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Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 104-79
26-20 28-22 26-17 24-20
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game76.7
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#4
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game67.0
AustraliaNBL W
Women2021-22
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W
10 Jan 2026
PERT80
ADEL65
02 Jan 2026
PERT93
ADEL75
05 Jan 2025
PERT94
ADEL76
07 Jan 2024
PERT84
ADEL68
11 Nov 2023
PERT92
ADEL85
30 Dec 2022
PERT82
ADEL72
09 Mar 2022
PERT84
ADEL73
07 Mar 2022
PERT104
ADEL79
15 Nov 2020
PERT69
ADEL74
26 Oct 2019
PERT86
ADEL90
19 Jan 2019
PERT81
ADEL82
13 Oct 2018
PERT66
ADEL78
15 Dec 2017
PERT99
ADEL82
18 Dec 2016
PERT102
ADEL52
30 Oct 2016
PERT95
ADEL63
24 Jan 2016
PERT76
ADEL67
20 Nov 2015
PERT93
ADEL85
18 Oct 2014
PERT92
ADEL68
08 Feb 2014
PERT57
ADEL70
22 Dec 2012
PERT64
ADEL77
27 Oct 2012
PERT65
ADEL75
13 Jan 2012
PERT51
ADEL84
17 Dec 2011
PERT57
ADEL78
20 Nov 2010
PERT68
ADEL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A02/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
A12/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A14/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H19/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A23/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H29/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
A06/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H05/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
23-24
21-21
17-24
15-21
27-23
18-21
17-12
31-13
14-14
26-20
17-22
25-18
22-27
12-13
18-22
27-23
20-27
29-7
26-16
23-24
13-19
25-27
25-11
21-21
23-25
20-16
21-16
24-24
24-10
20-27
22-21
13-15
21-19
15-13
16-18
16-21
21-15
11-24
15-6
160.3Avg total
83.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.676.7160.3+6.970%
Season at home (4)83.075.2158.2+7.850%
Season away (6)84.077.7161.7+6.383%
Last 10 (10)83.676.7160.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)80.075.6155.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.884.7153.5-15.98%
vs Similar (6)82.074.2156.2+7.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.475.2161.5+11.282%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A20/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H05/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
14-21
13-21
18-3
19-25
24-23
21-21
24-17
19-11
13-6
24-16
21-19
14-8
10-13
20-16
15-22
17-18
23-15
16-25
11-22
20-13
9-19
17-24
16-18
24-24
27-22
17-16
17-10
32-2
14-26
19-23
19-26
19-19
18-15
22-9
14-13
20-13
21-13
19-15
18-16
142.4Avg total
75.2Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.967.0141.9+7.975%
Season at home (6)69.870.0139.8-0.250%
Season away (6)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.267.2142.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)76.467.2143.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.283.5152.7-14.436%
vs Similar (8)73.974.4148.2-0.525%
vs Weaker (11)74.967.2142.1+7.782%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A14/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H19/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H05/03
NBL W
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.881.6-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.779.1-0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.041.883.8+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.644.581.1-7.831%-
vs Similar (6)42.038.280.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.038.083.0+7.073%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A20/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H05/03
NBL W
69.1Avg total
37.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.574.5-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.937.974.8-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)35.139.174.2-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.469.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.274.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.143.977.0-10.827%-
vs Similar (8)39.040.079.0-1.038%-
vs Weaker (11)36.632.068.6+4.664%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth Lynx W wins
8
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
02/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W88-86
06/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W78-80
15/11/20Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W69-74
30/01/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W75-74
06/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W79-69
26/10/19Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W86-90 OT
19/01/19Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W81-82 OT
30/12/18Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W74-67
13/10/18Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W66-78
15/12/17Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W99-82
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HSydney W63-66
06/02/22AGeelong United W76-71 OT
29/01/22HBendigo W90-82
27/01/22ASouthside W85-78
23/01/22ASydney W86-81
19/01/22HCanberra Capitals W102-73
17/01/22HGeelong United W77-80
14/01/22ACanberra Capitals W88-69
12/01/22ASouthside W83-79 OT
02/01/22AAdelaide Lightning W86-88
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HTownsville W78-57
26/02/22ASydney W73-56
24/02/22ABendigo W84-77
19/02/22ASouthside W85-72
05/02/22HBendigo W62-74
30/01/22HCanberra Capitals W67-80
28/01/22ATownsville W73-65 OT
20/01/22ASydney W77-52
02/01/22HPerth Lynx W88-86
30/12/21HGeelong United W65-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%50%83%
Points / game83.683.084.0
Allowed / game76.775.277.7
Point differential+6.9+7.8+6.3
Avg total160.3158.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game74.969.880.0
Allowed / game67.070.064.0
Point differential+7.9-0.2+16.0
Avg total141.9139.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W129375%74.967.0+7.9
2 Canberra Capitals W1410471%77.065.9+11.1
3 Perth Lynx W107370%83.676.7+6.9
4 Geelong United W1510567%75.169.1+6.0
5 Townsville W146843%68.871.7-2.9
6 Bendigo W146843%74.379.2-4.9
7 Southside W1431121%70.181.0-10.9
8 Sydney W1321115%65.877.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W26282624104
Adelaide Lightning W2022172079
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