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Basket Napoli vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-89
33-13 24-30 11-17 9-29
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Virtus Bologna
03 Jan 2027
NAP v VIR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NAP71
VIR90
16 Mar 2025
NAP93
VIR88
21 Sep 2024
NAP87
VIR96
30 Oct 2023
NAP75
VIR88
02 Oct 2022
NAP77
VIR89
24 Oct 2021
NAP92
VIR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
54avg 72
H14/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 72
A19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
75avg 72
H27/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 72
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
57avg 72
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-90
67
90
-23
56avg 72
A16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 72
H24/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
64-56
64
56
+8
56avg 72
A01/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H08/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
13-24
18-14
21-19
19-24
16-22
20-20
22-17
18-22
21-16
25-13
15-18
17-10
20-3
15-27
25-27
11-26
18-12
26-18
13-14
20-23
14-20
25-22
23-20
14-18
23-25
10-34
20-13
18-19
19-24
21-16
14-19
14-12
15-17
13-16
22-11
18-15
16-21
22-20
15-15
150.9Avg total
74.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.476.5150.9-2.130%
Last 5 (5)73.878.8152.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.082.2157.2-7.225%
vs Similar (20)81.081.3162.3-0.240%
vs Weaker (2)86.085.5171.5+0.550%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
91-70
91
70
+21
93avg 84
H29/05
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
77-69
77
69
+8
76avg 84
A31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
52avg 84
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 84
H10/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 84
A12/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
61avg 84
A14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 84
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
61avg 84
A18/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
72-64 OT
72
64
+8
no box
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-9
31-20
19-15
18-13
29-20
15-18
15-18
10-13
17-15
13-22
22-16
18-23
21-15
17-16
19-14
27-31
18-17
23-30
14-16
24-16
10-24
21-15
7-22
25-12
17-25
20-21
22-20
16-29
20-14
10-18
18-20
8-12
14-14
14-12
23-21
23-19
20-30
14-10
15-10
147.7Avg total
74.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.6147.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)70.873.8144.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)74.572.2146.6+2.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.973.3158.2+11.694%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Basket NapoliVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H14/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A19/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
37-13
37
13
+24
A03/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H24/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A01/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H08/05
Lega A
72.4Avg total
34.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.278.9-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.279.5-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.039.378.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.872.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.873.0-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.041.078.0-4.025%-
vs Similar (20)38.639.578.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker (2)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/05
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A18/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
75.3Avg total
37.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.776.9+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.834.674.4+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.179.7+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.775.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)39.636.375.9+3.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.637.679.1+4.061%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.9
47.8%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.5
27.2%
36.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
76.1%13.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.4
50.9%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.3
34.3%
36.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
76.1%13.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWLLLLWWLL
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#2
-3.2
Net rating
+2.8
97.7
Offensive rating
102.2
100.9
Defensive rating
99.4
45.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.2%
3-point %
34.3%
58.0%
Assist %
65.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 102.2Defence100.9 · 99.4Shooting45.3% · 51.1%3-point %27.2% · 34.3%Ball care16.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Napoli wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22HPesaro84-85 OT
01/05/22AFortitudo Bologna64-56
24/04/22HSassari72-78
16/04/22AOlimpia Milano67-90
13/04/22HReggiana82-85
09/04/22HBrescia68-70
03/04/22ATreviso77-67
27/03/22HBrindisi79-69
19/03/22ATortona77-83
14/03/22HVarese74-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/22ASassari72-69
28/09/22AOlimpia Milano72-64 OT
18/06/22AOlimpia Milano64-81
16/06/22HOlimpia Milano84-78
14/06/22AOlimpia Milano62-77
12/06/22AOlimpia Milano82-94
10/06/22HOlimpia Milano75-68
08/06/22HOlimpia Milano62-66
31/05/22ATortona77-69
29/05/22HTortona91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro110100%100.074.0+26.0
2 Reggiana110100%78.058.0+20.0
3 Venezia110100%80.069.0+11.0
4 Tortona110100%76.070.0+6.0
5 Varese110100%87.081.0+6.0
6 Verona110100%100.097.0+3.0
7 Olimpia Milano110100%78.077.0+1.0
8 Brescia1010%77.078.0-1.0
9 Brindisi1010%97.0100.0-3.0
10 Sassari1010%81.087.0-6.0
11 Trento1010%70.076.0-6.0
12 Scafati1010%69.080.0-11.0
13 Treviso1010%58.078.0-20.0
14 Trieste1010%74.0100.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli332411977
Virtus Bologna1330172989
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