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Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 84-68
20-14 17-14 31-21 16-19
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.1
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game75.0
AustraliaNBL W· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W
10 Jan 2026
PERT80
ADEL65
02 Jan 2026
PERT93
ADEL75
05 Jan 2025
PERT94
ADEL76
07 Jan 2024
PERT84
ADEL68
11 Nov 2023
PERT92
ADEL85
30 Dec 2022
PERT82
ADEL72
09 Mar 2022
PERT84
ADEL73
07 Mar 2022
PERT104
ADEL79
15 Nov 2020
PERT69
ADEL74
26 Oct 2019
PERT86
ADEL90
19 Jan 2019
PERT81
ADEL82
13 Oct 2018
PERT66
ADEL78
15 Dec 2017
PERT99
ADEL82
18 Dec 2016
PERT102
ADEL52
30 Oct 2016
PERT95
ADEL63
24 Jan 2016
PERT76
ADEL67
20 Nov 2015
PERT93
ADEL85
18 Oct 2014
PERT92
ADEL68
08 Feb 2014
PERT57
ADEL70
22 Dec 2012
PERT64
ADEL77
27 Oct 2012
PERT65
ADEL75
13 Jan 2012
PERT51
ADEL84
17 Dec 2011
PERT57
ADEL78
20 Nov 2010
PERT68
ADEL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
82avg 77
A22/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
72avg 77
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 77
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
62-93
62
93
-31
49avg 77
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
98-58
98
58
+40
98avg 77
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 77
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
89avg 77
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
53avg 77
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
91-104
91
104
-13
81avg 77
A03/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
22-17
17-30
21-30
23-22
26-23
10-28
17-19
19-19
23-9
14-25
24-10
22-17
17-26
19-23
4-27
13-26
23-23
25-19
27-20
23-19
29-14
26-8
20-17
27-25
21-21
29-23
18-16
15-27
27-19
33-24
23-20
23-24
15-14
13-22
13-27
30-23
22-31
19-26
20-24
171.5Avg total
85.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.984.1170.0+1.862%
Season at home (8)86.581.2167.8+5.275%
Season away (5)85.088.6173.6-3.640%
Last 10 (10)85.486.1171.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)89.284.8174.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.291.2172.4-10.011%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.782.5170.3+5.273%
vs Weaker (10)94.281.2175.4+13.0100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
36avg 59
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 59
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
no box
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
56avg 59
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 59
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 59
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 59
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
45avg 59
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 59
H05/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
11-11
17-22
9-14
19-15
11-19
21-16
10-17
15-19
8-9
15-22
22-10
21-21
11-13
12-15
20-17
26-13
23-23
19-25
20-27
12-19
20-15
19-23
26-24
20-22
18-15
15-14
15-8
14-24
19-19
18-23
22-20
24-19
16-22
15-31
7-15
24-19
12-14
11-22
27-12
144.5Avg total
69.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.375.0145.3-4.729%
Season at home (8)67.273.2140.5-6.025%
Season away (6)74.377.3151.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)69.075.5144.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)70.876.0146.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.079.4152.4-6.424%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.283.7160.9-6.411%
vs Weaker (4)80.883.5164.2-2.850%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A22/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A03/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A10/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A03/01
NBL W
86.8Avg total
45.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.743.489.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.386.4+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)47.244.591.7+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.686.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.489.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.347.391.7-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.442.086.4+2.455%-
vs Weaker (10)48.341.389.6+7.080%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/01
NBL W
69.6Avg total
33.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.938.676.5-0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)39.241.380.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.869.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.673.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.238.575.8-1.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.441.280.7-1.844%-
vs Weaker (4)41.242.083.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.520.8
46.7%
47.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
74.3%16.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.4
44.3%
47.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.99.4
67.6%
74.3%9.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
LLWWWWLWLL
Adelaide Lightning W
WLLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
-6.8
103.1
Offensive rating
86.8
102.7
Defensive rating
93.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
43.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.3%
3-point %
28.5%
58.2%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 86.8Defence102.7 · 93.6Shooting48.4% · 43.7%3-point %34.3% · 28.5%Ball care18.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth Lynx W wins
2
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W95-98 OT
11/11/23Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W92-85
02/03/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W93-97
16/02/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W82-108
30/12/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W82-72
09/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W84-73
07/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W104-79
02/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W88-86
06/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W78-80
15/11/20Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W69-74
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ATownsville W91-104
31/12/23ATownsville W64-87
27/12/23HCanberra Capitals W98-90
23/12/23HSouthside W95-85
13/12/23HSydney W98-58
10/12/23AAdelaide Lightning W98-95 OT
07/12/23HGeelong United W62-93
03/12/23AGeelong United W80-63
25/11/23HTownsville W76-92
22/11/23ASouthside W92-94
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HSydney W74-67
30/12/23HSouthside W62-87
21/12/23ACanberra Capitals W73-86
17/12/23AGeelong United W68-59
15/12/23ABendigo W77-81
10/12/23HPerth Lynx W95-98 OT
06/12/23HSydney W64-66
02/12/23HBendigo W65-70 OT
29/11/23ATownsville W61-67
23/11/23HTownsville W51-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game85.986.585.0
Allowed / game84.181.288.6
Point differential+1.8+5.2-3.6
Avg total170.0167.8173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game70.367.274.3
Allowed / game75.073.277.3
Point differential-4.7-6.0-3.0
Avg total145.3140.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W1411379%82.670.1+12.5
2 Geelong United W149564%74.171.7+2.4
3 Perth Lynx W138562%85.984.1+1.8
4 Southside W137654%78.676.1+2.5
5 Sydney W147750%69.974.4-4.5
6 Bendigo W124833%73.178.4-5.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W1441029%70.375.0-4.7
8 Canberra Capitals W123925%76.482.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W2017311684
Adelaide Lightning W1414211968
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