Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Sep 2019

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 88-75

19-19 25-18 24-17 20-21

Position#8

Record-

FormWLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Trento 🏆

Pistoia

Position#16

Record-

FormLLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Lega ARound 1

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Trento v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trento

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTrento

Date

Competition

Trieste

#10

82-75

no box

H17/03

Lega A

Sassari

70-88

-18

57avg 107

A24/03

Lega A

Torino

#13

95-87

86avg 107

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

84-80

295avg 107

A07/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

81-76

68avg 107

H14/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

82-73

no box

H20/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#11

69-74

-5

154avg 107

A28/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-79 OT

-2

no box

H05/05

Lega A

Brindisi

81-76

no box

A12/05

Lega A

Venezia

57-67

-10

40avg 107

A19/05

Lega A

26-25

14-14

21-27

21-9

16-21

14-21

15-20

25-26

22-19

23-24

20-27

30-17

22-16

22-19

19-24

21-21

14-20

21-21

19-23

27-12

24-21

16-17

24-18

18-17

19-13

15-21

13-25

22-15

11-27

19-16

17-6

19-17

19-20

19-21

22-19

21-16

23-11

8-17

11-22

15-17

155.3Avg total

77.8Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	77.8	77.5	155.3	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	73.8	147.0	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	78.2	80.7	158.9	-2.5	54%
vs Similar (13)	81.1	78.5	159.6	+2.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	79.5	71.0	150.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPistoia

Date

Competition

Cremona

80-90

-10

81avg 101

A10/03

Lega A

Sassari

82-90 OT

-8

no box

H17/03

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

76-80

-4

70avg 101

H24/03

Lega A

Brescia

#12

79-87

-8

68avg 101

A31/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#11

78-67

+11

71avg 101

A07/04

Lega A

Torino

#13

78-81

-3

67avg 101

H14/04

Lega A

Trento

73-82

-9

no box

A20/04

Lega A

Cantu

74-84

-10

200avg 101

H27/04

Lega A

Varese

70-98

-28

57avg 101

A05/05

Lega A

Avellino

73-88

-15

54avg 101

H12/05

Lega A

26-23

19-29

21-17

14-21

23-21

23-18

13-17

19-22

17-22

22-18

24-23

13-17

27-16

13-22

21-24

18-25

22-11

23-22

16-17

17-17

14-18

23-20

20-20

21-23

21-24

17-16

18-24

17-18

25-19

16-22

14-17

19-26

14-18

13-22

23-28

20-30

22-20

22-25

17-33

12-10

161.0Avg total

76.3Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.3	84.7	161.0	-8.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	86.6	160.2	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	75.0	83.8	158.8	-8.9	21%
vs Similar (2)	77.0	82.0	159.0	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TrentoPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.1	39.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.6	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	19.1	40.2	+2.1	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.2	21.2	40.5	-2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	21.1	41.2	-1.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.5	41.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	20.0	20.9	41.0	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	19.2	37.6	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	21.4	40.6	-2.1	37%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.5	18.5	43.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trieste

#10

40-39

H17/03

Lega A

Sassari

30-42

-12

A24/03

Lega A

Torino

#13

45-43

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

44-35

A07/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

35-41

-6

H14/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

40-38

H20/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#11

34-34

A28/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-43

-13

H05/05

Lega A

Brindisi

38-41

-3

A12/05

Lega A

Venezia

31-28

A19/05

Lega A

75.1Avg total

36.7Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.3	77.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	37.9	76.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.8	71.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.6	37.7	75.3	-0.1	62%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.2	39.1	81.2	+3.1	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	38.2	37.5	75.8	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

45-52

-7

A10/03

Lega A

Sassari

46-39

H17/03

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

39-40

-1

H24/03

Lega A

Brescia

#12

40-38

A31/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#11

45-33

+12

A07/04

Lega A

Torino

#13

37-38

-1

H14/04

Lega A

Trento

38-40

-2

A20/04

Lega A

Cantu

41-41

H27/04

Lega A

Varese

27-40

-13

A05/05

Lega A

Avellino

44-45

-1

H12/05

Lega A

80.8Avg total

40.2Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	42.3	82.0	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	43.3	84.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	39.3	42.3	81.6	-3.0	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	42.5	87.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.2	20.8	37.1	-4.6	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.5	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.4	42.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	16.0	31.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.7	38.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	54%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.5	14.2	35.8	+7.2	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	22.4	41.5	-3.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.9	38.7	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	23.9	44.1	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.3	78.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.5	76.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.1	80.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	37.8	77.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	34.4	70.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.2	40.9	79.1	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.9	39.5	78.4	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	41.2	33.5	74.8	+7.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.2	43.9	81.1	-6.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	41.1	76.9	-5.3	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	46.5	85.0	-7.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	42.9	78.6	-7.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	45.8	82.0	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	37.6	44.2	81.7	-6.6	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	39.5	72.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	22.9	49.0%	52.0%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	6.0	30.0%	35.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	22.3	13.5	60.5%	73.6%	13.5

They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	18.2	46.1%	52.0%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.4	32.6%	35.1%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.8	73.7%	73.6%	16.8

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	19.3	56.9%	52.0%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	7.2	30.3%	35.1%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.3	16.5	81.3%	73.6%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.1	50.0%	52.0%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.9	32.0%	35.1%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.4%	73.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	21.5	49.2%	52.0%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	6.8	31.0%	35.1%	20.3
🏀 Free throws	20.7	13.6	65.9%	73.6%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.4	48.7%	52.0%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.5	33.9%	35.1%	22.4
🏀 Free throws	20.6	13.9	67.7%	73.6%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	19.1	54.7%	52.0%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.2	35.2%	35.1%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.5	77.6%	73.6%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.9	53.9%	52.0%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.6	35.5%	35.1%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.1	75.3%	73.6%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Trento

LWLLWWWWLW

Pistoia

LLLLLWLLLL

League position

#16

+0.8

Net rating

-11.2

102.4

Offensive rating

96.8

101.6

Defensive rating

108.0

47.8%

Effective FG%

47.1%

52.2%

Opp. effective FG%

49.3%

15.4%

Turnover %

19.6%

31.0%

Off. rebound %

25.2%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.37

30.0%

3-point %

32.6%

43.9%

Assist %

52.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Trento ■ Pistoia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Trento wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/19	Trento v Pistoia	82-73
26/12/18	Pistoia v Trento	70-78
22/04/18	Trento v Pistoia	85-70
23/12/17	Pistoia v Trento	79-86
18/03/17	Trento v Pistoia	99-91
20/11/16	Pistoia v Trento	84-78 OT
19/02/16	Pistoia v Trento	74-81
31/01/16	Pistoia v Trento	64-69
18/10/15	Trento v Pistoia	54-74
18/03/15	Pistoia v Trento	86-69

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/19	A	Venezia	57-67
12/05/19	A	Brindisi	81-76
05/05/19	H	Olimpia Milano	77-79 OT
28/04/19	A	Virtus Bologna	69-74
20/04/19	H	Pistoia	82-73
14/04/19	H	Pesaro	81-76
07/04/19	A	Reggiana	84-80
30/03/19	H	Torino	95-87
24/03/19	A	Sassari	70-88
17/03/19	H	Trieste	82-75

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/19	H	Avellino	73-88
05/05/19	A	Varese	70-98
27/04/19	H	Cantu	74-84
20/04/19	A	Trento	73-82
14/04/19	H	Torino	78-81
07/04/19	A	Virtus Bologna	78-67
31/03/19	A	Brescia	79-87
24/03/19	H	Reggiana	76-80
17/03/19	H	Sassari	82-90 OT
10/03/19	A	Cremona	80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Pistoia

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fortitudo Bologna	1	1	0	100%	80.0	72.0	+8.0
2	Pesaro	1	0	1	0%	72.0	80.0	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Trento	19	25	24	20	88
Pistoia	19	18	17	21	75

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Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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