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Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 73-103
18-31 19-29 19-28 17-15
Position#6
Record9-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#4
Record13-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game83.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Randers
27 Sep 2026
VAER85
RAND89
18 Jan 2026
VAER73
RAND103
04 Dec 2024
VAER68
RAND79
04 Apr 2024
VAER87
RAND103
07 Nov 2023
VAER85
RAND94
20 Dec 2022
VAER71
RAND85
08 Oct 2021
VAER80
RAND109
08 Apr 2021
VAER106
RAND115
03 Dec 2020
VAER84
RAND103
08 Nov 2019
VAER91
RAND102
23 Nov 2018
VAER83
RAND86
27 Nov 2015
VAER78
RAND87
21 Feb 2015
VAER66
RAND84
03 Nov 2014
VAER66
RAND74
16 Jan 2014
VAER68
RAND94
31 Jan 2013
VAER97
RAND76
11 Nov 2012
VAER111
RAND105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 69
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 69
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 69
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 69
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 69
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 69
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 69
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 69
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 69
H09/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
163.1Avg total
76.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.387.6163.9-11.453%
Season at home (9)77.386.8164.1-9.456%
Season away (8)75.188.6163.8-13.550%
Last 10 (10)76.686.5163.1-9.950%
Last 5 (5)71.293.2164.4-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.595.8167.3-24.313%
vs Similar (14)85.482.5167.9+2.971%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
98-91
98
91
+7
91avg 87
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
89-76
89
76
+13
94avg 87
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 87
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
105avg 87
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 87
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 87
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
64avg 87
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 87
H27/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
107-79
107
79
+28
113avg 87
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
93avg 87
A09/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
24-22
20-26
24-21
21-17
27-22
18-23
23-14
19-16
10-19
16-19
25-19
16-20
33-15
25-23
26-29
24-9
23-25
15-20
24-22
27-13
28-29
23-25
18-24
19-30
19-18
16-24
22-20
31-27
16-16
23-23
27-26
23-18
28-25
23-21
33-15
27-12
26-17
17-25
24-14
173.8Avg total
91.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.283.0177.2+11.276%
Season at home (9)99.082.6181.6+16.489%
Season away (8)88.983.5172.4+5.462%
Last 10 (10)91.382.5173.8+8.880%
Last 5 (5)94.084.4178.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.086.0167.0-5.025%
vs Similar (7)82.785.9168.6-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.379.7174.0+14.589%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
VaerloseRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
36.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.346.385.6-7.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.045.786.7-4.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.646.984.5-9.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.981.6-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.248.682.8-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.950.284.1-16.30%-
vs Similar (14)44.742.487.1+2.471%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A09/01
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
47.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.486.3+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.140.791.8+10.486%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.181.6+1.338%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.286.3+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)48.841.089.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.242.886.0+0.525%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.086.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.538.986.4+8.574%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws25.916.6
64.1%
70.1%16.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.7
55.2%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.2
35.1%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
70.1%18.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLLLLWWWWL
Randers
WWWLWWWLWW
#6
League position
#4
-13.5
Net rating
+7.2
89.0
Offensive rating
111.1
102.5
Defensive rating
103.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
25.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.4%
3-point %
35.1%
57.8%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 111.1Defence102.5 · 103.9Shooting49.2% · 54.0%3-point %30.4% · 35.1%Ball care25.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.44 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Randers wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Vaerlose v Randers68-79
21/09/24Randers v Vaerlose106-65
04/04/24Vaerlose v Randers87-103
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
13/02/22Randers v Vaerlose109-92
08/10/21Vaerlose v Randers80-109
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ABears Academy94-68
04/01/26HBMS Herlev107-79
27/12/25HCopenhagen97-92
18/12/25ABakken Bears76-92
11/12/25HBakken Bears96-91
23/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus86-76
20/11/25HVejen100-87
14/11/25ACopenhagen70-73
06/11/25HHorsens89-76
01/11/25AAmager98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW53%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game76.377.375.1
Allowed / game87.686.888.6
Point differential-11.4-9.4-13.5
Avg total163.9164.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game94.299.088.9
Allowed / game83.082.683.5
Point differential+11.2+16.4+5.4
Avg total177.2181.6172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%105.174.2+30.9
2 Team FOG Naestved1715288%109.185.1+23.9
3 Horsens1814478%87.375.3+12.0
4 Svendborg1713476%94.476.3+18.1
5 Randers1713476%94.283.0+11.2
6 Copenhagen1811761%88.483.2+5.3
7 Vaerlose179853%76.387.6-11.4
8 BMS Herlev1641225%79.893.8-13.9
9 Bears Academy1841422%78.997.6-18.7
10 Vejen1721512%74.392.4-18.1
11 Amager1821611%79.097.7-18.7
12 Holbaek-Stenhus171166%76.194.7-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1819191773
Randers31292815103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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