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Pesaro vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 103-107 (OT)
14-34 16-13 31-20 25-19 17-21
Position#16
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Scafati 🏆
Italy
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 4· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Scafati
09 Nov 2025
PES71
SKA69
22 Oct 2023
PES103
SKA107
16 Apr 2023
PES79
SKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 72
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 72
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
44avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
72avg 72
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 72
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 72
A14/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-19
18-23
30-20
27-30
23-22
23-21
14-25
20-14
30-21
13-24
19-19
16-26
17-28
23-24
12-16
15-27
11-17
18-30
13-12
22-24
14-18
25-24
27-17
17-34
23-21
14-16
26-23
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
162.1Avg total
78.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.775.0149.7-0.333%
Season at home (1)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Season away (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.084.1162.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)78.480.4158.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.289.9167.1-12.724%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.882.3166.2+1.558%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 74
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 74
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 74
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 74
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
69avg 74
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 74
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 74
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
74avg 74
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
90avg 74
H15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
16-14
15-17
12-18
23-23
15-27
24-18
23-16
15-18
16-19
22-19
33-23
18-15
19-28
22-21
22-19
27-18
26-18
13-20
20-22
16-32
21-14
20-23
24-26
24-24
27-26
14-32
27-6
15-25
21-23
19-13
20-20
21-24
20-21
11-20
25-20
21-16
22-14
22-23
20-24
164.6Avg total
81.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.081.0160.0-2.033%
Season at home (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)81.882.8164.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)82.085.2167.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.483.0162.4-3.620%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.780.5159.2-1.842%
vs Weaker (6)84.579.2163.7+5.367%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
PesaroScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A13/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A15/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H20/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
83.2Avg total
39.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.979.5-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.083.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.645.983.6-8.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.839.781.4+2.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/10
Lega A
81.6Avg total
40.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.979.0-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.483.3-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.174.1-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.381.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.885.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.843.682.4-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.739.877.5-2.147%-
vs Weaker (6)43.737.381.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.9
52.1%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
76.3%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.0
49.0%
53.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.4
40.7%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.915.3
81.0%
76.3%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLLWLLWLW
Scafati
WLLWLWLWWL
#16
League position
#14
-8.4
Net rating
+1.0
108.4
Offensive rating
113.5
116.8
Defensive rating
112.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
40.7%
53.8%
Assist %
71.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.5Defence116.8 · 112.5Shooting53.1% · 54.4%3-point %36.5% · 40.7%Ball care16.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 29.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
1
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Pesaro v Scafati79-86
15/01/23Scafati v Pesaro69-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
20/05/23HOlimpia Milano80-94
18/05/23HOlimpia Milano88-83
15/05/23AOlimpia Milano57-86
13/05/23AOlimpia Milano68-94
07/05/23HTortona82-78
29/04/23ABasket Napoli87-98
23/04/23HTrieste94-83
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HPistoia85-77
08/10/23AReggiana77-85
01/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-81
07/05/23HBrescia92-88
30/04/23AVarese81-95
23/04/23AVerona86-78
19/04/23HVirtus Bologna81-83
16/04/23APesaro86-79
11/04/23HBrindisi85-84
02/04/23AReggiana70-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.764.080.0
Allowed / game75.076.074.5
Point differential-0.3-12.0+5.5
Avg total149.7140.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.080.077.0
Allowed / game81.079.085.0
Point differential-2.0+1.0-8.0
Avg total160.0159.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%95.378.0+17.3
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia440100%78.269.2+9.0
4 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
5 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
6 Olimpia Milano43175%78.075.0+3.0
7 Trento43175%82.282.8-0.5
8 Tortona42250%71.075.2-4.2
9 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
10 Scafati31233%79.081.0-2.0
11 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
12 Cremona41325%84.284.8-0.5
13 Varese41325%82.290.5-8.2
14 Pistoia3030%77.382.0-4.7
15 Treviso4040%76.086.8-10.8
16 Brindisi4040%67.581.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro1416312517103
Scafati3413201921107
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