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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-70
18-18 16-11 24-22 18-19
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#6
Record14-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 71
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 71
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 71
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 71
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 71
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 71
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 71
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 71
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 71
H19/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
158.9Avg total
78.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.380.9159.2-2.643%
Season at home (11)85.583.3168.7+2.255%
Season away (12)71.878.8150.5-7.033%
Last 10 (10)78.480.5158.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.480.0161.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.581.9154.4-9.425%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.581.8160.2-3.250%
vs Weaker (14)89.481.5170.9+7.964%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 73
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 73
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 73
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 73
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 73
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 73
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 73
A20/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
21-26
13-24
24-14
19-22
20-19
21-14
23-11
15-14
20-18
12-19
15-24
27-25
21-23
23-26
12-17
24-21
27-17
10-21
13-26
25-15
15-30
28-18
24-23
17-26
16-14
23-15
21-26
18-24
28-23
25-16
13-14
9-29
17-12
22-17
32-22
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
162.2Avg total
81.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.579.3160.8+2.261%
Season at home (11)78.677.4156.0+1.345%
Season away (12)84.181.1165.2+3.075%
Last 10 (10)81.880.4162.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)87.282.2169.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.079.0158.0+0.062%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.082.6166.6+1.446%
vs Weaker (9)81.477.8159.2+3.778%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
77.6Avg total
37.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.779.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.941.584.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.538.274.7-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.877.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.037.973.9-1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.843.483.1-3.650%-
vs Weaker (14)41.338.780.0+2.657%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
80.0Avg total
39.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.980.3+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.179.7+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.780.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.280.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.137.673.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.340.583.8+2.846%-
vs Weaker (9)43.337.881.1+5.656%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.8
50.3%
54.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.3
30.0%
35.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
74.2%15.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
54.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.613.5
81.3%
74.2%13.5
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLWLLLLW
Jonava
WWWLWLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-7.6
Net rating
+0.7
103.6
Offensive rating
108.6
111.2
Defensive rating
107.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.0%
3-point %
35.4%
67.8%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 108.6Defence111.2 · 107.9Shooting48.2% · 54.3%3-point %30.0% · 35.4%Ball care18.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 24.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
21/01/23AJonava75-76
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
13/03/23ABC Wolves99-94 OT
06/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-77
19/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-81
18/02/23ARytas92-86
14/02/23HPrienai74-85
12/02/23ANevezis83-91
04/02/23HRytas62-75
01/02/23HNeptunas83-66
29/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%55%33%
Points / game78.385.571.8
Allowed / game80.983.378.8
Point differential-2.6+2.2-7.0
Avg total159.2168.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%45%75%
Points / game81.578.684.1
Allowed / game79.377.481.1
Point differential+2.2+1.3+3.0
Avg total160.8156.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2420483%87.373.0+14.3
2 Rytas2318578%90.481.9+8.6
3 BC Wolves2315865%85.480.8+4.6
4 Lietkabelis2415962%86.182.8+3.3
5 Jonava2314961%81.579.3+2.2
6 Juventus2314961%85.083.4+1.5
7 Nevezis24111346%84.185.8-1.6
8 Siauliai23101343%83.986.3-2.4
9 Neptunas23101343%78.380.9-2.6
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%78.288.7-10.5
11 Gargzdai2451921%77.585.3-7.9
12 Prienai2432112%80.190.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1816241876
Jonava1811221970
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