PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-68
21-18 15-23 17-13 19-14
Position#7
Record5-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game74.1
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2011-12
Meetings · Pesaro v Varese
23 Dec 2023
PES81
VAR88
15 Feb 2023
PES84
VAR80
11 Dec 2022
PES101
VAR93
05 Dec 2021
PES94
VAR75
08 Nov 2020
PES85
VAR78
11 Apr 2020
PES v VAR
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
PES78
VAR98
03 Dec 2017
PES74
VAR71
13 Nov 2016
PES83
VAR87
31 Jan 2016
PES76
VAR71
19 Oct 2014
PES85
VAR96
16 Mar 2014
PES79
VAR86
06 Jan 2013
PES69
VAR82
27 Dec 2011
PES72
VAR68
23 Jan 2011
PES74
VAR72
16 May 2010
PES89
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Biella
#12
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H15/10
Lega A
Cantu
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H06/11
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A12/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Avellino
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H27/11
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A04/12
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
24-15
16-19
12-27
20-17
20-15
9-4
20-30
10-23
17-14
20-13
24-16
16-14
13-22
20-16
9-19
20-21
20-16
21-20
21-19
23-12
18-21
16-13
26-27
14-18
17-24
21-14
20-26
18-28
15-21
17-13
12-20
15-12
19-12
17-23
17-24
15-16
22-19
22-21
22-22
145.2Avg total
71.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.174.1145.2-3.050%
Season at home (5)70.072.6142.6-2.640%
Season away (5)72.275.6147.8-3.460%
Last 10 (10)71.174.1145.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.277.2150.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.176.1146.2-6.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.974.2146.1-2.444%
vs Weaker (3)74.065.7139.7+8.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#18
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H23/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
A30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A13/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H26/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A11/12
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-23
15-29
20-16
28-17
24-24
27-22
22-25
11-14
19-19
20-17
22-14
9-13
26-20
19-17
11-15
27-23
23-14
14-26
21-19
12-27
18-18
19-9
14-20
14-15
17-23
29-17
14-24
22-19
16-18
16-15
19-15
21-25
24-24
21-21
13-20
19-11
19-22
22-18
19-22
155.7Avg total
77.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.778.0155.7-0.360%
Season at home (5)82.074.8156.8+7.2100%
Season away (5)73.481.2154.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)77.778.0155.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)73.676.6150.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.976.7148.6-4.827%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.177.6156.7+1.471%
vs Weaker (2)77.588.5166.0-11.00%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
PesaroVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Biella
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/10
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H06/11
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/11
Lega A
Avellino
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H27/11
Lega A
Teramo
#17
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A04/12
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/12
Lega A
70.4Avg total
34.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.772.9-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.935.172.1+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)35.438.373.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.570.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.539.373.8-4.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.935.472.3+1.669%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.773.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A09/10
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/10
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H23/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A13/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/11
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/12
Lega A
Biella
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/12
Lega A
77.9Avg total
38.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.975.2-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.634.172.6+4.579%-
Last 30 away (16)36.241.277.4-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.077.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.476.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.436.872.2-1.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.638.376.9+0.459%-
vs Weaker (2)36.540.577.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
23/01/11Pesaro v Varese74-72
17/10/10Varese v Pesaro87-78
16/05/10Pesaro v Varese89-84
24/01/10Varese v Pesaro89-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/11ACremona81-78
11/12/11HSutor Montegranaro68-71
04/12/11ATeramo62-82
27/11/11HAvellino72-82
20/11/11HTreviso83-73
12/11/11ACaserta82-76
06/11/11HVenezia58-71
29/10/11ACantu71-66
15/10/11HOlimpia Milano69-66
09/10/11ABiella65-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/11HBiella79-73
11/12/11ASassari79-90
26/11/11HVenezia73-67
20/11/11ASiena74-79
13/11/11AVirtus Bologna63-74
06/11/11HCaserta85-82
30/10/11AVirtus Roma76-74 OT
23/10/11HCasale Monferrato72-64
16/10/11HSutor Montegranaro101-88
09/10/11AOlimpia Milano75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game71.170.072.2
Allowed / game74.172.675.6
Point differential-3.0-2.6-3.4
Avg total145.2142.6147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%100%20%
Points / game77.782.073.4
Allowed / game78.074.881.2
Point differential-0.3+7.2-7.8
Avg total155.7156.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena108280%77.467.5+9.9
2 Olimpia Milano118373%75.169.3+5.8
3 Biella117464%76.373.7+2.5
4 Caserta106460%80.177.5+2.6
5 Virtus Bologna106460%80.479.7+0.7
6 Varese106460%77.778.0-0.3
7 Cantu127558%73.869.2+4.7
8 Avellino116555%81.782.0-0.3
9 Venezia105550%77.276.1+1.1
10 Treviso105550%77.677.0+0.6
11 Sassari105550%78.078.7-0.7
12 Pesaro105550%71.174.1-3.0
13 Virtus Roma114736%79.382.2-2.9
14 Casale Monferrato103730%71.374.6-3.3
15 Sutor Montegranaro103730%75.078.8-3.8
16 Cremona113827%72.580.5-8.0
17 Teramo112918%72.378.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2115171972
Varese1823131468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.