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Pesaro vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 71-69
20-15 13-16 20-20 18-18
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record4-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.2
ItalySerie A2Round 10· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Scafati
09 Nov 2025
PES71
SKA69
22 Oct 2023
PES103
SKA107
16 Apr 2023
PES79
SKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 78
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 78
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 78
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 78
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 78
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 78
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 78
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 78
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 78
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 78
A02/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
24-24
22-19
21-19
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
163.4Avg total
83.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.478.2161.7+5.278%
Season at home (4)80.076.5156.5+3.575%
Season away (5)86.279.6165.8+6.680%
Last 10 (10)83.679.8163.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)86.680.2166.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.780.6162.3+1.253%
vs Weaker (10)93.280.0173.2+13.290%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
72-100
72
100
-28
66avg 71
A11/05
Lega A
Mestre
#15
W
76-61
76
61
+15
10avg 71
H21/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-94
64
94
-30
55avg 71
A28/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 71
A08/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 71
H12/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 71
A19/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 71
H26/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 71
H02/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
17-27
13-27
20-23
26-17
11-18
13-15
26-11
21-26
16-8
13-33
14-27
20-22
31-13
26-28
23-24
20-26
23-20
10-19
20-12
21-25
18-20
22-22
20-18
14-20
25-21
23-17
25-24
27-18
25-21
23-19
17-24
20-18
15-16
13-22
22-20
14-18
33-18
15-21
20-30
162.8Avg total
79.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.681.2161.8-0.744%
Season at home (5)86.280.4166.6+5.860%
Season away (4)73.582.2155.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)79.783.1162.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)82.482.4164.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.895.3179.1-11.57%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.688.6172.3-5.027%
vs Weaker (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
PesaroScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
82.1Avg total
41.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.984.5+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.738.182.9+6.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.385.9-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.082.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.086.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.540.281.7+1.347%-
vs Weaker (10)47.142.589.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/05
Lega A
Mestre
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H12/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H26/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A29/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
41.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.085.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.844.187.8-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.983.1-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.581.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.081.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.746.888.5-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.842.883.6-2.045%-
vs Weaker (4)43.536.880.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.5
58.9%
50.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.1
33.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.2
77.6%
74.4%13.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.0
48.4%
50.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.4
41.8%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
74.4%12.5
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLWWWWWLL
Scafati
LLWWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
-7.6
110.1
Offensive rating
116.2
105.7
Defensive rating
123.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
41.8%
64.5%
Assist %
49.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 116.2Defence105.7 · 123.8Shooting55.1% · 54.7%3-point %33.9% · 41.8%Ball care17.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
3
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Scafati v Pesaro83-82
22/10/23Pesaro v Scafati103-107 OT
16/04/23Pesaro v Scafati79-86
15/01/23Scafati v Pesaro69-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
06/05/25AFortitudo Bologna85-94
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HCento82-87
29/10/25ACividale70-76
26/10/25HLibertas Livorno92-82
19/10/25AForli87-82
12/10/25HVerona81-85
08/10/25ABrindisi73-77
04/10/25HUrania Milano100-87
28/09/25AFortitudo Bologna64-94
21/09/25HMestre76-61
11/05/25AOlimpia Milano72-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game83.480.086.2
Allowed / game78.276.579.6
Point differential+5.2+3.5+6.6
Avg total161.7156.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game80.686.273.5
Allowed / game81.280.482.2
Point differential-0.7+5.8-8.8
Avg total161.8166.6155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro97278%83.478.2+5.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna107370%79.572.9+6.6
3 Sebastiani Rieti96367%82.176.9+5.2
4 Verona96367%77.873.7+4.1
5 Brindisi106460%77.571.2+6.3
6 Libertas Livorno106460%79.474.1+5.3
7 Avellino Basket106460%79.975.4+4.5
8 Cento106460%80.077.9+2.1
9 Rimini95456%83.378.9+4.4
10 Cividale94544%76.176.8-0.7
11 Scafati94544%80.681.2-0.7
12 Pistoia94544%81.181.9-0.8
13 Blu Basket Bergamo94544%84.685.7-1.1
14 Forli94544%74.979.0-4.1
15 Basket Torino94544%70.376.2-5.9
16 JuVi Cremona94544%75.282.7-7.4
17 Mestre93633%80.984.0-3.1
18 Ruvo Di Puglia103730%75.984.3-8.4
19 Roseto92722%83.188.8-5.7
20 Urania Milano92722%76.984.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2013201871
Scafati1516201869
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