Perth vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Perth hosts Cairns Taipans on 8 November 2026 in the NBL, a contest the model predicts will be tight and defensive with a projected 98-91 scoreline and a total of 189.7 points, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Perth finished the season 5-5, averaging 94.3 points and conceding 97.9, while Cairns also sit at 6-6, scoring 92.4 and allowing 97.4; Perth has a 5-3 home record and has won only one of its last five games, losing 104-109 to Brisbane, 98-105 to Illawarra and 91-99 to Sydney, whereas Cairns went 2-3 in its most recent five, dropping 95-107 to Illawarra, 97-113 to Melbourne United and winning 107-85 over Brisbane. Historically, Perth has dominated the rivalry 9-1, most recently defeating Cairns 98-84 on 6 February 2026. The Pythia model gives Perth a 74% chance to win and a 57% probability of covering the -5.5 line, while Cairns has a 26% chance of victory and only a 29% chance of the over on the 198.5 total; an overtime is projected at 4%. Perth's recent struggles at home contrast with its overall superiority in the head-to-head record, setting the stage for a defensive showdown.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost

75.0%fair 1.33

Best odds1.49

Implied64.8%

Edge+10.1pp

Cairns Taipans winWon

25.0%fair 3.99

Best odds2.75

Implied35.2%

Edge-10.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

79-100

100

-21

49avg 83

H19/09

NBL

Adelaide

98-97

97avg 83

H24/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

97-93

90avg 83

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-88

88avg 83

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

100-84

100

+16

75avg 83

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

81-102

102

-21

73avg 83

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

103-102

103

102

95avg 83

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

91-99

-8

81avg 83

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

98-105

105

-7

84avg 83

H31/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

104-109

104

109

-5

no box

A04/11

NBL

24-19

13-30

25-16

17-35

30-20

18-28

22-29

28-20

22-26

25-25

29-22

21-20

26-24

22-22

22-21

21-22

20-16

29-28

30-18

21-31

22-21

20-24

18-26

25-26

21-22

31-31

26-23

17-33

25-26

28-21

21-19

19-24

25-27

29-27

22-37

21-26

25-18

36-28

192.2Avg total

94.3Scored

97.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	94.3	97.9	192.2	-3.6	50%
Season at home (8)	94.8	96.0	190.8	-1.2	62%
Season away (2)	92.5	105.5	198.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	94.3	97.9	192.2	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.4	103.4	198.8	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	88.6	98.4	187.0	-9.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	92.9	90.1	183.0	+2.8	58%
vs Weaker (10)	96.8	83.2	180.0	+13.6	90%

This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns Taipans Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTaipans

Date

Competition

Adelaide

69-83

-14

58avg 80

A27/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-98

-23

59avg 80

A30/09

NBL

Melbourne United

107-95

107

+12

99avg 80

A03/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

97-91

93avg 80

H08/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

110-100

110

100

+10

109avg 80

A11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

83-115

115

-32

72avg 80

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

86-84

80avg 80

H25/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

107-85

107

+22

98avg 80

A29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

97-113

113

-16

91avg 80

H31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

95-107

107

-12

no box

H05/11

NBL

17-32

17-20

17-15

18-16

18-19

17-23

25-30

15-26

18-14

29-32

25-35

35-14

23-17

24-33

27-22

23-19

28-27

29-23

29-27

24-23

35-27

19-35

9-27

20-26

16-25

23-21

21-16

26-22

23-21

34-21

21-19

29-24

33-26

21-25

19-34

24-28

35-32

27-29

20-26

13-20

189.7Avg total

92.6Scored

97.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	92.4	97.4	189.8	-5.0	50%
Season at home (5)	93.6	96.4	190.0	-2.8	60%
Season away (7)	91.6	98.1	189.7	-6.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	92.6	97.1	189.7	-4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	100.8	194.4	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	87.3	100.6	188.0	-13.3	29%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	86.1	85.1	171.3	+1.0	71%
vs Weaker (2)	102.5	103.5	206.0	-1.0	50%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 193.5Actual: Under 193.5

Over 193.5

43.9%

@ 1.95-5.1pp

Under 193.5

56.1%

@ 2.00+5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.95

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

SBO

1.88

Betano

1.85

Under

Bet365

2.00

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

Pinnacle

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

Over/Under 198.5 · main lineActual: Under 198.5

Over 198.5

32.5%

@ 2.38-8.9pp

Under 198.5

67.5%

@ 1.85+8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.13

Marathon Be

2.13

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.65

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.50

Over/Under 203.5Actual: Under 203.5

Over 203.5

22.7%

@ 3.15-11.7pp

Under 203.5

77.3%

@ 1.53+11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.15

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.33

Under

1xBet

1.53

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.33

📊 3. Team Totals

Perth total 97.5Actual: Perth under 97.5

Over 97.5

57.6%

@ 1.67+2.0pp

Under 97.5

42.4%

@ 2.20-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.67

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.60

Under

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.08

Betano

2.07

Perth total 101.5 · main lineActual: Perth under 101.5

Over 101.5

42.0%

@ 2.23-6.4pp

Under 101.5

58.0%

@ 1.85+6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.23

Betano

2.20

Marathon Be

1.92

Bet365

1.90

BetVictor

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

1xBet

1.58

Betano

1.57

Perth total 105.5Actual: Perth under 105.5

Over 105.5

27.5%

@ 2.72-7.1pp

Under 105.5

72.5%

@ 1.42+7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.60

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Cairns Taipans total 90.5Actual: Cairns Taipans over 90.5

Over 90.5

54.4%

@ 1.45-10.1pp

Under 90.5

45.6%

@ 2.70+10.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.41

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.50

Cairns Taipans total 94.5 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans over 94.5

Over 94.5

39.1%

@ 1.92-10.6pp

Under 94.5

60.9%

@ 1.87+10.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.92

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Under

Bet365

1.87

Marathon Be

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.78

Cairns Taipans total 98.5Actual: Cairns Taipans over 98.5

Over 98.5

25.7%

@ 2.57-14.0pp

Under 98.5

74.3%

@ 1.57+14.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.31

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.52

Betano

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Perth -7.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +7.5

PERT -7.5

50.8%

@ 2.30+8.5pp

CAIR +7.5

49.2%

@ 1.63-8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Bet365

2.30

BetVictor

2.30

Pinnacle

2.23

1xBet

2.18

Marathon Be

2.18

CAIR

Pinnacle

1.63

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.59

Marathon Be

1.59

Bet365

1.57

Spread Perth -4.5 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans +4.5

PERT -4.5

62.0%

@ 1.89+11.4pp

CAIR +4.5

38.0%

@ 2.00-11.4pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Bet365

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.86

Marathon Be

1.86

SBO

1.82

CAIR

Betfair

2.00

1xBet

1.94

Marathon Be

1.94

Bet365

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Spread Perth -1.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +1.5

PERT -1.5

72.6%

@ 1.53+11.6pp

CAIR +1.5

27.4%

@ 2.40-11.6pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Bet365

1.53

1xBet

1.51

Marathon Be

1.51

Betano

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

CAIR

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

1xBet

2.35

Betano

2.35

Marathon Be

2.35

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthCairns Taipans

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.0	47.1	+1.0	63%	33%
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	21.8	44.9	+1.4	61%	17%
Last 30 away (12)	25.4	24.9	50.3	+0.5	67%	58%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	26.2	48.9	-3.5	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	30.2	51.0	-9.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	25.6	49.2	-2.0	62%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	24.7	23.6	48.2	+1.1	58%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.4	70%	30%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	53%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	25.8	20.6	46.5	+5.2	69%	23%
Last 30 away (17)	23.4	23.1	46.4	+0.3	41%	35%
Last 10 (10)	24.6	24.0	48.6	+0.6	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	28.4	26.2	54.6	+2.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	24.8	21.8	46.6	+3.0	48%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	57%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	31.5	29.5	61.0	+2.0	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 49
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.3	45.1	-1.4	43%	20%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.3	22.2	44.6	+0.1	50%	28%
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	24.8	45.9	-3.8	33%	8%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.3	45.5	-3.1	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.4	47.2	-1.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	24.4	44.6	-4.1	25%	12%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.8	42%	25%
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	22.4	45.9	+1.1	60%	20%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 49
Last 30 (30)	22.9	25.6	48.5	-2.7	30%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	25.1	48.3	-1.8	38%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	22.7	26.0	48.7	-3.3	24%	47%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	26.2	50.2	-2.2	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.2	51.0	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	22.8	26.5	49.3	-3.7	29%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.9	22.9	44.7	-1.0	29%	29%
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	26.0	54.0	+2.0	50%	100%

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

37-49

-12

H19/09

NBL

Adelaide

48-48

H24/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-51

-4

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

48-46

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

43-52

-9

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-48

-2

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

42-59

-17

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

44-51

-7

H31/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-63

-20

A04/11

NBL

94.4Avg total

43.9Scored

50.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 99.5
Last 30 (30)	45.9	46.3	92.2	-0.4	50%	23%
Last 30 at home (18)	45.5	44.0	89.5	+1.5	56%	11%
Last 30 away (12)	46.5	49.8	96.2	-3.2	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	50.5	94.4	-6.6	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	54.6	98.2	-11.0	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.9	50.0	93.9	-6.1	25%	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.2	46.8	93.0	-0.7	50%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	47.2	42.7	89.9	+4.5	70%	10%

This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

34-52

-18

A27/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-42

-7

A30/09

NBL

Melbourne United

47-46

A03/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-50

-3

H08/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

57-50

A11/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

54-62

-8

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-46

-7

H25/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

57-42

+15

A29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

54-51

H31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

62-61

H05/11

NBL

98.8Avg total

48.6Scored

50.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 99.5
Last 30 (30)	47.4	47.6	95.0	-0.2	57%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	49.1	45.7	94.8	+3.4	77%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	46.1	49.1	95.1	-3.0	41%	29%
Last 10 (10)	48.6	50.2	98.8	-1.6	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	53.2	52.4	105.6	+0.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	47.6	48.3	95.9	-0.7	57%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.1	43.3	86.4	-0.1	43%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	59.5	55.5	115.0	+4.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Cairns Taipans win

PERT win

no forecast

@ 1.57

CAIR win

no forecast

@ 2.48

1st half Spread Perth -2.5 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans +2.5

PERT -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

CAIR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 99.5 · main lineActual: Over 99.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Perth 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Perth under 50.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.97

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Cairns Taipans 1st half total 48 · main lineActual: Cairns Taipans over 48

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: PERT + total 99.5

PERT & over

no forecast

@ 3.20

PERT & under

no forecast

@ 3.10

1st half: Draw + total 99.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: CAIR + total 99.5

CAIR & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

CAIR & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Over/Under 98Actual: Over 98

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Spread Perth -3.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +3.5

PERT -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

CAIR +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Perth -1.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +1.5

PERT -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.81

CAIR +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 101.5Actual: Under 101.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.73

1st half Over/Under 96.5Actual: Over 96.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Spread Perth -4.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +4.5

PERT -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

CAIR +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Perth -0.5Actual: Cairns Taipans +0.5

PERT -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

CAIR +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Cairns Taipans (regulation)

PERT

no forecast

@ 1.69

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

CAIR

no forecast

@ 2.47

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.7	45.1	+1.8	50%	43%
Last 30 at home (18)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.1	44%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	58%	33%
Last 10 (10)	25.6	23.7	49.3	+1.9	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.8	24.2	50.0	+1.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	50%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	33%	42%
vs Weaker (10)	26.5	19.5	46.0	+7.0	70%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	20.1	26.2	46.3	-6.0	23%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	25.2	45.2	-5.1	15%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	26.9	47.1	-6.8	29%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	25.1	46.4	-3.8	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.4	42.4	-6.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.3	27.7	47.0	-8.4	10%	52%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	21.4	42.9	+0.0	57%	43%
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	26.5	51.0	-2.0	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	23.7	22.0	45.7	+1.7	70%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	67%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	25.0	22.7	47.7	+2.3	75%	42%
Last 10 (10)	24.8	23.7	48.5	+1.1	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	24.6	50.6	+1.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	26.0	47.1	-4.9	38%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	25.9	20.2	46.2	+5.7	83%	42%
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	80%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-3.0	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	24.2	44.7	-3.6	31%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	22.4	42.2	-2.5	35%	24%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.9	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.9	24.2	44.0	-4.3	19%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.1	71%	29%
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	50%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 94.5
Last 30 (30)	47.2	43.7	90.9	+3.5	63%	33%
Last 30 at home (18)	46.4	43.1	89.4	+3.3	61%	28%
Last 30 away (12)	48.3	44.7	93.0	+3.7	67%	42%
Last 10 (10)	50.4	47.4	97.8	+3.0	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	51.8	48.8	100.6	+3.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.8	48.4	93.1	-3.6	50%	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.8	43.2	90.0	+3.5	58%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	49.6	40.5	90.1	+9.1	80%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 94.5
Last 30 (30)	40.3	49.3	89.6	-9.0	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	49.3	89.9	-8.7	23%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	49.3	89.4	-9.2	41%	35%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	46.9	90.9	-2.9	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	48.4	88.8	-8.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	39.1	51.9	91.0	-12.8	19%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.0	41.9	84.9	+1.1	71%	14%
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	48.0	91.0	-5.0	50%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PERT win + total 198.5

🔒 Pro

CAIR win + total 198.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PERT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CAIR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PERT:CAIR): PERT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 206	81.9%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 100.5	79.9%	1.44	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Under 205	80.3%	1.42	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 102.5	84.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 98.5	74.3%	1.50	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.52	Betano 1.42	-	-	+14.0pp	Lost
Under 207.5	83.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 104.5	88.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 99.5	77.2%	1.44	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Under 205.5	80.6%	1.36	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Under 204	78.6%	1.42	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Perth -2	71.5%	1.57	Pinnacle 1.60	Bet365 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.55	1xBet 1.55	-	+12.3pp	Lost
Under 204.5	79.0%	1.39	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 106.5	91.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 101.5	82.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Perth -1	74.4%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.49	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Lost
Under 203.5	77.3%	1.42	1xBet 1.53	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.33	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Perth -1.5	72.6%	1.51	Bet365 1.53	1xBet 1.51	Marathon Bet 1.51	Betano 1.50	BetVictor 1.50	+11.6pp	Lost
Under 203	76.9%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 103.5	86.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Under 212.5	89.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Perth (regulation)	72.5%	1.48	1xBet 1.49	Marathon Bet 1.49	Betano 1.47	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Under 206.5	82.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Perth under 108.5	81.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Under 202.5	75.5%	1.42	1xBet 1.42	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.42	-	+10.8pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 108.5	93.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Perth +2	79.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Perth +2.5	80.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.32	1xBet 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.28	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Perth +1	76.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.37	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Cairns Taipans under 105.5	90.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Perth +1.5	77.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.35	-	+10.4pp	Lost
Under 211.5	88.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 97.5	71.2%	1.52	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	+10.2pp	Lost
Perth +3.5	82.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.28	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Perth win	75.0%	1.45	1xBet 1.49	Bet365 1.48	Marathon Bet 1.48	Pinnacle 1.47	Betano 1.44	+10.1pp	Lost
Perth under 106.5	75.7%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Under 210.5	87.5%	1.21	Bet365 1.21	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Under 201	73.1%	1.48	Bet365 1.48	Marathon Bet 1.48	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Perth +3	81.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Under 202	75.0%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Under 200	71.1%	1.48	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Under 217.5	93.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Under 200.5	71.7%	1.47	1xBet 1.55	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.43	Betano 1.40	-	+9.2pp	Won
Under 201.5	73.6%	1.44	1xBet 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.46	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.39	-	+9.0pp	Won
Cairns Taipans under 107.5	92.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Under 216.5	93.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Under 215.5	92.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Perth +4.5	84.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Under 209.5	86.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Under 214.5	91.5%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Perth under 109.5	83.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Perth +10.5	93.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Perth under 107.5	78.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Perth over 80.5	96.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Perth under 105.5	72.5%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Perth over 88.5	85.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Perth +15.5	97.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Under 213.5	90.6%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Perth over 82.5	95.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Perth over 84.5	92.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Perth over 86.5	89.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Under 208.5	85.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Perth over 81.5	96.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Perth +9.5	92.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Perth +14.5	96.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Under 218.5	94.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Perth over 83.5	94.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Perth over 87.5	88.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Perth over 85.5	91.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Perth +20.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Perth over 90.5	81.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Perth +19.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Perth over 89.5	83.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	-
Perth over 91.5	78.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 75.5	94.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 77.5	91.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Perth over 93.5	72.1%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Over 168.5	91.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Cairns Taipans +24.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 169.5	90.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Over 173.5	85.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 79.5	88.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Over 170.5	89.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 78.5	90.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Perth over 92.5	75.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Lost
Cairns Taipans +20.5	87.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Over 171.5	88.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Over 174.5	84.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 81.5	84.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Over 178.5	77.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 80.5	86.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Over 172.5	87.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Cairns Taipans +19.5	85.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Over 175.5	82.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Cairns Taipans +13.5	70.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 83.5	78.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Cairns Taipans +15.5	75.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Over 179.5	75.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 82.5	81.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Over 176.5	81.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 85.5	72.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
Cairns Taipans over 84.5	75.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Over 177.5	79.4%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Won
Over 180.5	73.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
Cairns Taipans +14.5	73.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Over 181.5	71.8%	1.21	Bet365 1.21	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.3	53.7%	56.4%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.9	34.9%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	16.6	14.0	84.3%	74.0%	14.0

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	21.2	57.8%	56.4%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.4	12.8	35.2%	34.2%	38.4
🏀 Free throws	13.2	10.3	78.0%	74.0%	10.3

They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	23.9	59.9%	56.4%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.9	35.6%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.1	74.6%	74.0%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	24.7	55.0%	56.4%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.9	34.4%	34.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.4	15.7	70.1%	74.0%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	22.0	54.0%	56.4%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	35.0%	34.2%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.2	76.3%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.9	55.5%	56.4%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.8	34.5%	34.2%	32.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.7	77.4%	74.0%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.0	54.6%	56.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.8	33.8%	34.2%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.9	73.0%	74.0%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.7	25.3	55.4%	56.4%	50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.2	33.4%	34.2%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	22.2	15.9	71.9%	74.0%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Perth

LLLWLWWWWL

Cairns Taipans

LLWWLWWWLL

League position

-8.1

Net rating

-3.9

97.4

Offensive rating

96.3

105.5

Defensive rating

100.2

53.1%

Effective FG%

55.3%

57.1%

Opp. effective FG%

53.7%

13.7%

Turnover %

13.8%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.18

34.9%

3-point %

35.2%

64.4%

Assist %

65.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Perth ■ Cairns Taipans

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Cairns Taipans wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/26	Perth v Cairns Taipans	98-84
22/01/26	Perth v Cairns Taipans	106-69
22/10/25	Cairns Taipans v Perth	78-110
10/10/25	Cairns Taipans v Perth	77-80
25/01/25	Perth v Cairns Taipans	116-125 OT
14/12/24	Cairns Taipans v Perth	92-128
10/10/24	Cairns Taipans v Perth	87-90
10/02/24	Perth v Cairns Taipans	117-88
26/12/23	Cairns Taipans v Perth	102-105
16/11/23	Perth v Cairns Taipans	88-80

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	104-109
31/10/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-105
28/10/26	H	Sydney	91-99
23/10/26	H	Melbourne United	103-102
17/10/26	A	Sydney	81-102
10/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-84
02/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	92-88
26/09/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	97-93
24/09/26	H	Adelaide	98-97
19/09/26	H	South East Melbourne	79-100

Cairns Taipanslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-107
31/10/26	H	Melbourne United	97-113
29/10/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	107-85
25/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	86-84
17/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	83-115
11/10/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	110-100
08/10/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	97-91
03/10/26	A	Melbourne United	107-95
30/09/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	75-98
27/09/26	A	Adelaide	69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	50%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	8	2
Win %	50%	62%	0%
Points / game	94.3	94.8	92.5
Allowed / game	97.9	96.0	105.5
Point differential	-3.6	-1.2	-13.0
Avg total	192.2	190.8	198.0
Over 198.5	30%	25%	50%
Win by 10+	10%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns Taipans

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	LWWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	92.4	93.6	91.6
Allowed / game	97.4	96.4	98.1
Point differential	-5.0	-2.8	-6.6
Avg total	189.8	190.0	189.7
Over 198.5	42%	40%	43%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	11	8	3	73%	99.0	89.1	+9.9
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	11	8	3	73%	94.1	89.5	+4.5
3	Melbourne United	12	7	5	58%	98.4	90.9	+7.5
4	Adelaide	12	6	6	50%	92.2	92.4	-0.2
5	Perth	10	5	5	50%	94.3	97.9	-3.6
6	Brisbane Bullets	12	6	6	50%	94.9	99.2	-4.3
7	Cairns Taipans	12	6	6	50%	92.4	97.4	-5.0
8	South East Melbourne	11	4	7	36%	97.1	95.7	+1.4
9	New Zealand Breakers	12	4	8	33%	89.4	89.9	-0.5
10	Illawarra Hawks	13	4	9	31%	95.5	103.8	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	27	21	17	27	92
Cairns Taipans	31	22	24	23	100

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Perth vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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