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Poland vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 88-97
15-20 26-25 21-28 26-24
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Poland
vs
Finland 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · Poland v Finland
17 Aug 2025
POLA88
FINL97
20 Aug 2016
POLA71
FINL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 64
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 64
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 64
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 64
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
15-22
27-8
20-19
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
18-19
22-19
13-19
25-25
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
155.8Avg total
75.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.680.2155.8-4.650%
Last 5 (5)71.886.8158.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.386.4160.7-12.128%
vs Similar (8)80.873.5154.2+7.275%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
L
88-98
88
98
-10
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 79
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 79
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 79
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 79
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
31-14
27-27
15-35
22-19
17-28
16-29
20-25
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
13-17
35-18
19-27
23-13
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
169.4Avg total
82.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.886.6169.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.887.6170.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.988.3166.1-10.421%
vs Similar (10)89.380.7170.0+8.680%
vs Weaker (6)85.274.0159.2+11.2100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
PolandFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.676.5-2.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.436.974.3+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)36.541.778.2-5.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.879.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.340.676.9-4.222%-
vs Similar (8)38.137.475.5+0.838%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
87.9Avg total
44.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.983.3+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.185.1+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.781.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.087.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.645.586.1-4.929%-
vs Similar (10)44.336.881.1+7.580%-
vs Weaker (6)43.736.880.5+6.867%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.0
51.0%
55.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
34.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.217.7
76.3%
74.1%17.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.2
52.9%
55.4%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.0
31.2%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.211.8
78.0%
74.1%11.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 17 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
LLWLLLWWWW
Finland
WLLLWLWWLL
-6.9
Net rating
-9.7
103.1
Offensive rating
108.2
110.0
Defensive rating
117.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.0%
3-point %
31.2%
67.1%
Assist %
79.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 108.2Defence110.0 · 117.9Shooting48.9% · 50.0%3-point %31.0% · 31.2%Ball care18.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 32.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Poland   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
2
Finland wins
DateGameScore
03/09/22Finland v Poland89-59
20/08/16Poland v Finland71-80
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
21/11/24HEstonia78-82
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
10/11/22HSwitzerland79-64
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
26/02/24HDenmark89-85
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
02/09/23HVenezuela90-75
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77
29/08/23AGermany75-101
27/08/23AJapan88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Finland
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1526212688
Finland2025282497
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