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Paulistano vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 76-63
25-9 14-17 19-17 18-20
Position#12
Record8-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#16
Record6-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game79.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Mogi
27 Dec 2025
PAUL81
MOGI66
10 Jan 2025
PAUL76
MOGI63
27 Dec 2023
PAUL92
MOGI78
28 Jan 2022
PAUL69
MOGI62
04 Dec 2020
PAUL69
MOGI62
17 Oct 2019
PAUL94
MOGI105
13 Oct 2018
PAUL75
MOGI85
26 May 2018
PAUL88
MOGI84
24 May 2018
PAUL70
MOGI84
09 Feb 2018
PAUL84
MOGI67
27 Jan 2018
PAUL86
MOGI87
27 Jan 2017
PAUL77
MOGI78
08 Nov 2016
PAUL59
MOGI80
17 Dec 2015
PAUL84
MOGI75
18 Dec 2014
PAUL74
MOGI76
05 Dec 2013
PAUL93
MOGI89
07 Mar 2013
PAUL67
MOGI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
49-66
49
66
-17
34avg 70
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
52avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 70
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
102-87
102
87
+15
105avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H28/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-15
9-14
9-18
27-21
15-14
27-19
17-15
15-15
20-21
9-12
21-18
16-15
12-16
23-23
19-22
16-15
14-16
23-15
25-19
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
32-21
22-27
24-22
24-17
27-24
20-18
20-21
15-23
18-30
27-18
10-27
20-14
24-15
19-29
21-18
16-14
152.1Avg total
76.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.875.7153.5+2.244%
Season at home (10)79.176.8155.9+2.350%
Season away (8)76.274.2150.5+2.038%
Last 10 (10)76.975.2152.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.282.0166.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.984.1159.0-9.30%
vs Similar (14)78.472.4150.8+6.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.965.0141.9+11.967%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 62
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
84avg 62
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 62
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 62
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 62
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 62
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 62
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 62
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
81avg 62
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
50avg 62
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-19
16-28
28-23
21-22
17-20
26-12
18-31
24-18
16-18
18-23
16-12
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
14-18
19-22
19-18
17-18
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
16-25
15-22
25-22
29-28
11-19
17-21
17-23
15-18
154.8Avg total
74.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.479.7152.1-7.332%
Season at home (9)70.177.0147.1-6.944%
Season away (10)74.482.1156.5-7.720%
Last 10 (10)74.880.0154.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)78.281.2159.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.079.6150.6-8.535%
vs Similar (6)75.877.5153.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
PaulistanoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/12
NBB
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.276.4+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.437.677.1+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.036.675.6+2.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.688.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.743.483.1-3.729%-
vs Similar (14)39.136.575.6+2.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.033.372.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/12
NBB
73.6Avg total
34.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.738.773.4-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.735.371.1+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)33.742.075.7-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.773.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.474.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.039.573.4-5.526%-
vs Similar (6)34.837.572.3-2.750%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.7
49.0%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
72.7%13.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.1
48.2%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
33.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.4
71.3%
72.7%15.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLLWWWLLWL
Mogi
LLWLWLLWLL
#12
League position
#16
+2.1
Net rating
-7.4
107.9
Offensive rating
98.8
105.8
Defensive rating
106.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.5%
3-point %
32.4%
60.9%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 98.8Defence105.8 · 106.2Shooting50.7% · 48.3%3-point %35.5% · 32.4%Ball care17.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Paulistano   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Mogi v Paulistano72-67
09/04/24Mogi v Paulistano64-61
27/12/23Paulistano v Mogi92-78
28/01/22Paulistano v Mogi69-62
28/10/21Mogi v Paulistano77-72
09/03/21Mogi v Paulistano62-69
04/12/20Paulistano v Mogi69-62
03/03/20Mogi v Paulistano83-94
17/10/19Paulistano v Mogi94-105
15/02/19Mogi v Paulistano89-91
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HSao Paulo80-76
23/12/24HFlamengo75-89
20/12/24AMinas82-86
18/12/24ABrasilia102-87
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
10/12/24HUniao Corinthians78-65
04/12/24HVasco70-76
17/11/24APato65-66
14/11/24AUnifacisa86-69
11/11/24ACearense49-66
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AFlamengo60-81
27/12/24ABotafogo85-97
21/12/24APato106-90
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
06/12/24ACearense69-76
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
29/11/24HCaxias do Sul74-71
27/11/24HUniao Corinthians82-85
15/11/24ASao Jose79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game77.879.176.2
Allowed / game75.776.874.2
Point differential+2.2+2.3+2.0
Avg total153.5155.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL32%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game72.470.174.4
Allowed / game79.777.082.1
Point differential-7.3-6.9-7.7
Avg total152.1147.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo1915479%83.972.0+11.9
3 Brasilia1913668%83.880.9+2.9
4 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
5 Pinheiros1911858%76.374.7+1.6
6 Uniao Corinthians1911858%78.378.6-0.3
7 Sao Paulo1810856%78.778.4+0.3
8 Vasco1910953%74.573.7+0.8
9 Bauru1910953%78.279.8-1.6
10 Sao Jose1991047%75.775.2+0.5
11 Unifacisa1991047%75.276.1-0.9
12 Paulistano1881044%77.875.7+2.2
13 Corinthians Paulista1981142%80.780.9-0.3
14 Pato1971237%82.685.3-2.7
15 Mogi1961332%72.479.7-7.3
16 Botafogo1961332%72.580.6-8.1
17 Caxias do Sul1951426%72.279.1-6.9
18 Cearense1941521%69.277.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2514191876
Mogi917172063
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