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Penarol vs Union Atletica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 88-80
20-25 27-16 21-25 20-14
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game71.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Union Atletica
Uruguay
Position#6
Record5-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Union Atletica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
101avg 81
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
38avg 81
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
108avg 81
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
100avg 81
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 81
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 81
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 81
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 81
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
91avg 81
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-9
24-24
29-24
19-26
26-21
18-27
–
–
37-23
19-18
28-15
18-24
20-21
29-24
25-26
29-18
20-19
26-16
18-21
17-32
26-15
14-25
27-17
19-12
22-27
21-20
20-18
22-7
15-21
28-14
22-10
20-13
21-16
19-16
17-22
25-15
24-19
25-11
27-19
13-18
158.2Avg total
85.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.571.0157.5+15.585%
Season at home (6)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Season away (7)82.767.6150.3+15.171%
Last 10 (10)85.972.3158.2+13.680%
Last 5 (5)85.467.0152.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.975.3161.2+10.681%
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 72
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
107-92
107
92
+15
103avg 72
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
50avg 72
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 72
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 72
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 72
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
67avg 72
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
60avg 72
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 72
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 72
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
12-17
27-17
16-10
20-18
26-19
30-30
31-25
13-17
15-15
22-24
12-22
18-19
19-18
22-22
15-16
15-25
17-17
26-17
20-25
19-28
14-24
14-27
30-22
18-17
16-34
19-14
19-23
12-16
20-22
14-15
26-25
34-31
26-16
30-19
18-27
14-23
24-12
26-25
25-19
165.9Avg total
82.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.184.2166.2-2.138%
Season at home (7)83.786.9170.6-3.143%
Season away (6)80.281.0161.2-0.833%
Last 10 (10)82.383.6165.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.687.8171.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.487.2161.6-12.840%
vs Similar (18)83.285.0168.2-1.833%
vs Weaker (7)86.978.7165.6+8.186%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
PenarolUnion Atletica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
85.0Avg total
46.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.582.6+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.480.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)46.538.685.1+7.979%-
Last 10 (10)46.438.685.0+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)35.038.073.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.938.483.3+6.470%-
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
79.3Avg total
38.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.377.5-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.240.079.2-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.438.676.0-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.279.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
vs Similar (18)38.338.776.9-0.433%-
vs Weaker (7)39.137.376.4+1.957%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.3
58.3%
53.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.211.8
68.6%
70.9%11.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
53.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
70.9%14.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWLWWLW
Union Atletica
WWLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#6
+22.0
Net rating
-0.9
117.8
Offensive rating
107.9
95.8
Defensive rating
108.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
31.5%
65.9%
Assist %
53.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 107.9Defence95.8 · 108.9Shooting57.3% · 50.8%3-point %37.2% · 31.5%Ball care16.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds36.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Union Atletica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
0
Union Atletica wins
DateGameScore
20/10/25Union Atletica v Penarol59-90
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AMalvin89-67
09/12/25HNacional82-69
04/12/25HUrunday85-58
21/11/25HDefensor85-72
18/11/25ABigua86-69
12/11/25AGoes81-88
08/11/25HAguada103-89
03/11/25AWelcome102-80
29/10/25AHebraica y Macabi44-48
23/10/25HCordon102-83
Union Atleticalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HCordon89-79
10/12/25HHebraica y Macabi108-93
06/12/25HMalvin72-78
20/11/25ANacional72-88
15/11/25HUrunday77-101
11/11/25ABigua78-84
07/11/25HDefensor74-75
04/11/25AGoes62-78
29/10/25HAguada107-92
23/10/25AWelcome84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game86.591.082.7
Allowed / game71.075.067.6
Point differential+15.5+16.0+15.1
Avg total157.5166.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%100%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game82.183.780.2
Allowed / game84.286.981.0
Point differential-2.1-3.1-0.8
Avg total166.2170.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1311285%86.571.0+15.5
2 Nacional129375%90.682.2+8.3
3 Hebraica y Macabi139469%82.177.7+4.4
4 Malvin139469%81.080.3+0.7
5 Aguada117464%96.089.8+6.2
6 Bigua127558%88.187.9+0.2
7 Defensor116555%87.486.0+1.4
8 Urunday136746%91.886.1+5.7
9 Union Atletica135838%82.184.2-2.1
10 Goes123925%82.791.1-8.4
11 Cordon1321115%83.295.2-12.0
12 Welcome120120%80.0100.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2027212088
Union Atletica2516251480
← all games of the day
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