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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 79-76
31-13 16-24 19-20 13-19
Position#13
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#16
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game95.4
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
106avg 83
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
79avg 83
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
94-97
94
97
-3
88avg 83
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
93-86
93
86
+7
63avg 83
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 83
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
84-97
84
97
-13
82avg 83
A26/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 83
H28/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 83
A30/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 83
A02/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A04/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
26-36
29-24
20-13
18-16
21-25
26-11
16-14
25-26
22-29
23-22
24-20
23-27
16-16
30-18
24-25
23-33
27-19
18-22
17-19
20-31
25-18
17-28
22-20
24-15
22-28
27-17
14-14
14-31
17-21
22-25
23-17
24-11
14-20
18-14
18-25
23-16
28-25
21-21
17-27
177.0Avg total
88.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.987.0173.9-0.156%
Season at home (2)86.083.5169.5+2.550%
Season away (7)87.188.0175.1-0.957%
Last 10 (10)88.488.6177.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)85.888.2174.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)90.3110.5200.8-20.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)95.393.3188.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (3)87.075.3162.3+11.7100%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
97avg 97
H13/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
84-111
84
111
-27
74avg 97
A15/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
102avg 97
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 97
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
71avg 97
H24/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
88avg 97
H26/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
66avg 97
A28/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
99avg 97
H30/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
79avg 97
A02/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
no box
A04/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
22-24
31-18
16-26
23-32
24-30
18-21
19-28
30-24
36-25
15-23
24-23
24-24
21-23
24-27
17-18
24-30
21-30
23-18
11-19
25-18
17-26
19-19
24-26
18-26
27-27
19-22
13-20
31-14
21-17
25-22
17-23
9-28
24-33
26-23
26-16
23-33
32-26
29-20
18-23
185.9Avg total
90.5Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.595.4185.9-4.940%
Season at home (4)89.288.2177.5+1.050%
Season away (6)91.3100.2191.5-8.833%
Last 10 (10)90.595.4185.9-4.940%
Last 5 (5)90.493.6184.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.796.8178.5-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)96.599.6196.1-3.153%
vs Weaker (9)109.096.0205.0+13.089%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A26/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A30/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A02/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A04/01
CBA
91.2Avg total
43.9Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.350.798.0-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.151.8100.9-2.838%-
Last 30 away (17)45.949.895.7-3.841%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.391.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)48.755.3103.9-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.147.094.1+0.167%-
vs Weaker (3)41.342.383.7-1.033%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A15/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H24/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H26/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A28/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H30/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A02/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A04/01
CBA
99.5Avg total
48.2Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.251.5101.7-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.847.897.6+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)50.554.4104.9-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)48.251.399.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.449.695.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.353.095.3-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)49.753.2102.9-3.527%-
vs Weaker (9)56.247.8104.0+8.478%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.6
35.8%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
73.6%15.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.5
53.9%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
73.6%13.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLWLLWLWL
Xinjiang
WLWLLLLWLW
#13
League position
#16
-3.8
Net rating
-6.9
96.3
Offensive rating
98.4
100.1
Defensive rating
105.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
35.8%
68.6%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 98.4Defence100.1 · 105.3Shooting54.2% · 53.8%3-point %35.8% · 35.8%Ball care17.7% · 15.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangzhou wins
7
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
30/12/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou94-76
16/03/25Guangzhou v Xinjiang80-116
18/01/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou116-97
26/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang71-93
24/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-83
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ATianjin108-106 OT
02/01/26AShanxi Zhongyu74-70
30/12/25AXinjiang76-94
28/12/25HJilin87-74
26/12/25AFujian84-97
23/12/25HGuangdong85-93
21/12/25AJiangsu Dragons93-86
19/12/25AGuangdong94-97
13/12/25ASichuan81-66
31/03/25HJilin102-103
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AFujian111-108 OT
02/01/26AShandong85-100
30/12/25HGuangzhou94-76
28/12/25AZhejiang Chouzhou77-95
26/12/25HBeijing85-89
24/12/25HQingdao79-97
20/12/25AJilin86-92
18/12/25ABeijing Royal Fighters105-95
15/12/25ABeijing84-111
13/12/25HFujian99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %56%50%57%
Points / game86.986.087.1
Allowed / game87.083.588.0
Point differential-0.1+2.5-0.9
Avg total173.9169.5175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%14%
Xinjiang
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game90.589.291.3
Allowed / game95.488.2100.2
Point differential-4.9+1.0-8.8
Avg total185.9177.5191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai119282%93.479.5+13.8
2 Zhejiang Guangsha119282%90.879.5+11.4
3 Guangdong119282%93.590.2+3.3
4 Beijing108280%93.977.0+16.9
5 Qingdao118373%90.082.5+7.5
6 Ningbo Rockets106460%90.886.4+4.4
7 Shandong95456%94.090.1+3.9
8 Guangzhou95456%86.987.0-0.1
9 Shenzhen116555%89.591.3-1.7
10 Shanxi Zhongyu105550%88.285.7+2.5
11 Liaoning105550%82.684.8-2.2
12 Zhejiang Chouzhou115645%87.688.6-1.0
13 Nanjing Tongxi104640%90.292.0-1.8
14 Fujian104640%89.391.2-1.9
15 Xinjiang104640%90.595.4-4.9
16 Jilin104640%82.988.2-5.3
17 Beijing Royal Fighters104640%87.693.0-5.4
18 Tianjin101910%86.393.4-7.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons101910%79.890.7-10.9
20 Sichuan100100%71.395.5-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou3116191379
Xinjiang1324201976
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