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Providence vs Stonehill Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#112
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
vs
Position#327
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Providence v Stonehill
01 Dec 2026
PROV v STON
upcoming
09 Nov 2024
PROV76
STON49
15 Nov 2022
PROV100
STON76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
40-42
51-39
27-48
45-37
34-26
49-30
25-30
33-37
38-25
40-30
34-26
33-27
147.2Avg total
75.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.557.8129.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)76.054.7130.7+21.3100%
Season away (1)58.067.0125.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.5147.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.484.1160.6-7.711%
vs Similar (17)85.283.5168.7+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
37-88
37
88
-51
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
21-32
32-24
45-44
54-33
49-44
30-30
32-32
39-32
42-39
19-23
32-33
47-23
37-33
30-30
33-53
36-34
19-41
21-43
16-45
138.7Avg total
67.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.875.5135.2-15.825%
Season at home (1)84.056.0140.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)51.782.0133.7-30.30%
Last 10 (10)67.471.3138.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)58.071.6129.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)57.876.2134.0-18.317%
vs Similar (17)61.465.4126.8-4.135%
vs Weaker (6)78.371.2149.5+7.250%
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -7.0-7.0
ProvidenceStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H14/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.677.6-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.040.473.4-7.411%-
vs Similar (17)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.524.564.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Curry
#407
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Fordham
#137
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A14/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
33.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.560.9-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.528.663.1+5.958%-
Last 30 away (18)27.631.859.4-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.464.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.661.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.733.861.5-6.217%-
vs Similar (17)28.530.058.5-1.535%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.065.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Providence wins
0
Stonehill wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Providence v Stonehill76-49
15/11/22Providence v Stonehill100-76
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColorado67-53
11/11/26HBryant University78-55
08/11/26ANebraska58-67
03/11/26HMaine Black Bears83-56
12/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-85
11/03/26AButler91-81
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas Tech37-88
10/11/26AColumbia55-75
06/11/26AFordham63-83
03/11/26HCurry84-56
07/03/26AMercyhurst Lakers51-56
05/03/26ALe Moyne81-71
28/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers72-75 OT
27/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)103-77
21/02/26HLe Moyne77-68
20/02/26ANew Haven Chargers51-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.576.058.0
Allowed / game57.854.767.0
Point differential+13.8+21.3-9.0
Avg total129.2130.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stonehill
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game59.884.051.7
Allowed / game75.556.082.0
Point differential-15.8+28.0-30.3
Avg total135.2140.0133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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