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Pesaro vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-99 (OT)
26-20 23-22 22-22 16-23 10-12
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#12
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Basket Napoli
04 Nov 2023
PES77
NAP97
23 Oct 2022
PES97
NAP99
13 Nov 2021
PES83
NAP100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 72
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 72
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 72
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 72
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 72
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
13-20
13-27
27-26
19-12
25-23
15-26
24-21
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
158.3Avg total
76.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.781.3169.0+6.367%
Season at home (1)90.089.0179.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)86.577.5164.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)76.581.8158.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)73.877.8151.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.084.3158.3-10.329%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.283.8170.0+2.569%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 70
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
57avg 70
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-90
67
90
-23
56avg 70
A16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 70
H24/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
64-56
64
56
+8
56avg 70
A01/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 70
H02/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A09/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
73-67
73
67
+6
66avg 70
H16/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
20-3
15-27
25-27
11-26
18-12
26-18
13-14
20-23
14-20
25-22
23-20
14-18
23-25
10-34
20-13
18-19
19-24
21-16
14-19
14-12
15-17
13-16
22-11
18-15
16-21
22-20
15-15
33-13
24-30
11-17
9-29
19-29
12-15
24-15
15-18
21-14
19-12
15-20
18-21
149.8Avg total
73.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Season at home (2)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
Season away (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.476.4149.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)73.674.8148.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.083.4159.4-7.422%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.180.1160.2+0.142%
vs Weaker (2)86.085.5171.5+0.550%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
PesaroBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
77.3Avg total
37.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.142.184.2+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.079.8-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.677.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.141.479.5-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.441.683.9+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
37-13
37
13
+24
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H24/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A01/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H02/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H16/10
Lega A
72.3Avg total
36.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.379.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.341.281.5-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.376.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.872.3+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.241.480.7-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.239.277.4-1.147%-
vs Weaker (2)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.9
48.7%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
36.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.710.7
72.8%
76.1%10.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.8
50.5%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
36.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.312.0
65.6%
76.1%12.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLLLWLWL
Basket Napoli
WLLLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#12
-7.1
Net rating
-1.4
106.0
Offensive rating
99.5
113.1
Defensive rating
100.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
31.7%
51.4%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 99.5Defence113.1 · 100.8Shooting50.2% · 49.4%3-point %35.3% · 31.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
1
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
08/05/22Basket Napoli v Pesaro84-85 OT
13/11/21Pesaro v Basket Napoli83-100
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
23/04/22ATrento83-82
16/04/22HVirtus Bologna77-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HReggiana73-67
09/10/22ABrindisi70-77
02/10/22HVirtus Bologna77-89
08/05/22HPesaro84-85 OT
01/05/22AFortitudo Bologna64-56
24/04/22HSassari72-78
16/04/22AOlimpia Milano67-90
13/04/22HReggiana82-85
09/04/22HBrescia68-70
03/04/22ATreviso77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.790.086.5
Allowed / game81.389.077.5
Point differential+6.3+1.0+9.0
Avg total169.0179.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.375.070.0
Allowed / game77.778.077.0
Point differential-4.3-3.0-7.0
Avg total151.0153.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%86.372.3+14.0
2 Tortona440100%77.065.5+11.5
3 Venezia43175%85.276.5+8.8
4 Olimpia Milano43175%76.275.5+0.8
5 Pesaro32167%87.781.3+6.3
6 Sassari42250%83.580.2+3.2
7 Brescia42250%82.081.0+1.0
8 Brindisi42250%84.583.5+1.0
9 Varese42250%87.086.0+1.0
10 Trento42250%76.576.2+0.2
11 Basket Napoli31233%73.377.7-4.3
12 Treviso31233%64.771.7-7.0
13 Verona31233%79.794.3-14.7
14 Reggiana41325%71.270.2+1.0
15 Scafati3030%72.079.0-7.0
16 Trieste4040%73.092.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro262322161097
Basket Napoli202222231299
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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