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Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 76-71
24-20 11-28 16-19 25-4
Position#12
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.9
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game78.4
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2015-16
Meetings · Pesaro v Varese
23 Dec 2023
PES81
VAR88
15 Feb 2023
PES84
VAR80
11 Dec 2022
PES101
VAR93
05 Dec 2021
PES94
VAR75
08 Nov 2020
PES85
VAR78
11 Apr 2020
PES v VAR
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
PES78
VAR98
03 Dec 2017
PES74
VAR71
13 Nov 2016
PES83
VAR87
31 Jan 2016
PES76
VAR71
19 Oct 2014
PES85
VAR96
16 Mar 2014
PES79
VAR86
06 Jan 2013
PES69
VAR82
27 Dec 2011
PES72
VAR68
23 Jan 2011
PES74
VAR72
16 May 2010
PES89
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H30/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A06/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H13/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A20/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A27/12
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A25/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
24-34
16-24
16-25
18-23
14-22
19-18
23-23
16-15
17-18
17-24
19-16
18-18
16-20
32-12
16-25
23-19
22-11
15-25
12-14
19-18
11-16
16-19
23-13
14-21
13-25
18-24
20-20
20-20
22-15
13-19
14-22
26-24
18-17
20-28
18-19
22-11
20-17
19-28
14-21
154.3Avg total
73.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.478.9152.3-5.629%
Season at home (8)74.074.8148.8-0.850%
Season away (9)72.882.7155.4-9.911%
Last 10 (10)73.780.6154.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)72.079.4151.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.179.0152.1-5.933%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.979.4152.3-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H24/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
12-20
20-28
9-18
23-9
17-11
15-22
16-29
11-27
16-12
15-33
27-14
20-21
25-13
19-18
15-14
20-10
16-13
10-20
15-22
25-16
14-18
20-16
26-31
23-17
17-26
21-13
16-14
15-18
24-20
19-32
31-14
12-13
10-27
14-21
28-25
17-14
20-19
16-17
21-22
151.9Avg total
74.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.278.4150.6-6.241%
Season at home (9)77.178.3155.4-1.256%
Season away (8)66.878.5145.2-11.825%
Last 10 (10)74.377.6151.9-3.360%
Last 5 (5)77.878.6156.4-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.387.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.674.4152.1+3.263%
vs Weaker (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
PesaroVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H30/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A20/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A27/12
Lega A
Torino
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A25/01
Lega A
76.4Avg total
37.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.774.9-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.938.474.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.175.6-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.776.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.439.474.9-4.028%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.337.775.0-0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A06/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Gussing Knights
#35
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Caserta
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Minsk
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
69.6Avg total
35.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.776.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.137.876.8+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.675.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.269.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.673.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.544.778.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.235.275.4+5.168%-
vs Weaker (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
18/10/15Varese v Pesaro88-81
01/02/15Varese v Pesaro70-80
19/10/14Pesaro v Varese85-96
16/03/14Pesaro v Varese79-86
01/12/13Varese v Pesaro91-77
28/04/13Varese v Pesaro85-70
06/01/13Pesaro v Varese69-82
14/04/12Varese v Pesaro63-67
27/12/11Pesaro v Varese72-68
23/01/11Pesaro v Varese74-72
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/16APistoia75-77
18/01/16HAvellino82-88
04/01/16HTorino69-76
27/12/15ACantu65-90
23/12/15HOlimpia Milano69-66
20/12/15ACapo d'Orlando72-69
13/12/15HVenezia82-75
06/12/15ACaserta69-73
30/11/15HCremona74-86
23/11/15ASassari80-106
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/16HAEK Larnaca74-72
24/01/16HOlimpia Milano64-86
20/01/16AMinsk89-84
17/01/16ACaserta77-70
13/01/16HGussing Knights85-81
06/01/16AAEK Larnaca61-65
03/01/16HCantu79-66
27/12/15AReggiana69-86
23/12/15HCremona87-82 OT
20/12/15AVenezia58-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%50%11%
Points / game73.474.072.8
Allowed / game78.974.882.7
Point differential-5.6-0.8-9.9
Avg total152.3148.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL41%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game72.277.166.8
Allowed / game78.478.378.5
Point differential-6.2-1.2-11.8
Avg total150.6155.4145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1813572%82.069.9+12.1
2 Reggiana1712571%78.572.2+6.4
3 Cremona1712571%76.173.6+2.5
4 Pistoia1712571%78.576.0+2.5
5 Trento1710759%76.473.9+2.4
6 Avellino1810856%76.576.4+0.1
7 Venezia179853%75.572.7+2.8
8 Sassari189950%81.980.2+1.7
9 Cantu178947%82.180.7+1.4
10 Brindisi1881044%79.780.1-0.4
11 Caserta1771041%71.273.9-2.8
12 Varese1771041%72.278.4-6.2
13 Virtus Bologna1761135%74.578.7-4.2
14 Torino1751229%76.181.6-5.5
15 Pesaro1751229%73.478.9-5.6
16 Capo d'Orlando1751229%65.573.4-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2411162576
Varese202819471
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