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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 67-65
14-15 10-16 18-19 25-15
Position#6
Record14-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.9
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record6-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON70
GAR91
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 72
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 72
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 72
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 72
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 72
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 72
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
27-17
10-21
13-26
25-15
15-30
28-18
24-23
17-26
16-14
23-15
21-26
18-24
28-23
25-16
13-14
9-29
17-12
22-17
32-22
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
18-18
11-16
22-24
19-18
17-22
22-18
11-18
24-27
23-16
11-26
27-25
15-21
14-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
163.2Avg total
80.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.279.9160.1+0.352%
Season at home (13)78.178.8156.8-0.738%
Season away (14)82.281.0163.2+1.264%
Last 10 (10)80.283.0163.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)75.281.4156.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.580.8159.2-2.250%
vs Similar (14)81.982.8164.6-0.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.176.2156.4+3.975%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 71
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 71
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 71
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 71
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 71
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 71
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 71
H16/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
164.2Avg total
77.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.385.2162.5-8.022%
Season at home (14)72.679.6152.2-7.129%
Season away (13)82.391.2173.5-8.915%
Last 10 (10)77.087.2164.2-10.230%
Last 5 (5)76.486.2162.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.986.6162.5-10.814%
vs Similar (5)83.479.0162.4+4.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/04
LKL
77.3Avg total
37.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.679.7+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.979.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.139.280.3+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.077.3-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.238.175.4-0.950%-
vs Similar (14)41.839.981.7+1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.036.680.6+7.462%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
82.2Avg total
38.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.643.380.9-5.719%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.140.276.3-4.129%-
Last 30 away (13)39.246.585.8-7.38%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.682.2-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.343.981.2-6.514%-
vs Similar (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.9
51.2%
54.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.111.3
80.1%
74.2%11.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.5
47.8%
54.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.7
33.6%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
74.2%14.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLLWWWLWL
Gargzdai
WLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#11
-3.9
Net rating
-13.8
106.2
Offensive rating
101.3
110.1
Defensive rating
115.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
33.6%
65.6%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 101.3Defence110.1 · 115.1Shooting50.7% · 48.8%3-point %33.3% · 33.6%Ball care17.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23ALietkabelis72-85
11/04/23HJuventus76-88
02/04/23HBC Wolves74-85
26/03/23ANeptunas70-76
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
13/03/23ABC Wolves99-94 OT
06/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-77
19/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-81
18/02/23ARytas92-86
14/02/23HPrienai74-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
02/04/23HNevezis73-87
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%38%64%
Points / game80.278.182.2
Allowed / game79.978.881.0
Point differential+0.3-0.7+1.2
Avg total160.1156.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW22%
HomeWLWLW29%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%29%15%
Points / game77.372.682.3
Allowed / game85.279.691.2
Point differential-8.0-7.1-8.9
Avg total162.5152.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)43% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2723485%87.272.0+15.2
2 Rytas2721678%91.382.4+9.0
3 BC Wolves2719870%85.279.3+5.9
4 Lietkabelis27171063%85.381.6+3.7
5 Juventus27161159%85.583.5+2.0
6 Jonava27141352%80.279.9+0.3
7 Nevezis27121544%84.385.8-1.6
8 Neptunas27121544%78.781.3-2.6
9 Siauliai27111641%83.486.6-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2772026%79.190.0-11.0
11 Gargzdai2762122%77.385.2-8.0
12 Prienai2742315%79.889.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1410182567
Gargzdai1516191565
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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