Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2011

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 69-66

20-17 20-15 9-4 20-30

Position#7

Record0-1

FormWLLWL

Points / game65.0

Allowed / game76.0

Pesaro 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#3

Record1-0

FormLLWLW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game75.0

Lega ARound 2

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

65-71

-6

H19/03

Lega A

Biella

#15

64-88

-24

A27/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

82-59

+23

H03/04

Lega A

Siena

66-72

-6

H10/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

66-56

+10

A16/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

84-64

+20

H23/04

Lega A

Cantu

55-63

-8

A01/05

Lega A

Avellino

76-89

-13

A12/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-71

+11

H15/05

Lega A

Biella

#12

65-76

-11

A09/10

Lega A

14-17

17-13

20-18

14-23

18-27

19-22

15-19

12-20

14-21

25-16

18-16

25-6

11-17

14-17

19-18

22-20

13-12

17-9

15-20

21-15

23-19

22-16

15-12

24-17

10-16

19-17

8-7

18-23

18-14

19-26

23-28

16-21

20-19

16-20

23-13

23-19

13-15

24-15

16-19

12-27

141.4Avg total

70.5Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	65.0	76.0	141.0	-11.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	65.0	76.0	141.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	70.9	141.4	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	72.6	145.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	69.1	81.4	150.6	-12.3	22%
vs Similar (16)	73.5	73.9	147.4	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (4)	74.8	66.0	140.8	+8.8	75%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#10

71-82

-11

A15/05

Lega A

Sassari

70-71

-1

H18/05

Lega A

Sassari

73-63

+10

H20/05

Lega A

Sassari

91-72

+19

A22/05

Lega A

Sassari

72-60

+12

A24/05

Lega A

Cantu

48-62

-14

A30/05

Lega A

Cantu

64-70

-6

A01/06

Lega A

Cantu

70-56

+14

H03/06

Lega A

Cantu

62-74

-12

H05/06

Lega A

Varese

89-75

+14

H09/10

Lega A

19-20

20-16

13-23

19-23

16-12

18-23

22-19

14-17

22-8

14-20

14-15

23-20

19-19

18-24

29-20

25-9

19-13

18-9

19-20

16-18

11-22

18-12

10-11

9-17

19-22

14-23

16-13

15-12

26-13

14-19

15-8

15-16

16-18

13-17

17-21

21-18

23-22

29-15

16-20

139.5Avg total

71.0Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	89.0	75.0	164.0	+14.0	100%
Season at home (1)	89.0	75.0	164.0	+14.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	71.0	68.5	139.5	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.6	67.4	134.0	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	70.0	78.0	148.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	68.5	70.8	139.3	-2.4	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	82.2	74.9	157.1	+7.2	76%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	20.1	36.5	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	17.7	33.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	19.2	35.8	-2.8	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.4	35.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.3	18.3	35.5	-1.0	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	47%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

31-30

H19/03

Lega A

Biella

#15

37-49

-12

A27/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

39-37

H03/04

Lega A

Siena

25-34

-9

H10/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

30-21

A16/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

45-35

+10

H23/04

Lega A

Cantu

29-33

-4

A01/05

Lega A

Avellino

37-40

-3

A12/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

36-39

-3

H15/05

Lega A

Biella

#12

37-30

A09/10

Lega A

69.4Avg total

34.6Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.8	73.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	35.0	72.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	38.4	73.5	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	34.8	69.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	35.4	72.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.9	41.4	76.3	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.3	34.6	71.9	+2.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#10

39-36

A15/05

Lega A

Sassari

34-35

-1

H18/05

Lega A

Sassari

36-28

H20/05

Lega A

Sassari

37-43

-6

A22/05

Lega A

Sassari

37-22

+15

A24/05

Lega A

Cantu

29-34

-5

A30/05

Lega A

Cantu

33-45

-12

A01/06

Lega A

Cantu

40-32

H03/06

Lega A

Cantu

32-36

-4

H05/06

Lega A

Varese

44-40

H09/10

Lega A

71.2Avg total

36.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	36.1	73.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.5	35.6	70.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	35.1	71.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.4	73.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.1	36.1	70.2	-2.0	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.2	76%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	18.3	34.1	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	15.6	32.6	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	20.6	35.4	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	14.1	19.6	33.7	-5.4	44%	-
vs Similar (16)	15.9	18.8	34.7	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.9	37.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.1	34.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	12.8	29.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	24.0	36.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.1	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	19.1	36.5	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.3	34.2	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	17.2	31.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.4	18.5	35.8	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	38.0	73.1	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	34.5	71.4	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	41.0	74.6	-7.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	36.1	72.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.2	72.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.2	40.0	74.2	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.0	38.2	73.2	-3.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.4	75.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.6	36.7	72.3	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	33.4	68.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	30.0	61.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	45.0	75.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.4	34.7	69.1	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.5	37.8	79.4	+3.7	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	82-71
16/01/11	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	94-84
29/03/10	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	83-77
29/11/09	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	89-86 OT
25/01/09	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	91-81
12/10/08	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	62-67

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/10/11	A	Biella	65-76
15/05/11	H	Olimpia Milano	82-71
12/05/11	A	Avellino	76-89
01/05/11	A	Cantu	55-63
23/04/11	H	Brindisi	84-64
16/04/11	A	Sutor Montegranaro	66-56
10/04/11	H	Siena	66-72
03/04/11	H	Cremona	82-59
27/03/11	A	Biella	64-88
19/03/11	H	Treviso	65-71

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/10/11	H	Varese	89-75
05/06/11	H	Cantu	62-74
03/06/11	H	Cantu	70-56
01/06/11	A	Cantu	64-70
30/05/11	A	Cantu	48-62
24/05/11	A	Sassari	72-60
22/05/11	A	Sassari	91-72
20/05/11	H	Sassari	73-63
18/05/11	H	Sassari	70-71
15/05/11	A	Pesaro	71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	65.0	-	65.0
Allowed / game	76.0	-	76.0
Point differential	-11.0	-	-11.0
Avg total	141.0	-	141.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	89.0	89.0	-
Allowed / game	75.0	75.0	-
Point differential	+14.0	+14.0	-
Avg total	164.0	164.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sassari	1	1	0	100%	78.0	58.0	+20.0
2	Olimpia Milano	1	1	0	100%	89.0	75.0	+14.0
3	Cantu	1	1	0	100%	72.0	60.0	+12.0
4	Biella	1	1	0	100%	76.0	65.0	+11.0
5	Sutor Montegranaro	1	1	0	100%	85.0	76.0	+9.0
6	Siena	1	1	0	100%	75.0	67.0	+8.0
7	Virtus Bologna	1	1	0	100%	93.0	91.0	+2.0
8	Caserta	1	1	0	100%	85.0	84.0	+1.0
9	Treviso	1	0	1	0%	84.0	85.0	-1.0
10	Virtus Roma	1	0	1	0%	91.0	93.0	-2.0
11	Teramo	1	0	1	0%	67.0	75.0	-8.0
12	Avellino	1	0	1	0%	76.0	85.0	-9.0
13	Pesaro	1	0	1	0%	65.0	76.0	-11.0
14	Cremona	1	0	1	0%	60.0	72.0	-12.0
15	Varese	1	0	1	0%	75.0	89.0	-14.0
16	Casale Monferrato	1	0	1	0%	58.0	78.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	20	20	9	20	69
Olimpia Milano	17	15	4	30	66

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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