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Pistoia vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-89
17-28 10-19 17-24 25-18
Position#16
Record5-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.1
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Trieste
30 Mar 2025
PIS69
TRI89
03 Nov 2019
PIS76
TRI72
03 Mar 2019
PIS77
TRI90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 72
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 72
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 72
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 72
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 72
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 72
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 72
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 72
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 72
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 72
A23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
21-22
15-25
18-17
21-16
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
171.5Avg total
79.1Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.889.0169.8-8.322%
Season at home (11)85.590.6176.1-5.227%
Season away (12)76.587.6164.1-11.117%
Last 10 (10)79.192.4171.5-13.320%
Last 5 (5)75.887.8163.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.587.5164.0-11.018%
vs Similar (8)94.094.6188.6-0.625%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 79
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
78avg 79
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 79
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 79
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 79
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 79
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-131
88
131
-43
84avg 79
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 79
H22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
21-20
25-25
20-23
23-25
23-21
22-26
6-15
26-23
18-12
17-17
25-20
23-29
24-21
21-17
22-26
15-20
23-13
18-20
18-19
13-23
20-15
25-21
21-23
18-18
27-15
20-18
20-22
17-24
22-10
26-23
23-18
25-41
17-29
27-31
19-30
17-22
20-19
20-17
28-20
168.9Avg total
84.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.385.1171.5+1.261%
Season at home (12)84.979.6164.5+5.367%
Season away (11)87.991.2179.1-3.355%
Last 10 (10)84.584.4168.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)85.087.8172.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.691.8176.4-7.240%
vs Similar (15)79.977.5157.5+2.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.285.6178.8+7.789%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
PistoiaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
89.2Avg total
39.7Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.346.286.5-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.548.390.8-5.821%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.382.7-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.749.589.2-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.685.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.745.483.1-7.723%-
vs Similar (8)47.548.295.8-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-70
42
70
-28
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/03
Lega A
83.5Avg total
42.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.482.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.978.4+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.986.5-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.383.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
vs Similar (15)41.138.179.2+3.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.441.987.3+3.656%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.1
47.2%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.2
36.6%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
76.8%13.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.5
55.4%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.7%
35.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.813.5
71.8%
76.8%13.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWLLLWLL
Trieste
WLWWLWLWLW
#16
League position
#6
-18.4
Net rating
+1.8
104.9
Offensive rating
114.0
123.3
Defensive rating
112.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
55.9%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
37.7%
46.3%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 114.0Defence123.3 · 112.2Shooting49.8% · 55.9%3-point %36.6% · 37.7%Ball care16.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Trieste v Pistoia80-75
07/03/20Trieste v Pistoia97-80
03/11/19Pistoia v Trieste76-72
03/03/19Pistoia v Trieste77-90
04/11/18Trieste v Pistoia96-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96
12/01/25ATrieste75-80
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HVirtus Bologna85-78
15/03/25ATrapani88-131
09/03/25HScafati88-75
02/03/25HTreviso85-73
15/02/25ATrento79-82
13/02/25ATrapani74-72
09/02/25ABrescia90-93
01/02/25HTortona86-72
26/01/25AOlimpia Milano74-87
18/01/25AReggiana96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%27%17%
Points / game80.885.576.5
Allowed / game89.090.687.6
Point differential-8.3-5.2-11.1
Avg total169.8176.1164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game86.384.987.9
Allowed / game85.179.691.2
Point differential+1.2+5.3-3.3
Avg total171.5164.5179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2417771%93.884.3+9.5
2 Brescia2417771%90.585.6+4.8
3 Virtus Bologna2316770%84.678.7+5.9
4 Olimpia Milano2316770%88.784.2+4.5
5 Trento2416867%87.181.8+5.2
6 Reggiana2314961%81.377.9+3.4
7 Tortona2314961%86.684.3+2.3
8 Trieste2314961%86.385.1+1.2
9 Venezia23131057%81.078.4+2.6
10 Sassari24101442%81.184.1-3.0
11 Treviso2491538%84.287.7-3.4
12 Basket Napoli2371630%82.886.7-3.9
13 Cremona2471729%78.182.6-4.5
14 Varese2471729%87.696.7-9.1
15 Scafati2461825%86.193.0-6.9
16 Pistoia2351822%80.889.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1710172569
Trieste2819241889
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