PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-78
17-22 20-19 20-17 28-20
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.5
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#1
Record16-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Virtus Bologna
14 Feb 2027
TRI v VIR
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
TRI66
VIR74
22 Mar 2025
TRI85
VIR78
02 Apr 2023
TRI80
VIR78
02 Apr 2022
TRI81
VIR92
13 Dec 2020
TRI60
VIR77
17 Nov 2019
TRI85
VIR89
07 Oct 2018
TRI88
VIR92
19 Jun 2017
TRI66
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
74avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
95avg 79
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
78avg 79
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 79
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 79
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 79
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 79
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-131
88
131
-43
84avg 79
A15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-15
17-18
16-21
30-13
21-20
25-25
20-23
23-25
23-21
22-26
6-15
26-23
18-12
17-17
25-20
23-29
24-21
21-17
22-26
15-20
23-13
18-20
18-19
13-23
20-15
25-21
21-23
18-18
27-15
20-18
20-22
17-24
22-10
26-23
23-18
25-41
17-29
27-31
19-30
168.1Avg total
84.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.485.5171.9+1.059%
Season at home (11)84.979.7164.6+5.264%
Season away (11)87.991.2179.1-3.355%
Last 10 (10)84.084.1168.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.886.6169.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.595.2179.8-10.825%
vs Similar (16)80.677.4158.1+3.256%
vs Weaker (9)93.285.6178.8+7.789%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 78
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 78
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 78
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
57avg 78
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 78
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
92avg 78
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-18
18-23
13-25
20-19
34-19
20-14
24-14
18-20
15-27
20-24
24-20
14-34
15-20
25-14
16-24
20-25
18-9
25-25
23-21
24-24
18-15
10-22
16-28
26-20
23-21
15-15
16-19
17-30
16-20
21-18
13-12
20-20
24-24
22-25
22-24
17-15
16-27
12-23
22-12
160.4Avg total
77.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.978.5163.4+6.573%
Season at home (11)86.677.0163.6+9.691%
Season away (11)83.279.9163.1+3.355%
Last 10 (10)77.882.6160.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)74.082.8156.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.788.5165.2-11.810%
vs Similar (10)78.576.5155.0+2.070%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.472.6155.0+9.967%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
TriesteVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A26/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-70
42
70
-28
A15/03
Lega A
84.0Avg total
43.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.836.678.4+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.786.6-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.681.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.047.587.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (16)41.638.279.8+3.362%-
vs Weaker (9)45.441.987.3+3.656%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H28/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
40.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.880.0+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.078.2+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.682.0+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.482.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.283.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.544.083.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (10)41.337.879.1+3.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.736.477.1+4.267%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.8
57.0%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
76.8%12.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.1
29.8%
35.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
76.8%15.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWWLWLWLWW
Virtus Bologna
LLLWLWLLWL
#6
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
-6.3
113.6
Offensive rating
106.2
112.1
Defensive rating
112.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
29.8%
60.3%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 106.2Defence112.1 · 112.5Shooting55.8% · 50.9%3-point %36.4% · 29.8%Ball care19.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 26.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Virtus Bologna v Trieste70-78
02/04/23Trieste v Virtus Bologna80-78
09/10/22Virtus Bologna v Trieste85-80
02/04/22Trieste v Virtus Bologna81-92
16/10/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste94-79
11/04/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste81-67
13/12/20Trieste v Virtus Bologna60-77
17/11/19Trieste v Virtus Bologna85-89 OT
20/01/19Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-74
07/10/18Trieste v Virtus Bologna88-92
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ATrapani88-131
09/03/25HScafati88-75
02/03/25HTreviso85-73
15/02/25ATrento79-82
13/02/25ATrapani74-72
09/02/25ABrescia90-93
01/02/25HTortona86-72
26/01/25AOlimpia Milano74-87
18/01/25AReggiana96-81
12/01/25HPistoia80-75
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv67-77
16/03/25ABasket Napoli88-93
13/03/25HReal Madrid67-80
10/03/25HTrento80-75
07/03/25AAnadolu Efes68-89
02/03/25HOlimpia Milano86-80
28/02/25HOlympiacos70-92
12/02/25HOlimpia Milano77-91
09/02/25ATortona98-66
07/02/25HParis77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game86.484.987.9
Allowed / game85.579.791.2
Point differential+1.0+5.2-3.3
Avg total171.9164.6179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game84.986.683.2
Allowed / game78.577.079.9
Point differential+6.5+9.6+3.3
Avg total163.4163.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2216673%94.583.8+10.6
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%84.978.5+6.5
3 Trento2216673%87.681.7+6.0
4 Brescia2216673%91.185.7+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano2215768%88.684.0+4.6
6 Reggiana2214864%81.077.2+3.8
7 Tortona2213959%86.285.0+1.2
8 Trieste2213959%86.485.5+1.0
9 Venezia22121055%80.578.0+2.5
10 Treviso2281436%84.487.5-3.0
11 Sassari2281436%80.184.1-4.0
12 Basket Napoli2261627%82.487.0-4.5
13 Cremona2261627%76.982.4-5.5
14 Scafati2261627%86.593.0-6.5
15 Varese2261627%87.397.8-10.5
16 Pistoia2251723%81.488.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1720202885
Virtus Bologna2219172078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.