Portimonense host Esgueira on 14 November 2026 in the LPB, with the Pythia model naming Portimonense the favourite and projecting an 85-81 win; the model assigns a 65% chance of a home win and a 35% chance for the visitors, with a projected total of 165.5 points. Portimonense are 0-6 for the season, averaging 75.7 points scored and 87.8 allowed, while Esgueira are also 0-6, scoring 77.7 and conceding 97.8, both occupying the bottom two spots in the league. Portimonense's home record is 0-3, 79.0 points for and 88.0 against, and their last five games have been all losses, including a 74-84 defeat to CD Povoa on 7 November, a 72-86 loss to Benfica on 31 October, and a 72-74 loss to Vitoria on 24 October. Esgueira's road record is 0-3, 72.7 points for and 101.3 against, with five straight defeats, notably a 78-112 loss to Benfica on 7 November, a 93-104 loss to CA Queluz on 31 October, and a 80-104 loss to Oliveirense on 24 October. The teams have split their two previous meetings, with Esgueira winning the most recent 85-68 encounter on 6 January 2024. The spread is set at -5.0 for Portimonense, with a 49% chance of covering, while the total line of 168.5 carries a 42% probability of an over, and there is a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 75.7 | 87.8 | 163.5 | -12.2 | 0% |
| Season at home (3) | 79.0 | 88.0 | 167.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 72.3 | 87.7 | 160.0 | -15.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.7 | 84.9 | 161.6 | -8.2 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.4 | 87.2 | 161.6 | -12.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 76.2 | 83.1 | 159.3 | -6.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (6) | 73.8 | 74.7 | 148.5 | -0.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 80.5 | 75.8 | 156.3 | +4.7 | 58% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 77.7 | 97.8 | 175.5 | -20.2 | 0% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.7 | 94.3 | 177.0 | -11.7 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 72.7 | 101.3 | 174.0 | -28.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.7 | 97.3 | 173.0 | -21.6 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.4 | 100.6 | 181.0 | -20.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 79.0 | 91.8 | 170.8 | -12.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (6) | 88.3 | 92.8 | 181.2 | -4.5 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 92.0 | 95.2 | 187.2 | -3.2 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.0 | 39.7 | 76.7 | -2.6 | 33% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.3 | 40.2 | 78.5 | -1.8 | 38% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 36.1 | 39.3 | 75.4 | -3.2 | 29% | 18% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 44.3 | 82.2 | -6.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.6 | 46.2 | 81.8 | -10.6 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 37.3 | 43.0 | 80.3 | -5.7 | 25% | 33% |
| vs Similar (6) | 36.5 | 38.5 | 75.0 | -2.0 | 33% | 17% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 37.0 | 36.9 | 73.9 | +0.1 | 42% | 17% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 47.3 | 87.1 | -7.6 | 17% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.3 | 47.2 | 89.5 | -4.9 | 33% | 80% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.2 | 47.5 | 84.7 | -10.3 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.4 | 49.6 | 87.0 | -12.2 | 10% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.0 | 48.8 | 86.8 | -10.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 39.0 | 47.8 | 86.8 | -8.8 | 15% | 70% |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.8 | 46.7 | 87.5 | -5.8 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 42.0 | 46.2 | 88.2 | -4.2 | 25% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 174 | 70.6% | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 93.5 | 80.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 92.5 | 77.1% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 91.5 | 74.1% | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Under 180.5 | 81.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 71.2% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.45 | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Under 175.5 | 73.2% | 1.46 | 1.52 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 94.5 | 82.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 90.5 | 70.8% | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.48 | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Under 185.5 | 88.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 97.5 | 89.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Portimonense under 96.5 | 87.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Lost |
| Portimonense under 98.5 | 90.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Esgueira under 87.5 | 75.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Esgueira +12.5 | 76.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Esgueira +15.5 | 83.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 78.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Esgueira +13.5 | 79.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Esgueira under 86.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Under 190.5 | 92.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Esgueira under 88.5 | 77.9% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Lost |
| Under 183.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Under 195.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Esgueira +20.5 | 91.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Esgueira under 92.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Esgueira under 91.5 | 85.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Lost |
| Esgueira +10.5 | 70.6% | 1.40 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.33 | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Esgueira under 90.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Portimonense +19.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Esgueira +11.5 | 73.6% | 1.32 | 1.37 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Esgueira under 94.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Esgueira under 96.5 | 93.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Portimonense +14.5 | 94.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| Portimonense +9.5 | 88.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 70.5 | 92.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 66.5 | 91.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 68.5 | 87.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Portimonense +4.5 | 77.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 71.5 | 80.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 72.5 | 88.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 90.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 70.5 | 83.4% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Portimonense +2.5 | 71.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 72.5 | 78.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 74.5 | 84.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 76.5 | 79.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Portimonense +3.5 | 74.0% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Esgueira over 74.5 | 71.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 88.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 77.5 | 76.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 84.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Portimonense over 78.5 | 73.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 76.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 81.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 72.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -7.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.3 | 18.6 | 51.1% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.6 | 7.0 | 31.9% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.9 | 14.1 | 71.1% | 14.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.7 | 16.0 | 51.1% | 32.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.5 | 9.8 | 31.9% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.1 | 71.1% | 13.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/01/24 | Esgueira v Portimonense | 85-68 |
| 23/09/23 | Portimonense v Esgueira | 85-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Benfica | 78-112 |
| 31/10/26 | H | CA Queluz | 93-104 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Oliveirense | 80-104 |
| 16/10/26 | H | FC Porto | 91-95 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Sporting CP | 60-88 |
| 03/10/26 | H | CD Povoa | 64-84 |
| 14/05/26 | H | Sporting CP | 73-85 |
| 10/05/26 | A | Sporting CP | 67-109 |
| 25/04/26 | A | FC Porto | 86-85 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Benfica | 65-107 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.7 | 79.0 | 72.3 |
| Allowed / game | 87.8 | 88.0 | 87.7 |
| Point differential | -12.2 | -9.0 | -15.3 |
| Avg total | 163.5 | 167.0 | 160.0 |
| Over 170.25 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.7 | 82.7 | 72.7 |
| Allowed / game | 97.8 | 94.3 | 101.3 |
| Point differential | -20.2 | -11.7 | -28.7 |
| Avg total | 175.5 | 177.0 | 174.0 |
| Over 170.25 | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.6 | 81.6 | +10.0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.5 | 75.5 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.7 | 76.2 | +7.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 76.0 | 72.2 | +3.8 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 92.2 | 90.0 | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 89.2 | 92.2 | -3.0 | |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.1 | 81.1 | +7.0 |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.8 | 75.5 | +6.3 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 68.7 | 83.9 | -15.1 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 86.2 | 89.3 | -3.2 | |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 75.7 | 87.8 | -12.2 |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 77.7 | 97.8 | -20.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense | 41 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 97 |
| 21 | 25 | 14 | 27 | 9 | 96 |
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