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Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 101-93
27-27 32-17 23-30 19-19
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game83.7
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game90.1
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Varese
23 Dec 2023
PES81
VAR88
15 Feb 2023
PES84
VAR80
11 Dec 2022
PES101
VAR93
05 Dec 2021
PES94
VAR75
08 Nov 2020
PES85
VAR78
11 Apr 2020
PES v VAR
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
PES78
VAR98
03 Dec 2017
PES74
VAR71
13 Nov 2016
PES83
VAR87
31 Jan 2016
PES76
VAR71
19 Oct 2014
PES85
VAR96
16 Mar 2014
PES79
VAR86
06 Jan 2013
PES69
VAR82
27 Dec 2011
PES72
VAR68
23 Jan 2011
PES74
VAR72
16 May 2010
PES89
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 73
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 73
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 73
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 73
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
94avg 73
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 73
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 73
A04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
18-11
21-30
12-25
20-19
19-10
33-24
33-21
17-19
19-20
23-18
17-20
22-17
24-18
15-20
19-17
17-24
167.0Avg total
84.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.483.7171.1+3.856%
Season at home (4)84.887.0171.8-2.250%
Season away (5)89.681.0170.6+8.660%
Last 10 (10)84.282.8167.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.283.7160.9-6.541%
vs Similar (13)88.186.5174.5+1.662%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
96-110
96
110
-14
87avg 77
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 77
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 77
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
88avg 77
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
73avg 77
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 77
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 77
H04/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-29
29-38
24-23
23-17
18-21
29-17
17-26
26-23
18-17
24-20
15-28
27-22
24-24
17-18
17-21
22-18
21-16
24-22
20-25
24-23
17-23
26-19
20-20
31-33
28-15
17-20
25-25
20-16
27-23
26-30
20-21
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
184.4Avg total
92.3Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.990.1182.0+1.867%
Season at home (5)91.691.6183.2+0.060%
Season away (4)92.288.2180.5+4.075%
Last 10 (10)92.392.1184.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)95.893.4189.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.290.8177.0-4.538%
vs Similar (15)87.788.9176.6-1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)92.588.0180.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
PesaroVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A20/11
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/12
Lega A
83.6Avg total
43.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.282.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.341.583.8+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.081.1-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.283.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.840.680.4-0.941%-
vs Similar (13)42.842.084.8+0.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H08/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/10
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
92.0Avg total
47.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.889.1-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.486.9-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)46.045.291.2+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)47.544.592.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.698.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.546.089.5-2.554%-
vs Similar (15)44.243.487.6+0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)50.047.597.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.2
51.3%
51.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
76.1%13.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.9
57.9%
51.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.8
33.0%
36.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
76.1%15.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLWLLWWL
Varese
LWWWWWLLWL
#10
League position
#4
-1.0
Net rating
-3.2
107.2
Offensive rating
111.5
108.2
Defensive rating
114.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
33.0%
49.6%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 111.5Defence108.2 · 114.7Shooting51.4% · 53.9%3-point %34.4% · 33.0%Ball care16.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
20/03/22Varese v Pesaro76-87
05/12/21Pesaro v Varese94-75
14/03/21Varese v Pesaro81-68
08/11/20Pesaro v Varese85-78
15/12/19Varese v Pesaro103-87
28/04/19Varese v Pesaro81-75
30/12/18Pesaro v Varese78-98
31/03/18Varese v Pesaro88-68
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
12/03/17Varese v Pesaro93-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ATrento75-79
27/11/22HSassari81-75
20/11/22ABrindisi102-74
06/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-85
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91
19/11/22HVenezia93-90
06/11/22AScafati101-93
30/10/22HTreviso87-85
22/10/22AReggiana87-81
16/10/22HTrento91-94 OT
08/10/22ABrescia83-88
02/10/22HSassari87-81
08/05/22HSassari96-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game87.484.889.6
Allowed / game83.787.081.0
Point differential+3.8-2.2+8.6
Avg total171.1171.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game91.991.692.2
Allowed / game90.191.688.2
Point differential+1.8+0.0+4.0
Avg total182.0183.2180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%87.372.7+14.7
2 Olimpia Milano109190%83.271.4+11.8
3 Tortona107370%79.272.7+6.5
4 Varese96367%91.990.1+1.8
5 Trento106460%74.774.6+0.1
6 Pesaro95456%87.483.7+3.8
7 Brescia105550%86.583.3+3.2
8 Venezia105550%79.177.4+1.7
9 Brindisi94544%79.985.9-6.0
10 Sassari104640%77.879.8-2.0
11 Basket Napoli104640%78.081.6-3.6
12 Scafati93633%77.279.7-2.4
13 Trieste93633%79.788.6-8.9
14 Treviso92722%75.984.1-8.2
15 Verona92722%78.690.0-11.4
16 Reggiana102820%70.873.4-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro27322319101
Varese2717301993
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