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Randers vs Vaerlose Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game91.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2026-27
Meetings · Randers v Vaerlose
07 Feb 2027
RAND v VAER
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
RAND106
VAER80
21 Sep 2024
RAND106
VAER65
14 Mar 2024
RAND91
VAER84
11 Feb 2024
RAND79
VAER80
08 Oct 2022
RAND79
VAER63
13 Feb 2022
RAND109
VAER92
12 Apr 2021
RAND99
VAER91
05 Apr 2021
RAND105
VAER88
21 Mar 2021
RAND100
VAER94
12 Jan 2021
RAND93
VAER79
29 Dec 2019
RAND95
VAER85
09 Feb 2019
RAND114
VAER85
12 Jan 2015
RAND76
VAER91
07 Dec 2013
RAND122
VAER93
20 Nov 2013
RAND105
VAER63
03 Nov 2012
RAND95
VAER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 89
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 89
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 89
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 89
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 89
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
110-80
110
80
+30
109avg 89
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
18-22
31-14
19-23
25-12
25-28
21-18
20-22
18-26
30-16
27-17
17-27
36-20
29-22
21-22
25-15
21-31
24-25
23-19
28-14
23-26
181.6Avg total
95.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Season at home (5)100.280.8181.0+19.480%
Season away (5)91.091.2182.2-0.260%
Last 10 (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)96.283.8180.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.391.9179.2-4.644%
vs Similar (8)91.693.1184.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)100.080.4180.4+19.692%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 75
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 75
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 75
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 75
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
101avg 75
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
23-25
25-24
17-17
24-23
22-16
8-21
14-27
18-31
16-26
15-24
17-18
11-18
16-25
28-27
16-15
16-19
169.3Avg total
76.8Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.891.2169.0-13.418%
Season at home (5)73.892.2166.0-18.40%
Season away (6)81.290.3171.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)76.892.5169.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.594.8167.4-22.38%
vs Similar (14)86.186.3172.4-0.264%
vs Weaker (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
RandersVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/11
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
46.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.890.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.242.792.9+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.987.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.889.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.690.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.948.692.4-4.756%-
vs Similar (8)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.338.889.2+11.585%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/11
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
37.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.646.084.6-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.045.982.9-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)40.246.186.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.982.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.347.382.6-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.644.184.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker (3)43.349.092.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
68.0%18.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
31.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
68.0%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWLWLWWLW
Vaerlose
LLLWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#11
+12.8
Net rating
-9.7
97.8
Offensive rating
86.1
85.1
Defensive rating
95.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
29.6%
65.2%
Assist %
61.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 86.1Defence85.1 · 95.7Shooting55.7% · 49.9%3-point %35.8% · 29.6%Ball care18.6% · 17.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Randers   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Randers wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Vaerlose v Randers85-89 OT
29/01/26Randers v Vaerlose106-80
18/01/26Vaerlose v Randers73-103
04/12/24Vaerlose v Randers68-79
21/09/24Randers v Vaerlose106-65
04/04/24Vaerlose v Randers87-103
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-84
07/11/26ACopenhagen96-90
30/10/26HGladsaxe110-80
23/10/26AHorsens84-94
18/10/26HBMS Herlev93-71
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBears Academy76-86
08/11/26ASvendborg59-86
04/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved62-95
30/10/26ABMS Herlev107-99 OT
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game95.6100.291.0
Allowed / game86.080.891.2
Point differential+9.6+19.4-0.2
Avg total181.6181.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game77.873.881.2
Allowed / game91.292.290.3
Point differential-13.4-18.4-9.2
Avg total169.0166.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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