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Pistoia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 78-88
12-18 18-24 23-20 25-26
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game88.0
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Bologna
19 Apr 2025
PIS62
VIR86
23 Dec 2023
PIS70
VIR91
29 Sep 2019
PIS78
VIR88
16 Dec 2018
PIS71
VIR81
29 Apr 2018
PIS61
VIR74
10 Apr 2016
PIS88
VIR76
09 Nov 2014
PIS72
VIR73
04 Jan 2014
PIS80
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 99
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 99
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 99
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 99
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
200avg 99
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
57avg 99
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 99
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 99
A25/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
23-18
13-17
19-22
17-22
22-18
24-23
13-17
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
14-18
23-20
20-20
21-23
21-24
17-16
18-24
17-18
25-19
16-22
14-17
19-26
14-18
13-22
23-28
20-30
22-20
22-25
17-33
12-10
19-19
18-25
17-24
21-20
160.3Avg total
75.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.884.5160.3-8.710%
Last 5 (5)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)75.084.0158.9-9.021%
vs Similar (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#10
W
73-58
73
58
+15
no box
H03/04
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 115
H07/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
85avg 115
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
232avg 115
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
75-77
75
77
-2
60avg 115
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
419avg 115
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
67-50
67
50
+17
no box
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 115
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 115
H25/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
24-17
17-15
15-14
11-22
22-23
17-16
17-17
18-17
12-21
21-18
10-21
19-15
27-17
22-27
21-22
15-23
12-19
31-7
17-28
13-19
21-15
25-13
15-22
22-11
20-17
11-11
14-11
20-8
18-16
20-20
15-17
17-19
28-18
22-22
17-13
17-16
23-13
24-23
10-15
142.7Avg total
73.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.769.0142.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)74.463.8138.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.482.8161.1-4.438%
vs Similar (10)79.174.5153.6+4.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.073.5152.5+5.564%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
PistoiaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/09
Lega A
79.2Avg total
39.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.581.9-3.028%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.141.379.4-3.221%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.684.3-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.879.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.079.4-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.242.481.6-3.129%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/04
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/09
Lega A
71.4Avg total
37.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.176.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.836.175.9+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.838.578.3+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.871.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.470.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.139.479.5+0.850%-
vs Similar (10)38.534.873.3+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.737.678.4+3.173%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.717.7
44.6%
52.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.8
33.3%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.0
72.4%
73.6%16.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.1
50.7%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
73.6%14.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLWLLL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWLWLLW
#16
League position
#1
-11.5
Net rating
+1.7
96.9
Offensive rating
104.5
108.4
Defensive rating
102.8
46.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
30.5%
52.5%
Assist %
57.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 104.5Defence108.4 · 102.8Shooting46.6% · 49.1%3-point %33.3% · 30.5%Ball care18.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.5% · 29.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/04/19Virtus Bologna v Pistoia67-78
16/12/18Pistoia v Virtus Bologna71-81
29/04/18Pistoia v Virtus Bologna61-74
02/01/18Virtus Bologna v Pistoia75-67
10/04/16Pistoia v Virtus Bologna88-76
20/12/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia76-72
01/03/15Virtus Bologna v Pistoia90-67
09/11/14Pistoia v Virtus Bologna72-73
04/05/14Virtus Bologna v Pistoia70-77
04/01/14Pistoia v Virtus Bologna80-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/19ATrento75-88
12/05/19HAvellino73-88
05/05/19AVarese70-98
27/04/19HCantu74-84
20/04/19ATrento73-82
14/04/19HTorino78-81
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
24/03/19HReggiana76-80
17/03/19HSassari82-90 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/19HVirtus Roma74-67
12/05/19HVarese84-72
05/05/19HTenerife73-61
03/05/19HBamberg67-50
28/04/19HTrento74-69
24/04/19ABrescia75-77
20/04/19AReggiana89-81
14/04/19HBrindisi61-77
07/04/19HPistoia67-78
03/04/19HNanterre73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari220100%86.565.5+21.0
2 Trento220100%86.075.5+10.5
3 Brescia220100%81.573.5+8.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna110100%80.072.0+8.0
5 Virtus Bologna110100%74.067.0+7.0
6 Cantu110100%69.064.0+5.0
7 Venezia110100%78.073.0+5.0
8 Brindisi21150%75.566.0+9.5
9 Olimpia Milano21150%70.063.0+7.0
10 Trieste1010%73.078.0-5.0
11 Reggiana2020%79.087.0-8.0
12 Pistoia1010%75.088.0-13.0
13 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
14 Virtus Roma2020%65.080.5-15.5
15 Treviso1010%53.075.0-22.0
16 Varese1010%52.074.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1218232578
Virtus Bologna1824202688
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