PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Baskonia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-91
15-24 28-18 17-21 21-28
Position#9
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#8
Record9-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Virtus Bologna
08 Jan 2027
BAS v VIR
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
BAS87
VIR76
12 Dec 2024
BAS81
VIR82
19 Apr 2024
BAS89
VIR77
14 Dec 2023
BAS81
VIR91
22 Dec 2022
BAS90
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 67
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 67
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 67
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 67
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
98-84
98
84
+14
101avg 67
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 67
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 67
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 67
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
108avg 67
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
94-82
94
82
+12
83avg 67
H12/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
22-19
31-16
15-16
15-19
21-18
26-20
21-17
19-16
17-19
23-27
16-15
29-12
22-29
18-19
25-26
20-21
24-31
23-18
31-14
22-19
16-18
16-24
18-16
10-18
28-19
19-18
23-24
26-18
26-25
15-19
20-23
22-25
34-19
22-29
26-27
14-20
23-23
25-25
32-14
170.0Avg total
87.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.182.2165.3+0.862%
Season at home (8)80.981.1162.0-0.250%
Season away (5)86.684.0170.6+2.680%
Last 10 (10)87.582.5170.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)87.484.6172.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.881.8163.7+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.585.7170.1-1.253%
vs Weaker (9)85.082.0167.0+3.067%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 81
A17/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 81
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 81
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
101avg 81
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
24-14
20-23
21-16
15-21
27-24
21-17
13-28
26-20
23-24
23-19
16-13
25-27
21-17
24-14
17-21
13-24
26-16
18-30
18-13
28-20
18-24
20-26
10-20
29-17
18-19
25-18
27-16
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
166.1Avg total
84.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.181.8165.9+2.269%
Season at home (8)87.180.1167.2+7.088%
Season away (5)79.284.6163.8-5.440%
Last 10 (10)84.781.4166.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.080.6160.6-0.660%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.080.3163.3+2.762%
vs Weaker (11)89.675.8165.5+13.882%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
BaskoniaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/11
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H26/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A01/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/12
ACB
84.8Avg total
43.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.483.6+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.182.1+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.884.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.239.385.5+6.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.540.881.3-0.353%-
vs Weaker (9)42.341.683.9+0.856%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
87.5Avg total
44.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.582.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.338.683.9+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.581.0+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.641.283.8+1.454%-
vs Weaker (11)45.336.081.3+9.382%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.117.2
57.1%
53.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.312.4
40.9%
36.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
77.4%15.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.6
38.1%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
77.4%13.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWWLWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#8
+8.1
Net rating
+4.8
121.4
Offensive rating
115.5
113.3
Defensive rating
110.7
59.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.9%
3-point %
38.1%
62.8%
Assist %
64.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 115.5Defence113.3 · 110.7Shooting59.3% · 55.6%3-point %40.9% · 38.1%Ball care17.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 32.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Baskonia wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Virtus Bologna v Baskonia88-83
22/12/22Baskonia v Virtus Bologna90-79
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HPalencia94-82
10/12/23HTenerife104-100
08/12/23HCrvena zvezda87-85
06/12/23HFenerbahce80-79
03/12/23AJoventut Badalona72-77
01/12/23AValencia98-84
26/11/23HManresa94-86
24/11/23HMonaco75-77
19/11/23HValencia83-74
17/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
03/12/23HTortona99-70
30/11/23ABayern76-90
26/11/23ABrindisi75-83
23/11/23HFenerbahce87-79
20/11/23HBrescia88-76
17/11/23APanathinaikos76-90
14/11/23HOlimpia Milano86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%50%80%
Points / game83.180.986.6
Allowed / game82.281.184.0
Point differential+0.8-0.2+2.6
Avg total165.3162.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%88%40%
Points / game84.187.179.2
Allowed / game81.880.184.6
Point differential+2.2+7.0-5.4
Avg total165.9167.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%89.275.8+13.4
2 Barcelona1310377%83.877.6+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna139469%84.181.8+2.2
4 Monaco138562%79.778.4+1.3
5 Baskonia138562%83.182.2+0.8
6 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%86.587.5-1.0
8 Olympiacos137654%78.075.8+2.2
9 Valencia137654%75.175.5-0.5
10 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
11 Panathinaikos136746%81.480.5+0.8
12 Fenerbahce136746%80.881.8-1.0
13 Bayern136746%79.280.8-1.7
14 Crvena zvezda145936%82.480.3+2.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1321115%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1421214%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1528172181
Virtus Bologna2418212891
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.