Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 81-82 (OT)

21-16 26-14 12-21 13-21 9-10

Position#4

Record13-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game76.1

Perth Lynx W

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Position#3

Record12-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game74.0

NBL W

Women2018-19

Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

86-68

+18

H07/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

76-96

-20

A09/12

NBL W

Townsville W

72-97

-25

A14/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

60-92

-32

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

88-84

H23/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

95-80

+15

H28/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

67-74

-7

A30/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

59-64

-5

A04/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

68-66

A06/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

74-60

+14

H10/01

NBL W

11-19

29-10

18-23

28-16

24-33

21-20

8-29

23-14

19-30

10-22

22-26

21-19

10-30

22-25

14-10

14-27

30-19

9-26

23-19

26-20

25-23

22-24

22-19

26-14

16-16

17-17

18-27

16-14

19-18

14-9

10-17

16-20

17-16

19-23

17-15

15-12

23-15

20-15

10-16

21-14

152.6Avg total

74.5Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.7	76.1	154.8	+2.6	65%
Season at home (10)	81.2	76.8	158.0	+4.4	80%
Season away (10)	76.2	75.4	151.6	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	78.1	152.6	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	68.8	141.4	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	67.2	79.3	146.5	-12.2	33%
vs Similar (11)	77.8	79.4	157.2	-1.5	55%
vs Weaker (13)	85.1	74.1	159.2	+11.0	85%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

91-83

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

82-72

+10

A05/12

NBL W

Townsville W

85-70

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

93-73

+20

H14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

78-83

-5

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

95-52

+43

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

74-67

H30/12

NBL W

Sydney W

110-61

110

+49

H04/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

92-81 OT

+11

A10/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

83-98

-15

H12/01

NBL W

20-17

20-24

21-15

30-27

23-15

15-15

24-18

20-24

24-18

17-20

25-16

19-16

27-23

27-15

16-13

23-22

19-13

18-19

22-21

19-30

28-5

17-22

29-16

21-9

16-16

17-17

27-18

14-16

36-23

35-9

19-16

20-13

19-29

22-18

18-16

17-13

27-31

26-15

15-28

15-24

162.3Avg total

88.3Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	82.4	74.0	156.4	+8.4	60%
Season at home (10)	87.8	72.5	160.3	+15.3	70%
Season away (10)	77.0	75.5	152.5	+1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	74.0	162.3	+14.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	71.8	162.6	+19.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.7	78.5	158.2	+1.2	50%
vs Similar (4)	78.2	78.5	156.8	-0.2	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.5	71.4	153.9	+11.1	69%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.5	21.9	44.5	+0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.6	41.9	+4.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.6	40.8	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	80%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	19.6	41.1	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.4	38.8	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.1	38.6	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.2	39.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	56%	-

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

40-29

+11

H07/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

45-53

-8

A09/12

NBL W

Townsville W

29-52

-23

A14/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

32-55

-23

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

39-45

-6

H23/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

47-47

H28/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

33-33

A30/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

33-27

A04/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

36-39

-3

A06/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

43-30

+13

H10/01

NBL W

78.7Avg total

37.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.0	81.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	40.6	81.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.2	73.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.0	40.3	75.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.8	39.8	82.6	+2.9	46%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra Capitals W

40-41

-1

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-30

A05/12

NBL W

Townsville W

41-38

A07/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

54-38

+16

H14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-32

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

45-27

+18

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

33-33

H30/12

NBL W

Sydney W

71-32

+39

H04/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

41-47

-6

A10/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-46

H12/01

NBL W

81.7Avg total

45.3Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	35.6	80.6	+9.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	39.6	79.8	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	36.4	81.7	+8.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	37.0	85.6	+11.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.9	37.1	79.0	+4.8	70%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.2	38.4	81.6	+4.9	62%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.6	35.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.1	36.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.8	34.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.2	17.0	31.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	15.5	18.3	33.8	-2.7	18%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.2	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.6	37.4	+2.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.7	39.3	+3.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.2	37.4	+0.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.8	33.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	20.6	39.4	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	15.7	38.2	+6.8	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.5	37.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.8	38.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	36.9	74.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	36.9	76.8	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	37.1	73.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	33.6	67.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.2	39.0	71.2	-6.8	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.3	38.9	73.2	-4.6	18%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	34.2	76.5	+8.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	36.3	74.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	36.4	74.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.3	36.3	73.6	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.1	78.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	33.8	72.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	38.2	32.7	70.9	+5.6	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Lynx W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
30/12/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	74-67
13/10/18	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	66-78
15/12/17	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	99-82
02/12/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	74-89
12/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	87-81
27/01/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	60-80
18/12/16	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	102-52
12/11/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	63-75
30/10/16	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	95-63
24/01/16	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	76-67

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/19	H	Geelong United W	74-60
06/01/19	A	Bendigo W	68-66
04/01/19	A	Geelong United W	59-64
30/12/18	A	Adelaide Lightning W	67-74
28/12/18	H	Dandenong W	95-80
23/12/18	H	Sydney W	88-84
16/12/18	A	Canberra Capitals W	60-92
14/12/18	A	Townsville W	72-97
09/12/18	A	Dandenong W	76-96
07/12/18	H	Bendigo W	86-68

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/19	H	Geelong United W	83-98
10/01/19	A	Bendigo W	92-81 OT
04/01/19	H	Sydney W	110-61
30/12/18	H	Perth Lynx W	74-67
21/12/18	H	Sydney W	95-52
16/12/18	A	Geelong United W	78-83
14/12/18	H	Canberra Capitals W	93-73
07/12/18	A	Townsville W	85-70
05/12/18	A	Sydney W	82-72
02/12/18	H	Canberra Capitals W	91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	LLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	65%	80%	50%
Points / game	78.7	81.2	76.2
Allowed / game	76.1	76.8	75.4
Point differential	+2.6	+4.4	+0.8
Avg total	154.8	158.0	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	40%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	60%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	WWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	70%	50%
Points / game	82.4	87.8	77.0
Allowed / game	74.0	72.5	75.5
Point differential	+8.4	+15.3	+1.5
Avg total	156.4	160.3	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Canberra Capitals W	21	16	5	76%	85.2	72.4	+12.8
2	Geelong United W	21	15	6	71%	78.2	72.1	+6.0
3	Perth Lynx W	20	13	7	65%	78.7	76.1	+2.6
4	Adelaide Lightning W	20	12	8	60%	82.4	74.0	+8.4
5	Townsville W	21	9	12	43%	77.2	77.9	-0.6
6	Dandenong W	21	9	12	43%	73.8	78.9	-5.1
7	Bendigo W	21	7	14	33%	70.0	78.6	-8.5
8	Sydney W	21	2	19	10%	71.0	86.0	-15.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Perth Lynx W	21	26	12	13	9	81
Adelaide Lightning W	16	14	21	21	10	82

← all games of the day

Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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