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Paulistano vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-82
15-21 19-23 29-25 17-13
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#4
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game71.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Flamengo
15 Nov 2025
PAUL80
FLAM82
23 Dec 2024
PAUL75
FLAM89
05 Dec 2023
PAUL72
FLAM77
22 Dec 2022
PAUL84
FLAM90
03 May 2022
PAUL68
FLAM87
01 May 2022
PAUL73
FLAM80
11 Nov 2021
PAUL87
FLAM81
15 May 2021
PAUL58
FLAM69
12 May 2021
PAUL75
FLAM81
25 Feb 2021
PAUL70
FLAM84
10 Feb 2020
PAUL70
FLAM86
16 Nov 2018
PAUL97
FLAM84
14 Nov 2017
PAUL72
FLAM67
23 Feb 2017
PAUL103
FLAM96
20 Nov 2015
PAUL67
FLAM60
31 Oct 2014
PAUL91
FLAM99
08 Feb 2014
PAUL67
FLAM98
29 Apr 2013
PAUL91
FLAM100
04 Apr 2013
PAUL93
FLAM94
26 Jan 2012
PAUL90
FLAM86
27 Feb 2011
PAUL82
FLAM91
30 Jan 2009
PAUL87
FLAM96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
54-84
54
84
-30
47avg 70
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
65avg 70
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
66-59
66
59
+7
63avg 70
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
51avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 70
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 70
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
69avg 70
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 70
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 70
H13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
14-20
12-21
16-20
28-25
8-15
14-17
19-12
13-13
17-19
21-16
15-11
18-21
20-19
18-13
13-18
32-21
20-18
10-26
25-24
13-20
18-20
14-14
9-17
18-15
19-13
17-26
26-17
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
151.8Avg total
76.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.072.9151.9+6.162%
Season at home (5)79.468.4147.8+11.080%
Season away (3)78.380.3158.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.675.2151.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.072.8154.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.075.4148.4-2.440%
vs Similar (18)73.475.1148.4-1.750%
vs Weaker (7)88.978.3167.1+10.657%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 83
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
96avg 83
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 83
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
102-73
102
73
+29
101avg 83
H23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 83
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
103-77
103
77
+26
100avg 83
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
59avg 83
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 83
A05/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
112avg 83
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 83
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
22-13
21-25
17-27
32-24
28-15
20-32
22-15
19-16
16-17
23-17
22-20
19-25
22-18
33-13
28-17
20-19
24-19
19-11
25-23
22-23
24-11
22-19
35-24
14-11
17-16
14-14
24-26
28-24
17-14
29-21
14-8
24-16
24-14
24-17
29-16
32-6
17-19
22-13
15-34
163.9Avg total
90.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.071.9162.9+19.1100%
Season at home (3)94.368.7163.0+25.7100%
Season away (6)89.373.5162.8+15.8100%
Last 10 (10)90.173.8163.9+16.390%
Last 5 (5)89.469.2158.6+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.086.5169.5-3.550%
vs Similar (9)91.488.0179.4+3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.973.3160.3+13.689%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
PaulistanoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
76.3Avg total
38.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.276.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.577.2+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.075.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.476.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.836.875.6+2.060%-
vs Similar (18)37.437.374.7+0.239%-
vs Weaker (7)43.137.480.6+5.771%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli Tripoli
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bauru
#10
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A18/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/10
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A31/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A12/11
NBB
78.9Avg total
44.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.581.1+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.736.878.4+4.958%-
Last 30 away (18)45.037.982.9+7.178%-
Last 10 (10)44.334.678.9+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.830.874.6+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (9)45.641.286.8+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.635.979.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.8
47.6%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
72.8%13.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.6
58.0%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.9
37.1%
32.5%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
72.8%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWWWLLLWLL
Flamengo
WWWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#4
+2.2
Net rating
+19.8
105.2
Offensive rating
115.4
103.0
Defensive rating
95.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
56.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.9%
3-point %
37.1%
58.9%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 115.4Defence103.0 · 95.6Shooting48.4% · 56.8%3-point %32.9% · 37.1%Ball care17.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Paulistano   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paulistano wins
10
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Flamengo v Paulistano70-63
23/12/24Paulistano v Flamengo75-89
26/03/24Flamengo v Paulistano81-68
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
01/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo73-80
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76
04/11/25HSao Jose80-71
30/10/25ABrasilia54-71
28/10/25ARio Claro87-89
24/10/25HFranca69-71
20/10/25HBauru66-59
03/05/25ABauru80-85 OT
30/04/25HBauru54-84
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AFranca86-72
09/11/25HPato101-63
05/11/25AOsasco88-67
03/11/25AMogi69-67
31/10/25ACorinthians Paulista103-77
29/10/25ASao Jose88-72
23/10/25HCearense102-73
21/10/25HUnifacisa80-70
18/10/25ABauru102-86
21/09/25AAl Ahli Tripoli82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game79.079.478.3
Allowed / game72.968.480.3
Point differential+6.1+11.0-2.0
Avg total151.9147.8158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.094.389.3
Allowed / game71.968.773.5
Point differential+19.1+25.7+15.8
Avg total162.9163.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo990100%91.071.9+19.1
2 Minas87188%85.276.6+8.6
3 Mogi86275%82.066.0+16.0
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca96367%83.973.8+10.1
8 Paulistano85362%79.072.9+6.1
9 Unifacisa74357%77.077.7-0.7
10 Bauru84450%71.272.9-1.6
11 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
12 Sao Jose73443%73.773.9-0.1
13 Uniao Corinthians73443%76.185.1-9.0
14 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
15 Osasco82625%74.987.5-12.6
16 Pato92722%71.979.2-7.3
17 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
18 Cruzeiro92722%73.085.0-12.0
19 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
20 Vasco8080%67.177.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1519291780
Flamengo2123251382
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