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Pistoia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 73-88
22-20 22-25 17-33 12-10
Position#16
Record6-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game83.6
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record15-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Avellino
12 May 2019
PIS73
AVE88
22 Oct 2017
PIS71
AVE86
05 Feb 2017
PIS67
AVE59
11 May 2016
PIS90
AVE92
25 Oct 2015
PIS76
AVE70
21 Dec 2014
PIS61
AVE68
20 Oct 2013
PIS75
AVE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
81avg 103
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 103
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 103
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 103
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 103
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
200avg 103
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
57avg 103
A05/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
14-18
23-20
20-20
21-23
21-24
17-16
18-24
17-18
25-19
16-22
14-17
19-26
14-18
13-22
23-28
20-30
161.6Avg total
76.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.283.6158.7-8.421%
Season at home (14)70.476.9147.3-6.621%
Season away (15)79.789.7169.4-10.120%
Last 10 (10)76.784.9161.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)74.682.4157.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.683.7159.3-8.125%
vs Similar (2)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
102avg 107
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
78avg 107
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
127avg 107
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 107
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
82avg 107
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-105
84
105
-21
73avg 107
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
109-82
109
82
+27
160avg 107
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 107
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 107
H05/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
26-19
24-19
13-25
24-24
30-23
18-24
17-32
19-26
28-17
33-21
26-20
22-24
14-22
29-18
12-27
24-18
17-19
14-20
27-26
25-22
170.1Avg total
85.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.182.2164.3-0.052%
Season at home (15)85.278.6163.8+6.667%
Season away (14)78.986.0164.9-7.136%
Last 10 (10)85.185.0170.1+0.130%
Last 5 (5)90.291.2181.4-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.682.5155.1-9.920%
vs Similar (12)77.384.8162.1-7.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.178.0168.1+12.186%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
PistoiaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/05
Lega A
79.5Avg total
39.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.742.382.0-2.634%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.241.279.4-3.029%-
Last 30 away (15)41.143.384.4-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.179.5-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.442.381.6-2.933%-
vs Similar (2)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/05
Lega A
85.1Avg total
42.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.181.8-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.439.979.2-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)40.344.985.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.485.1+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.487.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.941.579.4-3.640%-
vs Similar (12)37.843.781.5-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.739.485.1+6.357%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.3
46.8%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.0
32.1%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.417.3
73.9%
72.3%17.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.911.1
74.5%
72.3%11.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLWLLLLL
Avellino
LLWLLLLWWL
#16
League position
#9
-11.1
Net rating
+2.2
96.7
Offensive rating
111.6
107.8
Defensive rating
109.4
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.1%
3-point %
35.8%
52.2%
Assist %
65.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 111.6Defence107.8 · 109.4Shooting47.3% · 53.8%3-point %32.1% · 35.8%Ball care20.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Pistoia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
13/01/19Avellino v Pistoia82-78
11/02/18Avellino v Pistoia101-71
22/10/17Pistoia v Avellino71-86
05/02/17Pistoia v Avellino67-59
15/10/16Avellino v Pistoia83-67
11/05/16Pistoia v Avellino90-92 OT
09/05/16Avellino v Pistoia83-70
07/05/16Avellino v Pistoia93-76
07/02/16Avellino v Pistoia84-76
25/10/15Pistoia v Avellino76-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/19AVarese70-98
27/04/19HCantu74-84
20/04/19ATrento73-82
14/04/19HTorino78-81
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/19HBrindisi83-87
28/04/19AOlimpia Milano79-85
20/04/19HTorino109-82
14/04/19ASassari84-105
09/04/19HTrieste96-97 OT
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %21%21%20%
Points / game75.270.479.7
Allowed / game83.676.989.7
Point differential-8.4-6.6-10.1
Avg total158.7147.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game82.185.278.9
Allowed / game82.278.686.0
Point differential-0.0+6.6-7.1
Avg total164.3163.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%86.879.4+7.3
2 Cremona2920969%83.678.6+5.0
3 Venezia29191066%81.275.4+5.8
4 Brindisi29181162%82.078.9+3.1
5 Sassari29171259%86.481.2+5.2
6 Varese29161355%79.875.9+3.9
7 Trieste29161355%87.883.9+3.9
8 Trento29161355%79.480.5-1.1
9 Cantu29161355%84.385.7-1.3
10 Avellino29151452%82.182.2-0.0
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Reggiana2982128%78.783.2-4.5
14 Torino2982128%82.787.6-4.9
15 Pesaro2972224%79.791.8-12.1
16 Pistoia2962321%75.283.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2222171273
Avellino2025331088
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