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Randers vs Holbaek-Stenhus Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2026-27
Meetings · Randers v Holbaek-Stenhus
30 Dec 2026
RAND v HOLB
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
RAND102
HOLB76
07 Nov 2024
RAND103
HOLB70
17 Sep 2023
RAND104
HOLB53
03 Dec 2022
RAND96
HOLB63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 90
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 90
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 90
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 90
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 90
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 90
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 90
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
110-80
110
80
+30
109avg 90
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
18-22
31-14
19-23
25-12
25-28
21-18
20-22
18-26
30-16
27-17
17-27
36-20
29-22
21-22
25-15
21-31
24-25
23-19
28-14
23-26
181.6Avg total
95.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Season at home (5)100.280.8181.0+19.480%
Season away (5)91.091.2182.2-0.260%
Last 10 (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)96.283.8180.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.391.9179.2-4.644%
vs Similar (8)91.693.1184.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)100.080.4180.4+19.692%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 71
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 71
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 71
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
88-67
88
67
+21
86avg 71
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
83-97
83
97
-14
71avg 71
A15/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
60avg 71
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
75-105
75
105
-30
60avg 71
H30/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
29-20
20-22
16-22
10-22
21-26
16-12
25-16
18-23
15-14
24-21
21-14
28-18
18-23
24-43
0-0
41-31
11-10
29-14
17-19
11-21
8-29
23-18
29-27
15-31
24-18
19-24
21-19
20-20
18-18
19-17
24-27
17-18
26-17
15-16
19-19
29-22
162.4Avg total
77.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.286.2164.4-8.045%
Season at home (5)83.284.6167.8-1.460%
Season away (6)74.087.5161.5-13.533%
Last 10 (10)77.684.8162.4-7.250%
Last 5 (5)78.880.8159.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.4100.4177.9-23.014%
vs Similar (13)88.884.4173.2+4.454%
vs Weaker (3)75.373.7149.0+1.767%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
RandersHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/11
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
46.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.890.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.242.792.9+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.987.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.889.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.690.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.948.692.4-4.756%-
vs Similar (8)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.338.889.2+11.585%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A15/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/11
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
39.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.785.7-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.844.886.6-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.785.0-4.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.181.1-3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.150.291.3-9.129%-
vs Similar (13)41.641.783.3-0.154%-
vs Weaker (3)38.032.370.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
68.0%18.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.5
51.9%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.911.8
62.4%
68.0%11.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWLWLWWLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLWLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#7
+12.8
Net rating
-9.7
97.8
Offensive rating
86.3
85.1
Defensive rating
96.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
34.3%
65.2%
Assist %
44.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 86.3Defence85.1 · 96.0Shooting55.7% · 51.8%3-point %35.8% · 34.3%Ball care18.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Randers   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Randers wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-84
07/11/26ACopenhagen96-90
30/10/26HGladsaxe110-80
23/10/26AHorsens84-94
18/10/26HBMS Herlev93-71
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCopenhagen89-74
06/11/26AVejen78-80
04/11/26AGladsaxe84-81
30/10/26HBakken Bears75-105
24/10/26AVaerlose68-64
15/10/26AHorsens83-97
10/10/26HBears Academy88-67
01/10/26HBMS Herlev80-77
26/09/26ASvendborg75-86
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game95.6100.291.0
Allowed / game86.080.891.2
Point differential+9.6+19.4-0.2
Avg total181.6181.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game78.283.274.0
Allowed / game86.284.687.5
Point differential-8.0-1.4-13.5
Avg total164.4167.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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