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Pesaro vs Forli Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.5
ItalySerie A2Round 36· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Forli
14 Apr 2027
PES v FORL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
PES85
FORL73
15 Mar 2025
PES84
FORL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
165.8Avg total
84.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.276.5159.7+6.783%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.875%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.281.6165.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)80.675.6156.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.486.6170.0-3.150%
vs Weaker (14)83.776.5160.2+7.293%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
161.8Avg total
78.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.379.5162.8+3.850%
Season at home (3)86.778.7165.3+8.067%
Season away (3)80.080.3160.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)78.583.3161.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.685.1160.7-9.424%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.182.4165.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)83.072.8155.8+10.275%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
PesaroForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.683.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.282.0+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.185.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.141.883.9+0.444%-
vs Weaker (14)44.239.283.4+5.079%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
87.5Avg total
42.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.584.8-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.886.5-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.183.1-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.187.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.644.282.8-5.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.845.188.9-1.333%-
vs Weaker (4)47.536.884.2+10.875%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
51.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.7
42.4%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.4
79.0%
70.9%15.4
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
70.9%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWWWLWLW
Forli
LLWLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#10
+1.9
Net rating
-1.3
106.7
Offensive rating
98.1
104.8
Defensive rating
99.4
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
42.4%
3-point %
35.0%
52.6%
Assist %
51.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 98.1Defence104.8 · 99.4Shooting56.4% · 53.0%3-point %42.4% · 35.0%Ball care10.9% · 13.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Pesaro v Forli85-73
26/11/25Forli v Pesaro88-91
15/03/25Pesaro v Forli84-71
16/10/24Forli v Pesaro71-50
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game83.279.291.0
Allowed / game76.575.578.5
Point differential+6.7+3.8+12.5
Avg total159.7154.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game83.386.780.0
Allowed / game79.578.780.3
Point differential+3.8+8.0-0.3
Avg total162.8165.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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