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Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-80
29-12 15-23 23-29 17-16
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Pesaro v Varese
23 Dec 2023
PES81
VAR88
15 Feb 2023
PES84
VAR80
11 Dec 2022
PES101
VAR93
05 Dec 2021
PES94
VAR75
08 Nov 2020
PES85
VAR78
11 Apr 2020
PES v VAR
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
PES78
VAR98
03 Dec 2017
PES74
VAR71
13 Nov 2016
PES83
VAR87
31 Jan 2016
PES76
VAR71
19 Oct 2014
PES85
VAR96
16 Mar 2014
PES79
VAR86
06 Jan 2013
PES69
VAR82
27 Dec 2011
PES72
VAR68
23 Jan 2011
PES74
VAR72
16 May 2010
PES89
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 75
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 75
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 75
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 75
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 75
A12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
32-17
23-30
19-19
25-23
22-25
22-21
25-21
18-25
22-14
19-20
14-14
18-16
21-26
23-25
14-28
21-27
20-13
32-14
28-18
15-13
26-18
11-24
29-14
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
170.3Avg total
84.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.785.6170.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)78.683.8162.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.384.6163.9-5.339%
vs Similar (12)86.881.5168.2+5.275%
vs Weakerno games
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 78
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 78
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 78
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 78
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 78
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 78
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 78
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 78
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 78
H12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
181.1Avg total
90.5Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.590.6181.1-0.140%
Last 5 (5)86.486.2172.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.394.2178.6-9.922%
vs Similar (16)88.188.1176.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (5)97.691.0188.6+6.680%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
PesaroVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
84.8Avg total
42.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.682.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.081.5-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.884.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.081.8-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.241.282.4-0.144%-
vs Similar (12)42.039.781.7+2.375%-
vs Weakerno games
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
92.0Avg total
45.2Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.045.090.0-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.343.287.5+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)45.847.192.9-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.246.892.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.691.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.947.989.8-6.033%-
vs Similar (16)46.043.089.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker (5)47.446.493.8+1.060%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.6
37.3%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
-15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.6
51.5%
-35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.6
37.1%
-37.8
🏀 Free throws22.115.7
71.0%
-15.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWWWLLWW
Varese
LLWLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#7
-1.5
Net rating
-2.5
111.5
Offensive rating
109.6
112.9
Defensive rating
112.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.3%
3-point %
37.1%
58.8%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pesaro wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Pesaro v Varese101-93
20/03/22Varese v Pesaro76-87
05/12/21Pesaro v Varese94-75
14/03/21Varese v Pesaro81-68
08/11/20Pesaro v Varese85-78
15/12/19Varese v Pesaro103-87
28/04/19Varese v Pesaro81-75
30/12/18Pesaro v Varese78-98
31/03/18Varese v Pesaro88-68
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
15/01/23AScafati81-69
08/01/23HTreviso101-72
30/12/22AReggiana76-95
26/12/22HVirtus Bologna82-87 OT
18/12/22AVerona94-90
11/12/22HVarese101-93
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Varese
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia110100%75.072.0+3.0
2 Olimpia Milano1010%72.075.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2915231784
Varese1223291680
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