+9.777%
Season at home (11)92.580.1172.5+12.482%
Season away (11)85.077.9162.9+7.173%
Last 10 (10)84.180.1164.2+4.050%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (13)82.184.5166.5-2.446%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.673.1158.7+12.587%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
94avg 76
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 76
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 76
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
113-83
113
83
+30
118avg 76
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
89-48
89
48
+41
95avg 76
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
48avg 76
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 76
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 76
H09/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
21-21
15-19
19-22
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
12-29
22-22
15-27
17-17
26-16
33-19
29-20
25-28
32-14
18-23
17-25
17-20
22-9
25-15
22-10
20-14
22-31
11-18
18-15
12-19
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
170.2Avg total
85.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.281.8165.0+1.450%
Season at home (11)83.079.5162.5+3.555%
Season away (11)83.484.0167.4-0.645%
Last 10 (10)85.984.3170.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)83.276.4159.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.889.0166.8-11.225%
vs Similar (7)76.481.3157.7-4.943%
vs Weaker (10)88.477.9166.3+10.570%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Crvena zvezdaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/02
Korac cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/03
ABA League
Bayern
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/03
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/03
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
41.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.681.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.039.582.5+3.556%-
Last 30 away (12)41.239.780.8+1.558%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.883.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (13)40.240.981.2-0.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.737.380.0+5.373%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
87.5Avg total
45.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.183.8-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.239.081.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.986.0-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.887.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.244.283.5-5.033%-
vs Similar (7)39.446.485.9-7.014%-
vs Weaker (10)45.538.483.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.1
55.8%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.7
76.6%
75.6%17.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.9
59.2%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.8
37.5%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.215.9
71.6%
75.6%15.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LLLWLWWWLW
Mega Basket
WLLWWWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
+6.5
Net rating
+2.4
113.3
Offensive rating
113.5
106.8
Defensive rating
111.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
58.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.5%
3-point %
37.5%
75.3%
Assist %
71.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 113.5Defence106.8 · 111.1Shooting54.0% · 58.0%3-point %34.5% · 37.5%Ball care16.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HOlimpia Milano80-82
09/03/25ACedevita Olimpija69-74
06/03/25ABayern82-100
02/03/25HZadar87-76
27/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
15/02/25HPartizan89-83 OT
14/02/25HFMP Beograd84-63
12/02/25HBorac Mozzart104-70
10/02/25HBuducnost89-96 OT
06/02/25AAlba Berlin77-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90
14/02/25APartizan63-83
13/02/25HDunav89-48
09/02/25HSplit84-82
01/02/25AMornar Bar113-83
27/01/25HDubai66-95
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
06/01/25HPartizan90-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL77%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%82%73%
Points / game88.792.585.0
Allowed / game79.080.177.9
Point differential+9.7+12.4+7.1
Avg total167.7172.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%64%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLLWW55%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game83.283.083.4
Allowed / game81.879.584.0
Point differential+1.4+3.5-0.6
Avg total165.0162.5167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2320387%92.073.6+18.4
2 Buducnost2320387%90.475.7+14.7
3 Dubai2318578%87.778.3+9.4
4 Crvena zvezda2217577%88.779.0+9.7
5 Igokea2315865%84.384.9-0.7
6 Cedevita Olimpija2314961%83.380.0+3.3
7 Spartak Subotica23121152%83.982.3+1.6
8 FMP Beograd23121152%80.084.8-4.7
9 Mega Basket22111150%83.281.8+1.4
10 Zadar23111248%75.775.3+0.4
11 Studentski Centar2381535%82.985.4-2.5
12 Borac Mozzart2381535%76.082.7-6.6
13 Split2271532%76.182.1-6.0
14 Cibona2241818%75.487.4-12.0
15 KK Krka Novo mesto2341917%82.188.5-6.4
16 Mornar Bar231224%74.594.9-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda3316171581
Mega Basket1818132372
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