PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 86-90 (OT)
20-19 22-25 24-16 13-19 7-11
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.0
AustraliaNBL W
Women2019-20
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W
10 Jan 2026
PERT80
ADEL65
02 Jan 2026
PERT93
ADEL75
05 Jan 2025
PERT94
ADEL76
07 Jan 2024
PERT84
ADEL68
11 Nov 2023
PERT92
ADEL85
30 Dec 2022
PERT82
ADEL72
09 Mar 2022
PERT84
ADEL73
07 Mar 2022
PERT104
ADEL79
15 Nov 2020
PERT69
ADEL74
26 Oct 2019
PERT86
ADEL90
19 Jan 2019
PERT81
ADEL82
13 Oct 2018
PERT66
ADEL78
15 Dec 2017
PERT99
ADEL82
18 Dec 2016
PERT102
ADEL52
30 Oct 2016
PERT95
ADEL63
24 Jan 2016
PERT76
ADEL67
20 Nov 2015
PERT93
ADEL85
18 Oct 2014
PERT92
ADEL68
08 Feb 2014
PERT57
ADEL70
22 Dec 2012
PERT64
ADEL77
27 Oct 2012
PERT65
ADEL75
13 Jan 2012
PERT51
ADEL84
17 Dec 2011
PERT57
ADEL78
20 Nov 2010
PERT68
ADEL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A04/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A06/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H10/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H19/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H31/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H13/10
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A17/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A20/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-17
18-27
16-14
19-18
14-9
10-17
16-20
17-16
19-23
17-15
15-12
23-15
20-15
10-16
21-14
21-16
26-14
12-21
13-21
16-28
27-10
13-34
20-23
23-14
12-28
23-17
17-32
32-23
16-9
16-10
15-20
20-20
22-28
19-15
25-23
25-15
19-23
22-27
13-26
153.3Avg total
75.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.783.3167.0+0.333%
Season at home (1)79.062.0141.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.178.2153.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)80.487.2167.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.884.1156.9-11.320%
vs Similar (8)74.579.9154.4-5.438%
vs Weaker (12)83.273.9157.1+9.275%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A19/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A27/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A09/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H13/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A16/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H11/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A18/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
26-15
15-28
15-24
16-21
14-26
21-12
21-13
11-15
24-20
21-13
20-12
25-22
22-26
29-21
24-23
25-18
13-30
18-20
11-20
19-23
18-21
18-12
19-17
24-25
21-24
17-25
11-19
29-19
22-20
25-21
13-19
23-20
32-25
13-33
15-12
23-12
29-22
16-14
18-20
163.5Avg total
81.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.079.0165.0+7.067%
Season at home (1)89.079.0168.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)81.382.2163.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.881.5160.3-2.750%
vs Similar (6)83.784.5168.2-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.871.2154.0+11.678%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A04/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H19/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/10
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/10
NBL W
76.1Avg total
40.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.680.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.181.1+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.980.7-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.776.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.740.077.7-2.340%-
vs Similar (8)41.140.681.8+0.562%-
vs Weaker (12)44.438.582.9+5.958%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A09/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H13/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A16/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H11/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A13/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A18/10
NBL W
87.8Avg total
44.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.682.9+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.738.184.9+8.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.881.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.587.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.290.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.042.384.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (6)44.341.786.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.437.981.4+5.567%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/19ABendigo W79-91
17/10/19ASouthside W93-97 OT
13/10/19HSydney W79-62
31/01/19HCanberra Capitals W75-91
25/01/19ACanberra Capitals W76-95
19/01/19HAdelaide Lightning W81-82 OT
10/01/19HGeelong United W74-60
06/01/19ABendigo W68-66
04/01/19AGeelong United W59-64
30/12/18AAdelaide Lightning W67-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/19ATownsville W86-68
13/10/19ACanberra Capitals W83-90
11/10/19HSydney W89-79
16/02/19ACanberra Capitals W73-93
13/02/19HCanberra Capitals W74-73
09/02/19ACanberra Capitals W67-88
31/01/19HGeelong United W100-92
27/01/19AGeelong United W76-60
19/01/19APerth Lynx W82-81 OT
12/01/19HGeelong United W83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.779.086.0
Allowed / game83.362.094.0
Point differential+0.3+17.0-8.0
Avg total167.0141.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.089.084.5
Allowed / game79.079.079.0
Point differential+7.0+10.0+5.5
Avg total165.0168.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong United W330100%89.371.3+18.0
2 Southside W440100%87.078.5+8.5
3 Adelaide Lightning W32167%86.079.0+7.0
4 Canberra Capitals W32167%76.385.0-8.7
5 Perth Lynx W31233%83.783.3+0.3
6 Bendigo W41325%77.581.2-3.8
7 Townsville W3030%68.378.0-9.7
8 Sydney W3030%71.084.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Perth Lynx W20222413786
Adelaide Lightning W192516191190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.