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Valencia vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-72
14-19 20-14 10-20 23-19
Position#14
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#11
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Partizan
07 Jan 2027
VAL v PAR
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
VAL86
PAR73
19 Dec 2023
VAL67
PAR72
19 Jan 2023
VAL89
PAR81
17 Oct 2018
VAL79
PAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 72
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
71avg 72
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 72
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 72
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 72
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 72
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
78-55
78
55
+23
75avg 72
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
no box
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
63-56
63
56
+7
58avg 72
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
87avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-21
20-26
17-21
18-27
17-22
18-23
20-18
25-20
31-27
26-17
19-13
21-20
31-24
18-23
14-31
17-19
22-24
20-17
20-25
25-19
31-21
16-25
13-16
18-23
17-10
18-8
25-14
23-7
18-19
12-20
17-24
14-15
21-11
12-12
16-18
19-20
13-18
29-27
25-17
159.2Avg total
80.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.274.1148.4+0.157%
Season at home (7)77.675.9153.4+1.771%
Season away (7)70.972.4143.3-1.643%
Last 10 (10)80.878.4159.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)79.470.2149.6+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.174.8146.9-2.750%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.478.4157.8+1.067%
vs Weaker (8)80.276.1156.4+4.162%
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
89avg 85
A20/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
98avg 85
A24/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
101-56
101
56
+45
111avg 85
H27/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
85avg 85
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
105-61
105
61
+44
109avg 85
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
85avg 85
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 85
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 85
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 85
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 85
H16/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-29
21-22
20-22
22-22
23-28
29-14
20-36
24-16
31-13
31-14
15-13
20-21
19-17
15-18
24-22
23-10
30-9
26-14
26-28
16-13
16-22
19-16
21-21
20-25
19-19
22-18
21-7
31-13
22-19
20-28
26-16
29-21
29-23
18-20
17-21
21-28
29-13
28-23
18-19
173.9Avg total
94.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.685.4173.0+2.157%
Season at home (7)86.982.4169.3+4.486%
Season away (7)88.388.4176.7-0.129%
Last 10 (10)94.279.7173.9+14.580%
Last 5 (5)91.879.6171.4+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)93.092.5185.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.285.6170.8-0.453%
vs Weaker (13)94.072.3166.3+21.777%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValenciaPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/12
ACB
80.0Avg total
41.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.476.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.879.1+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.735.974.6+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.280.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.672.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.337.673.9-1.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.436.578.9+5.983%-
vs Weaker (8)39.138.477.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A20/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A24/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H27/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-19
53
19
+34
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/12
ABA League
85.7Avg total
47.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.284.1+3.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.484.6+3.950%-
Last 30 away (14)43.639.983.6+3.743%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.385.7+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.285.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.043.584.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.943.786.5-0.827%-
vs Weaker (13)45.735.681.3+10.169%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.0
51.7%
53.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
36.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
77.4%15.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.023.1
62.4%
53.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.5
41.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.519.1
81.3%
77.4%19.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLLWLL
Partizan
WWWWWWWWLL
#14
League position
#11
+0.8
Net rating
+20.8
108.8
Offensive rating
127.5
108.0
Defensive rating
106.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
62.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.5%
3-point %
41.3%
60.6%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 127.5Defence108.0 · 106.7Shooting50.0% · 62.3%3-point %31.5% · 41.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
0
Partizan wins
DateGameScore
19/01/23Valencia v Partizan89-81
01/12/22Partizan v Valencia96-100 OT
21/11/18Partizan v Valencia61-69
17/10/18Valencia v Partizan79-71
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra86-82
15/12/23AOlympiacos63-56
10/12/23AMurcia85-77 OT
08/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne78-55
06/12/23HCrvena zvezda85-81
03/12/23HBilbao79-85
01/12/23HBaskonia84-98
25/11/23APalencia101-77
23/11/23APanathinaikos73-90
19/11/23ABaskonia74-83
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HBuducnost96-83
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-85
11/12/23HStudentski Centar99-76
07/12/23HOlimpia Milano82-69
05/12/23HMonaco89-85 OT
02/12/23AFMP Beograd105-61
30/11/23HPanathinaikos92-87 OT
27/11/23HBorac Mozzart101-56
24/11/23AAnadolu Efes94-100
20/11/23ACedevita Olimpija91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game74.277.670.9
Allowed / game74.175.972.4
Point differential+0.1+1.7-1.6
Avg total148.4153.4143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Partizan
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game87.686.988.3
Allowed / game85.482.488.4
Point differential+2.1+4.4-0.1
Avg total173.0169.3176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %21%29%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%87.974.4+13.5
2 Virtus Bologna1511473%83.580.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1510567%83.178.2+4.9
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv159660%86.787.1-0.4
5 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
6 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
7 Valencia148657%74.274.1+0.1
8 Baskonia158753%82.883.3-0.5
9 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
10 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
11 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
12 Olympiacos157847%75.874.5+1.3
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Olimpia Milano145936%79.779.1+0.6
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Crvena zvezda1551033%80.779.7+1.0
17 Alba Berlin1531220%76.185.4-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1420102367
Partizan1914201972
← all games of the day
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