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Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-75
26-23 26-12 16-21 15-19
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#11
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru
30 Oct 2026
PAUL83
BAUR75
29 Apr 2026
PAUL71
BAUR62
21 Apr 2026
PAUL80
BAUR77
20 Oct 2025
PAUL66
BAUR59
30 Apr 2025
PAUL54
BAUR84
22 Apr 2025
PAUL93
BAUR77
28 Oct 2024
PAUL79
BAUR83
08 Jan 2024
PAUL55
BAUR66
19 Nov 2022
PAUL71
BAUR68
04 Mar 2022
PAUL53
BAUR65
02 May 2021
PAUL78
BAUR65
30 Apr 2021
PAUL77
BAUR87
06 Feb 2021
PAUL69
BAUR64
28 Feb 2020
PAUL88
BAUR93
21 Mar 2019
PAUL74
BAUR76
14 May 2018
PAUL80
BAUR77
08 May 2018
PAUL95
BAUR64
05 May 2018
PAUL59
BAUR70
20 Jan 2018
PAUL88
BAUR79
10 Jun 2017
PAUL64
BAUR81
27 May 2017
PAUL82
BAUR78
16 Nov 2016
PAUL90
BAUR66
19 Dec 2015
PAUL80
BAUR77
24 Jan 2015
PAUL89
BAUR90
23 Nov 2013
PAUL87
BAUR66
17 Jan 2013
PAUL76
BAUR73
16 Feb 2012
PAUL78
BAUR63
08 Apr 2011
PAUL62
BAUR86
21 Nov 2010
PAUL88
BAUR86
03 Apr 2009
PAUL93
BAUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.55
Implied61.6%
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.50
Implied38.4%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 73
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
105avg 73
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 73
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 73
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#16
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 73
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 73
H28/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
16-8
25-28
18-28
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
156.8Avg total
77.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.775.7148.3-3.067%
Season at home (1)65.062.0127.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)76.582.5159.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)77.379.5156.8-2.250%
Last 5 (5)72.077.4149.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.782.3159.0-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.282.2166.5+2.069%
vs Weaker (10)86.675.5162.1+11.180%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 75
H06/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
63-95
63
95
-32
50avg 75
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-94
65
94
-29
58avg 75
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
62-71
62
71
-9
47avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
70avg 75
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
83-68
83
68
+15
81avg 75
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 75
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
18-21
14-25
22-24
19-27
24-12
9-27
11-29
23-31
14-17
14-21
14-25
13-21
8-16
28-25
28-18
17-31
22-20
15-25
26-19
24-14
29-17
16-26
19-18
16-15
16-20
18-20
12-16
20-19
23-17
18-22
21-23
23-22
11-20
25-17
24-9
15-20
19-19
9-23
18-17
157.7Avg total
74.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.376.0151.3-0.767%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.550%
Season away (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.882.9157.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)75.274.8150.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.884.9165.7-4.144%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.583.3166.8+0.242%
vs Weaker (9)85.375.3160.7+10.089%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148Actual: Over 148
Over 148
no forecast
@ 1.61
Under 148
no forecast
@ 2.20
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.20
Over/Under 153.25 · main lineActual: Over 153.25
Over 153.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 153.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 158Push
Over 158
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under 158
no forecast
@ 1.61
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Pinnacle
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathon Be
1.54
Bet365
1.41

📊 3. Team Totals

Paulistano total 72.5Actual: Paulistano over 72.5
Over 72.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
Under 72.5
no forecast
@ 2.53
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Under
1xBet
2.53
Paulistano total 77 · main lineActual: Paulistano over 77
Over 77
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 77
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.72
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.72
Paulistano total 80.5Actual: Paulistano over 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.41
Bauru total 71.5Actual: Bauru over 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.07
Bauru total 75.5 · main lineActual: Bauru under 75.5
Over 75.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under 75.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.56
Bauru total 79.5Actual: Bauru under 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.30

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Paulistano -6.5Actual: Paulistano -6.5
PAUL -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
BAUR +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
PAUL
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.22
BAUR
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathon Be
1.52
1xBet
1.46
Spread Paulistano -3.5 · main lineActual: Paulistano -3.5
PAUL -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
BAUR +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
PAUL
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
BAUR
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Spread Paulistano -1Actual: Paulistano -1
PAUL -1
no forecast
@ 1.58
BAUR +1
no forecast
@ 2.25
Best 5 market prices
PAUL
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathon Be
1.54
BAUR
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
PaulistanoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#16
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#7
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
75.4Avg total
38.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.75
Last 30 (30)41.638.479.9+3.260%57%
Last 30 at home (14)43.336.579.8+6.879%50%
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.144%62%
Last 10 (10)38.137.375.4+0.870%50%
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.639.178.7+0.443%71%
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.938.280.2+3.762%54%
vs Weaker (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%50%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/10
NBB
78.7Avg total
38.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.75
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.057%67%
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.086.3+4.367%80%
Last 30 away (15)36.538.875.3-2.347%53%
Last 10 (10)38.740.078.7-1.340%70%
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.640%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.442.785.1-0.256%67%
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.840.279.1-1.433%67%
vs Weaker (9)42.236.778.9+5.689%67%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Paulistano win
PAUL win
no forecast
@ 1.63
BAUR win
no forecast
@ 2.28
1st half Spread Paulistano -2 · main lineActual: Paulistano -2
PAUL -2
no forecast
@ 1.90
BAUR +2
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Over/Under 75.75 · main lineActual: Over 75.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Paulistano 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Paulistano over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 2.20
Bauru 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Bauru under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.94
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: PAUL + total 76.5
PAUL & over
no forecast
@ 3.25
PAUL & under
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half: Draw + total 76.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: BAUR + total 76.5
BAUR & over
no forecast
@ 4.20
BAUR & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.67
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Over/Under 77Actual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 2.09
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Paulistano -3Actual: Paulistano -3
PAUL -3
no forecast
@ 2.09
BAUR +3
no forecast
@ 1.68
1st half Spread Paulistano -1Actual: Paulistano -1
PAUL -1
no forecast
@ 1.73
BAUR +1
no forecast
@ 2.03
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.25
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Over 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half Spread Paulistano -4.5Actual: Paulistano -4.5
PAUL -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
BAUR +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Paulistano (regulation)
PAUL
no forecast
@ 1.68
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
BAUR
no forecast
@ 2.30

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAUL win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
BAUR win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAUL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAUR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (PAUL:BAUR): PAUL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWLLLWLWW
Bauru
LWWLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
-7.8
89.1
Offensive rating
86.0
87.0
Defensive rating
93.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.7%
3-point %
28.6%
49.4%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 86.0Defence87.0 · 93.8Shooting49.8% · 47.1%3-point %33.7% · 28.6%Ball care17.5% · 14.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Paulistano   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Paulistano v Bauru71-62
26/04/26Bauru v Paulistano88-75
24/04/26Bauru v Paulistano80-95
21/04/26Paulistano v Bauru80-77
15/01/26Bauru v Paulistano87-89
20/10/25Paulistano v Bauru66-59
03/05/25Bauru v Paulistano85-80 OT
30/04/25Paulistano v Bauru54-84
27/04/25Bauru v Paulistano60-62
25/04/25Bauru v Paulistano81-63
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
21/04/26HBauru80-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HMogi61-79
21/10/26HSao Jose83-68
18/10/26AFlamengo82-81
29/04/26APaulistano62-71
26/04/26HPaulistano88-75
24/04/26HPaulistano80-95
21/04/26APaulistano77-80
18/04/26ABrasilia65-94
16/04/26ARio Claro63-95
06/04/26HFranca87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.765.076.5
Allowed / game75.762.082.5
Point differential-3.0+3.0-6.0
Avg total148.3127.0159.0
Over 153.2567%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game75.372.082.0
Allowed / game76.073.581.0
Point differential-0.7-1.5+1.0
Avg total151.3145.5163.0
Over 153.2533%0%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
7 Paulistano32167%72.775.7-3.0
8 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
9 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
10 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
11 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
12 Botafogo31233%81.084.0-3.0
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Uniao Corinthians31233%72.379.0-6.7
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul3030%69.778.0-8.3
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2626161583
Bauru2312211975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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