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Partizan vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-77
18-23 18-18 19-19 20-17
Position#11
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game84.6
Partizan
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Position#8
Record11-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Partizan v Virtus Bologna
23 Mar 2027
PAR v VIR
upcoming
17 Dec 2025
PAR68
VIR86
23 Oct 2024
PAR69
VIR70
28 Dec 2023
PAR75
VIR77
20 Oct 2022
PAR90
VIR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
85avg 84
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
105-61
105
61
+44
109avg 84
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
85avg 84
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 84
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 84
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 84
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 84
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 84
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
70avg 84
A21/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
58avg 84
A24/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-17
15-18
24-22
23-10
30-9
26-14
26-28
16-13
16-22
19-16
21-21
20-25
19-19
22-18
21-7
31-13
22-19
20-28
26-16
29-21
29-23
18-20
17-21
21-28
29-13
28-23
18-19
19-14
14-20
20-10
19-23
19-26
17-22
15-28
24-15
13-20
21-27
16-16
18-21
165.9Avg total
87.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.884.6170.4+1.256%
Season at home (7)86.982.4169.3+4.486%
Season away (9)85.086.3171.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)87.178.8165.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.092.0179.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.885.7172.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (14)92.173.1165.3+19.071%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 81
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
101avg 81
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
86avg 81
A23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
18-24
20-26
10-20
29-17
18-19
25-18
27-16
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
17-19
11-21
19-15
22-12
21-26
26-11
7-23
17-19
28-16
23-12
16-20
24-22
163.0Avg total
84.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.880.7163.4+2.169%
Season at home (9)85.178.7163.8+6.489%
Season away (7)79.783.3163.0-3.643%
Last 10 (10)84.178.9163.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)81.276.4157.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.278.3156.5-0.267%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.182.1167.2+3.064%
vs Weaker (13)89.376.1165.4+13.277%
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
PartizanVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-19
53
19
+34
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/12
ABA League
80.9Avg total
42.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.340.184.4+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.284.5+2.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.280.9+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.345.084.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.644.287.8-0.623%-
vs Weaker (14)44.936.481.3+8.464%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
42.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.583.1+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.982.6+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.440.283.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.083.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.678.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.382.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.442.086.4+2.455%-
vs Weaker (13)44.935.780.6+9.277%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.0
58.4%
53.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.9
38.2%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.115.8
82.7%
77.4%15.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.7
40.1%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
77.4%12.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Partizan
LLWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWLWWWL
#11
League position
#8
+11.9
Net rating
+5.7
118.1
Offensive rating
114.9
106.2
Defensive rating
109.1
58.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
40.1%
54.4%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 114.9Defence106.2 · 109.1Shooting58.0% · 55.4%3-point %38.2% · 40.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Partizan   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Partizan wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/03/23Virtus Bologna v Partizan79-88
20/10/22Partizan v Virtus Bologna90-62
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AZadar68-84
21/12/23AReal Madrid75-91
19/12/23AValencia72-67
16/12/23HBuducnost96-83
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-85
11/12/23HStudentski Centar99-76
07/12/23HOlimpia Milano82-69
05/12/23HMonaco89-85 OT
02/12/23AFMP Beograd105-61
30/11/23HPanathinaikos92-87 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23APistoia91-70
21/12/23AValencia71-79
19/12/23HOlympiacos69-67
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
03/12/23HTortona99-70
30/11/23ABayern76-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Partizan
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%86%33%
Points / game85.886.985.0
Allowed / game84.682.486.3
Point differential+1.2+4.4-1.3
Avg total170.4169.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %19%29%11%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game82.885.179.7
Allowed / game80.778.783.3
Point differential+2.1+6.4-3.6
Avg total163.4163.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%88.174.4+13.7
2 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%82.880.7+2.1
4 Panathinaikos169756%82.180.4+1.8
5 Partizan169756%85.884.6+1.2
6 Monaco169756%80.779.8+0.9
7 Fenerbahce169756%81.781.1+0.6
8 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
9 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%87.087.8-0.8
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern167944%79.281.3-2.1
13 Anadolu Efes167944%81.186.9-5.9
14 Olimpia Milano1661038%79.277.8+1.4
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1651131%79.181.4-2.3
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1621412%78.688.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Partizan1818192075
Virtus Bologna2318191777
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