PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Randers vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 102-76
34-21 23-23 21-21 24-11
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game81.0
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#11
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game91.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2025-26
Meetings · Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus
30 Dec 2026
RAND v HOLB
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
RAND102
HOLB76
07 Nov 2024
RAND103
HOLB70
17 Sep 2023
RAND104
HOLB53
03 Dec 2022
RAND96
HOLB63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
87-76
87
76
+11
97avg 85
H31/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
62avg 85
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 85
H17/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
67avg 85
A21/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
61avg 85
A28/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
71avg 85
H01/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 85
A05/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 85
A12/05
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
116-87
116
87
+29
128avg 85
H25/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A27/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
27-15
14-18
23-25
23-21
14-17
13-15
18-19
26-22
37-18
26-20
12-24
13-27
23-27
24-19
19-23
22-21
10-19
15-28
23-22
27-22
20-22
11-19
17-15
20-15
13-20
25-22
17-19
22-18
21-13
12-23
28-8
31-20
31-21
26-23
28-23
23-18
26-15
20-17
25-25
164.4Avg total
84.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.081.0186.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)116.087.0203.0+29.0100%
Season away (1)94.075.0169.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.879.6164.4+5.250%
Last 5 (5)88.675.6164.2+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.086.7164.7-8.70%
vs Similar (6)78.286.3164.5-8.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.877.4170.2+15.495%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
66avg 69
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
90avg 69
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
71avg 69
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 69
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 69
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 69
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 69
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 69
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
69avg 69
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
54avg 69
H28/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-31
18-20
22-23
26-19
28-18
22-23
24-16
27-23
17-25
24-14
22-21
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
24-24
26-14
15-14
21-21
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
26-25
31-21
26-18
23-34
19-29
21-23
18-17
23-19
15-23
11-30
19-24
22-18
176.8Avg total
89.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.091.5165.5-17.50%
Season at home (2)74.091.5165.5-17.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.487.4176.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)83.485.4168.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.498.1178.4-17.721%
vs Similar (11)90.585.6176.2+4.955%
vs Weaker (4)77.878.5156.2-0.875%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
RandersHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H17/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A21/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H01/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A12/05
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H25/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A27/09
Basketligaen
84.1Avg total
45.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.986.6+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.241.490.6+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.740.483.1+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.984.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.836.883.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.345.383.7-7.00%-
vs Similar (6)41.744.085.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.039.387.3+8.676%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H28/09
Basketligaen
91.5Avg total
43.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.348.089.3-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.147.989.0-6.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.548.189.6-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.691.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.286.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.751.590.2-12.814%-
vs Similar (11)46.546.793.3-0.255%-
vs Weaker (4)36.838.074.8-1.250%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.5
54.1%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.5
41.3%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.614.7
83.5%
70.1%14.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.3
50.6%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.5
29.4%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws28.820.9
72.6%
70.1%20.9
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWLLLLWLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWWWWLWWL
#4
League position
#11
+6.5
Net rating
+2.7
109.7
Offensive rating
104.3
103.2
Defensive rating
101.6
57.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
23.6%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
41.3%
3-point %
29.4%
61.7%
Assist %
44.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 104.3Defence103.2 · 101.6Shooting57.1% · 48.0%3-point %41.3% · 29.4%Ball care23.6% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Randers   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Randers wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ABMS Herlev94-75
25/09/25HBears Academy116-87
12/05/25AHorsens83-62
05/05/25ASvendborg75-76
01/05/25HSvendborg75-78
28/04/25ASvendborg70-90
21/04/25ASvendborg79-96
17/04/25HSvendborg101-84
10/04/25ABakken Bears68-72
31/03/25HCopenhagen87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HHorsens67-95
23/09/25HVaerlose81-88
03/05/25AAmager106-98
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
16/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack86-73
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT
23/03/25ABears Academy90-83
15/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack100-76
08/03/25AAmager85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.0116.094.0
Allowed / game81.087.075.0
Point differential+24.0+29.0+19.0
Avg total186.0203.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game91.591.5-
Point differential-17.5-17.5-
Avg total165.5165.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved220100%114.578.0+36.5
2 Bakken Bears220100%105.572.5+33.0
3 Randers220100%105.081.0+24.0
4 Horsens330100%91.369.0+22.3
5 Vaerlose110100%88.081.0+7.0
6 Svendborg21150%93.592.5+1.0
7 Copenhagen31233%82.392.7-10.3
8 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%74.091.5-17.5
9 BMS Herlev2020%77.097.0-20.0
10 Amager2020%86.0108.5-22.5
11 Bears Academy1010%87.0116.0-29.0
12 Vejen2020%65.0106.5-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers34232124102
Holbaek-Stenhus2123211176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.