Pesaro vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.2	92.5	171.6	-13.3	5%
Season at home (10)	74.6	88.9	163.5	-14.3	0%
Season away (10)	83.7	96.0	179.7	-12.3	10%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	92.5	172.4	-12.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	95.0	175.8	-14.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	77.5	91.4	168.8	-13.9	7%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#15

99-69

+30

H01/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

67-74

-7

A08/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

103-87

103

+16

H15/12

Lega A

Cremona

72-93

-21

A21/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

91-60

+31

H26/12

Lega A

Trento

81-86

-5

H29/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

84-79

A05/01

Lega A

Sassari

87-93

-6

A12/01

Lega A

Trieste

#14

91-85

H19/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

76-79

-3

A26/01

Lega A

34-19

24-20

21-15

20-15

14-14

21-23

12-17

20-20

25-24

31-30

26-20

21-13

24-18

17-29

16-24

15-22

26-14

18-19

24-15

23-12

16-20

20-26

17-19

28-21

23-17

14-27

22-11

25-24

25-28

18-22

27-25

17-18

20-20

22-18

33-21

16-26

20-24

28-20

13-20

15-15

165.6Avg total

85.1Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.6	80.1	162.7	+2.5	47%
Season at home (9)	88.3	76.7	165.0	+11.7	78%
Season away (10)	77.5	83.2	160.7	-5.7	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	80.5	165.6	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	84.4	168.2	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	86.2	159.5	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	81.0	86.7	167.7	-5.7	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	83.3	73.1	156.5	+10.2	67%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.8	21.9	38.6	-5.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.3	40.1	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	23.4	42.3	-4.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.8	41.7	-3.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	23.9	42.8	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	18.9	23.4	42.3	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.3	40.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.2	22.8	36.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	18.9	40.3	+2.4	67%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

30-31

-1

H08/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

54-56

-2

A15/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

46-41

A22/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

35-48

-13

H26/12

Lega A

Venezia

49-54

-5

A29/12

Lega A

Trieste

#14

47-48

-1

H05/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

41-34

A11/01

Lega A

Sassari

44-53

-9

H19/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-52

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Brindisi

35-45

-10

H09/02

Lega A

89.0Avg total

42.8Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	45.9	83.9	-7.8	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	44.6	80.4	-8.9	7%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	46.9	87.0	-6.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	46.2	89.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	46.4	89.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	38.0	45.9	83.9	-7.8	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#15

58-39

+19

H01/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

35-37

-2

A08/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

56-54

H15/12

Lega A

Cremona

41-47

-6

A21/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

44-33

+11

H26/12

Lega A

Trento

36-46

-10

H29/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

37-44

-7

A05/01

Lega A

Sassari

43-50

-7

A12/01

Lega A

Trieste

#14

42-38

H19/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

48-44

A26/01

Lega A

87.2Avg total

44.0Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.9	81.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.4	85.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	43.2	77.2	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.8	36.7	79.5	+6.1	73%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.3	41.3	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	23.3	42.6	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	24.2	42.5	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	26.2	45.4	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	18.9	22.3	41.3	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	23.2	42.7	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.3	39.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	44.9	83.9	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	43.0	82.3	-3.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	46.5	85.2	-7.8	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	46.3	83.4	-9.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	48.6	86.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	39.0	44.9	83.9	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	39.3	81.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	40.9	78.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.3	78.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	43.0	82.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	44.0	83.4	-4.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	18.9	46.3%	52.0%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.1	31.9%	35.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.1	16.0	56.9%	52.0%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	12.4	38.2%	35.1%	37.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	14.9	81.4%	73.6%	14.9

They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.6	53.3%	52.0%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	10.0	38.2%	35.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.3	78.7%	73.6%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.1	15.9	51.1%	52.0%	31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.7	37.8%	35.1%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.6	76.8%	73.6%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	18.1	46.8%	52.0%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.0	31.7%	35.1%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.9	72.4%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.3	52.0%	52.0%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	11.4	36.5%	35.1%	34.1
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.4	74.2%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	23.8	55.2%	52.0%	47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	9.3	39.7%	35.1%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.7	74.5%	73.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.4	16.3	53.7%	52.0%	32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.7	35.9%	35.1%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.4	74.8%	73.6%	16.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pesaro

LLLWLLLLLL

Varese

LWLWLWLWLW

#17

League position

#10

-16.6

Net rating

+6.7

103.9

Offensive rating

122.5

120.5

Defensive rating

115.8

47.0%

Effective FG%

57.1%

54.8%

Opp. effective FG%

53.8%

15.5%

Turnover %

15.2%

30.7%

Off. rebound %

27.7%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.30

31.9%

3-point %

38.2%

51.4%

Assist %

59.5%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Pesaro ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/19	Varese v Pesaro	103-87
28/04/19	Varese v Pesaro	81-75
30/12/18	Pesaro v Varese	78-98
31/03/18	Varese v Pesaro	88-68
03/12/17	Pesaro v Varese	74-71
12/03/17	Varese v Pesaro	93-78
13/11/16	Pesaro v Varese	83-87
31/01/16	Pesaro v Varese	76-71
18/10/15	Varese v Pesaro	88-81
01/02/15	Varese v Pesaro	70-80

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/20	H	Brindisi	77-103
01/02/20	A	Virtus Bologna	89-106
19/01/20	H	Sassari	82-107
11/01/20	A	Fortitudo Bologna	80-77
05/01/20	H	Trieste	76-82
29/12/19	A	Venezia	92-98
26/12/19	H	Cantu	72-87
22/12/19	A	Pistoia	79-91
15/12/19	A	Varese	87-103
08/12/19	H	Olimpia Milano	65-71

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	A	Fortitudo Bologna	76-79
19/01/20	H	Trieste	91-85
12/01/20	A	Sassari	87-93
05/01/20	A	Treviso	84-79
29/12/19	H	Trento	81-86
26/12/19	H	Pistoia	91-60
21/12/19	A	Cremona	72-93
15/12/19	H	Pesaro	103-87
08/12/19	A	Cantu	67-74
01/12/19	H	Virtus Roma	99-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	5%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLWL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	5%	0%	10%
Points / game	79.2	74.6	83.7
Allowed / game	92.5	88.9	96.0
Point differential	-13.3	-14.3	-12.3
Avg total	171.6	163.5	179.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	47%
Home	WWWLW	78%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	47%	78%	20%
Points / game	82.6	88.3	77.5
Allowed / game	80.1	76.7	83.2
Point differential	+2.5	+11.7	-5.7
Avg total	162.7	165.0	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	56%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	20	18	2	90%	86.0	75.0	+10.9
2	Sassari	21	16	5	76%	85.5	75.9	+9.6
3	Brescia	21	14	7	67%	81.3	74.0	+7.3
4	Olimpia Milano	21	14	7	67%	80.3	74.0	+6.3
5	Brindisi	21	13	8	62%	84.6	80.8	+3.8
6	Cremona	20	12	8	60%	81.3	80.8	+0.5
7	Venezia	21	11	10	52%	78.0	75.3	+2.7
8	Trento	21	11	10	52%	77.9	79.3	-1.4
9	Fortitudo Bologna	21	11	10	52%	77.3	79.5	-2.2
10	Varese	19	9	10	47%	82.6	80.1	+2.5
11	Cantu	20	9	11	45%	76.7	79.0	-2.4
12	Reggiana	21	9	12	43%	82.9	84.0	-1.0
13	Treviso	21	8	13	38%	77.1	79.2	-2.1
14	Trieste	22	7	15	32%	76.0	80.5	-4.5
15	Virtus Roma	22	7	15	32%	78.5	85.5	-7.0
16	Pistoia	22	7	15	32%	74.5	83.3	-8.8
17	Pesaro	20	1	19	5%	79.2	92.5	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Varese Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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