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Pistoia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 74-65
17-16 16-14 22-18 19-17
Position#13
Record6-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game75.5
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Varese
19 Jan 2025
PIS111
VAR96
05 May 2024
PIS78
VAR96
17 Apr 2020
PIS v VAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
PIS71
VAR65
04 Mar 2018
PIS74
VAR65
30 Oct 2016
PIS97
VAR64
13 Dec 2015
PIS67
VAR65
03 May 2015
PIS87
VAR103
08 Dec 2013
PIS89
VAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-26
18-21
23-11
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
18-26
23-17
15-24
23-19
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
157.0Avg total
76.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.880.8155.6-6.032%
Season at home (9)79.078.1157.1+0.956%
Season away (10)71.083.2154.2-12.210%
Last 10 (10)76.081.0157.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)76.879.8156.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.883.6156.4-10.814%
vs Similar (12)79.577.1156.6+2.458%
vs Weaker (4)80.570.5151.0+10.075%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
24-16
26-17
15-11
15-14
19-21
17-25
15-16
14-17
24-19
17-15
19-23
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
160.7Avg total
82.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.375.5153.8+2.842%
Season at home (10)82.474.9157.3+7.560%
Season away (9)73.876.1149.9-2.322%
Last 10 (10)82.478.3160.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)85.876.8162.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.077.6156.6+1.460%
vs Similar (20)78.175.2153.2+2.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.678.4161.0+4.240%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
PistoiaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
39.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.179.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.178.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.481.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.143.479.4-7.314%-
vs Similar (12)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
81.0Avg total
42.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.479.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.237.780.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.277.8-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.581.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.639.689.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.844.284.0-4.420%-
vs Similar (20)40.138.578.7+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.6
49.5%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.7
33.2%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.310.1
70.6%
73.0%10.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
51.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.514.0
80.0%
73.0%14.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLWLLLLLW
Varese
WWWWLLLLLW
#13
League position
#8
-6.7
Net rating
+4.3
103.8
Offensive rating
108.9
110.6
Defensive rating
104.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
34.9%
53.4%
Assist %
56.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 108.9Defence110.6 · 104.5Shooting49.6% · 51.0%3-point %33.2% · 34.9%Ball care16.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 33.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
29/10/17Varese v Pistoia81-73
27/02/17Varese v Pistoia75-70
30/10/16Pistoia v Varese97-64
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
13/12/15Pistoia v Varese67-65
03/05/15Pistoia v Varese87-103
04/01/15Varese v Pistoia67-71
23/03/14Varese v Pistoia84-73
08/12/13Pistoia v Varese89-76
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18AAvellino71-101
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
23/12/17HTrento79-86
16/12/17ASassari81-88
09/12/17HPesaro86-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92
07/01/18ACremona72-80
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT
26/12/17HVirtus Bologna85-90 OT
16/12/17AReggiana66-76
10/12/17HCapo d'Orlando82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game74.879.071.0
Allowed / game80.878.183.2
Point differential-6.0+0.9-12.2
Avg total155.6157.1154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game78.382.473.8
Allowed / game75.574.976.1
Point differential+2.8+7.5-2.3
Avg total153.8157.3149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2015575%79.972.3+7.5
2 Venezia1914574%80.778.6+2.2
3 Avellino2014670%84.577.3+7.2
4 Brescia1913668%79.575.3+4.2
5 Torino2012860%80.780.8-0.1
6 Virtus Bologna1911858%79.976.2+3.7
7 Sassari20101050%84.282.0+2.1
8 Trento20101050%77.977.3+0.6
9 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
10 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese1981142%78.375.5+2.8
13 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
14 Pistoia1961332%74.880.8-6.0
15 Capo d'Orlando2051525%68.782.2-13.4
16 Pesaro1941521%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1716221974
Varese1614181765
← all games of the day
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