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Pistoia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-91
16-28 12-23 20-16 22-24
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#2
Record8-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.4
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Bologna
19 Apr 2025
PIS62
VIR86
23 Dec 2023
PIS70
VIR91
29 Sep 2019
PIS78
VIR88
16 Dec 2018
PIS71
VIR81
29 Apr 2018
PIS61
VIR74
10 Apr 2016
PIS88
VIR76
09 Nov 2014
PIS72
VIR73
04 Jan 2014
PIS80
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 72
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 72
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 72
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 72
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 72
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 72
H17/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
14-22
23-22
24-20
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
160.6Avg total
80.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.880.4160.2-0.750%
Season at home (6)75.375.3150.7+0.050%
Season away (6)84.285.5169.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)80.280.4160.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)81.678.2159.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.884.8170.5+1.075%
vs Similar (22)73.175.3148.4-2.250%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 81
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 81
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
101avg 81
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
26-16
18-30
18-13
28-20
18-24
20-26
10-20
29-17
18-19
25-18
27-16
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
17-19
11-21
19-15
22-12
21-26
26-11
7-23
17-19
162.7Avg total
82.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.878.4166.2+9.467%
Season at home (6)92.876.3169.2+16.583%
Season away (6)82.880.5163.3+2.350%
Last 10 (10)82.580.2162.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)79.078.8157.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.278.3156.5-0.267%
vs Similar (11)85.182.1167.2+3.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.276.6165.8+12.675%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
PistoiaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
82.5Avg total
40.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.479.3-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.736.173.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.044.284.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.043.885.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (22)38.139.477.5-1.341%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
41.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.782.6+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.982.6+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)42.140.582.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.283.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.382.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (11)44.442.086.4+2.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.436.380.8+8.175%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.4%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
76.3%12.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.9
51.5%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.1
40.1%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
76.3%13.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWWWWLWWLL
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLWWWLL
#10
League position
#2
-0.5
Net rating
+4.7
106.8
Offensive rating
113.9
107.4
Defensive rating
109.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
40.1%
53.4%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 113.9Defence107.4 · 109.2Shooting53.2% · 55.0%3-point %37.4% · 40.1%Ball care15.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84
15/10/23AScafati77-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AValencia71-79
19/12/23HOlympiacos69-67
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
03/12/23HTortona99-70
30/11/23ABayern76-90
26/11/23ABrindisi75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.875.384.2
Allowed / game80.475.385.5
Point differential-0.7+0.0-1.3
Avg total160.2150.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game87.892.882.8
Allowed / game78.476.380.5
Point differential+9.4+16.5+2.3
Avg total166.2169.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1310377%87.475.5+11.8
2 Venezia1310377%82.077.4+4.6
3 Trento139469%86.482.2+4.2
4 Virtus Bologna128467%87.878.4+9.4
5 Olimpia Milano127558%80.376.8+3.6
6 Reggiana127558%84.682.1+2.5
7 Basket Napoli137654%86.182.9+3.2
8 Cremona126650%85.181.5+3.6
9 Pistoia126650%79.880.4-0.7
10 Scafati136746%87.388.5-1.2
11 Pesaro125742%80.886.3-5.5
12 Sassari125742%76.985.7-8.8
13 Tortona135838%77.283.0-5.8
14 Treviso134931%79.582.7-3.2
15 Varese123925%82.490.3-7.9
16 Brindisi1321115%73.083.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1612202270
Virtus Bologna2823162491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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