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Pistoia vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-89
23-21 23-22 15-19 13-27
Position#19
Record4-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Mestre 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.0
ItalySerie A2Round 10· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Mestre
07 Mar 2027
PIS v MEST
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
PIS74
MEST89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 69
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 69
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
76avg 69
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 69
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 69
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 69
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 69
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-18
22-22
14-24
16-16
17-20
21-22
15-16
21-18
19-20
25-26
28-19
16-15
19-19
21-20
21-23
18-13
17-27
16-27
18-23
18-25
17-19
20-22
27-10
22-22
29-18
21-22
16-11
26-24
19-18
18-22
26-27
18-11
18-23
10-22
27-26
17-17
12-17
23-30
24-17
162.5Avg total
80.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.181.9163.0-0.844%
Season at home (4)81.886.2168.0-4.525%
Season away (5)80.678.4159.0+2.260%
Last 10 (10)80.282.3162.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.680.6162.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)77.088.3165.3-11.319%
vs Similar ◀ (4)96.092.5188.5+3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 67
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 67
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 67
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 67
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 67
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 67
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 67
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 67
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 67
H01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
164.9Avg total
80.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.984.0164.9-3.133%
Season at home (5)84.886.8171.6-2.040%
Season away (4)76.080.5156.5-4.525%
Last 10 (9)80.984.0164.9-3.133%
Last 5 (5)81.889.6171.4-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.087.8165.8-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
PistoiaMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H02/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.282.5-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.545.584.0-7.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.880.9-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.878.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.343.881.1-6.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.846.591.2-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
86.1Avg total
41.9Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)41.944.286.1-2.344%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.246.488.6-4.240%-
Last 30 away (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (9)41.944.286.1-2.344%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.891.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.045.086.0-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)46.048.094.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.4
47.8%
50.8%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
74.4%16.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.3
50.8%
50.8%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.9
43.2%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
73.2%
74.4%12.4
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWWLWWLL
Mestre
LLLLLWWWL
#19
League position
#15
-4.7
Net rating
-1.0
104.6
Offensive rating
113.8
109.2
Defensive rating
114.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.7%
3-point %
43.2%
47.7%
Assist %
43.3%
40%
Form (last 10/9)
33%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.8Defence109.2 · 114.8Shooting52.5% · 56.4%3-point %38.7% · 43.2%Ball care17.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds23.2% · 22.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/9)40% · 33%
■ Pistoia   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HFortitudo Bologna76-81
29/10/25APesaro73-82
26/10/25HJuVi Cremona89-91
19/10/25ASebastiani Rieti88-73
12/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia82-76
08/10/25HLibertas Livorno69-90
05/10/25ABasket Torino91-87 OT
28/09/25HBlu Basket Bergamo93-83
21/09/25AVerona69-74
11/05/25AReggiana72-86
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game81.181.880.6
Allowed / game81.986.278.4
Point differential-0.8-4.5+2.2
Avg total163.0168.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game80.984.876.0
Allowed / game84.086.880.5
Point differential-3.1-2.0-4.5
Avg total164.9171.6156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro108280%82.277.3+4.9
2 Fortitudo Bologna107370%79.572.9+6.6
3 Sebastiani Rieti96367%82.176.9+5.2
4 Verona96367%77.873.7+4.1
5 Brindisi106460%77.571.2+6.3
6 Libertas Livorno106460%79.474.1+5.3
7 Avellino Basket106460%79.975.4+4.5
8 Cento106460%80.077.9+2.1
9 Rimini95456%83.378.9+4.4
10 Cividale94544%76.176.8-0.7
11 Pistoia94544%81.181.9-0.8
12 Blu Basket Bergamo94544%84.685.7-1.1
13 Forli94544%74.979.0-4.1
14 Basket Torino94544%70.376.2-5.9
15 JuVi Cremona94544%75.282.7-7.4
16 Scafati104640%79.480.2-0.8
17 Mestre93633%80.984.0-3.1
18 Ruvo Di Puglia103730%75.984.3-8.4
19 Roseto92722%83.188.8-5.7
20 Urania Milano92722%76.984.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2323151374
Mestre2122192789
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