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Randers vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 106-80
18-23 34-22 25-19 29-16
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#6
Record9-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game88.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2025-26
Meetings · Randers v Vaerlose
07 Feb 2027
RAND v VAER
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
RAND106
VAER80
21 Sep 2024
RAND106
VAER65
14 Mar 2024
RAND91
VAER84
11 Feb 2024
RAND79
VAER80
08 Oct 2022
RAND79
VAER63
13 Feb 2022
RAND109
VAER92
12 Apr 2021
RAND99
VAER91
05 Apr 2021
RAND105
VAER88
21 Mar 2021
RAND100
VAER94
12 Jan 2021
RAND93
VAER79
29 Dec 2019
RAND95
VAER85
09 Feb 2019
RAND114
VAER85
12 Jan 2015
RAND76
VAER91
07 Dec 2013
RAND122
VAER93
20 Nov 2013
RAND105
VAER63
03 Nov 2012
RAND95
VAER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
W
89-76
89
76
+13
94avg 87
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 87
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
105avg 87
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 87
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 87
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
64avg 87
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 87
H27/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
107-79
107
79
+28
113avg 87
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
93avg 87
A09/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
103-73
103
73
+30
no box
A18/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-22
18-23
23-14
19-16
10-19
16-19
25-19
16-20
33-15
25-23
26-29
24-9
23-25
15-20
24-22
27-13
28-29
23-25
18-24
19-30
19-18
16-24
22-20
31-27
16-16
23-23
27-26
23-18
28-25
23-21
33-15
27-12
26-17
17-25
24-14
31-18
29-19
28-19
15-17
172.5Avg total
91.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)94.782.4177.2+12.378%
Season at home (9)99.082.6181.6+16.489%
Season away (9)90.482.3172.8+8.167%
Last 10 (10)91.880.7172.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)95.480.8176.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.086.0167.0-5.025%
vs Similar (7)82.785.9168.6-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.979.7174.6+15.289%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 69
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 69
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 69
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 69
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 69
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 69
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 69
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 69
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
163.7Avg total
76.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.188.5164.6-12.450%
Season at home (10)76.988.4165.3-11.550%
Season away (8)75.188.6163.8-13.550%
Last 10 (10)76.787.0163.7-10.350%
Last 5 (5)71.295.6166.8-24.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.294.3164.5-24.113%
vs Similar (14)85.482.5167.9+2.971%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
RandersVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A09/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A18/01
Basketligaen
86.2Avg total
47.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.240.386.6+5.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.140.791.8+10.486%-
Last 30 away (16)42.040.082.0+2.038%-
Last 10 (10)47.738.586.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.089.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.242.886.0+0.525%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.086.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.938.886.8+9.174%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
83.3Avg total
37.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.046.085.1-7.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.846.687.3-5.844%-
Last 30 away (14)37.145.482.5-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.346.083.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.650.485.0-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.449.783.1-16.30%-
vs Similar (14)44.742.487.1+2.471%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.7
55.2%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.2
35.1%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
70.1%18.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws25.916.6
64.1%
70.1%16.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWWLWWWLW
Vaerlose
LWLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#6
+7.2
Net rating
-13.5
111.1
Offensive rating
89.0
103.9
Defensive rating
102.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
25.1%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.44
35.1%
3-point %
30.4%
66.9%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 89.0Defence103.9 · 102.5Shooting54.0% · 49.2%3-point %35.1% · 30.4%Ball care18.2% · 25.1%Off. rebounds30.8% · 23.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Randers   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Randers wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Vaerlose v Randers73-103
04/12/24Vaerlose v Randers68-79
21/09/24Randers v Vaerlose106-65
04/04/24Vaerlose v Randers87-103
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
13/02/22Randers v Vaerlose109-92
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AVaerlose103-73
09/01/26ABears Academy94-68
04/01/26HBMS Herlev107-79
27/12/25HCopenhagen97-92
18/12/25ABakken Bears76-92
11/12/25HBakken Bears96-91
23/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus86-76
20/11/25HVejen100-87
14/11/25ACopenhagen70-73
06/11/25HHorsens89-76
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game94.799.090.4
Allowed / game82.482.682.3
Point differential+12.3+16.4+8.1
Avg total177.2181.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.176.975.1
Allowed / game88.588.488.6
Point differential-12.4-11.5-13.5
Avg total164.6165.3163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1817194%104.073.4+30.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1715288%109.185.1+23.9
3 Randers1814478%94.782.4+12.3
4 Horsens1814478%87.375.3+12.0
5 Svendborg1713476%94.476.3+18.1
6 Copenhagen1811761%88.483.2+5.3
7 Vaerlose189950%76.188.5-12.4
8 Bears Academy1951426%80.596.9-16.5
9 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
10 Vejen1821611%74.492.2-17.8
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1921711%77.394.5-17.2
12 Amager1921711%79.297.3-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers18342529106
Vaerlose2322191680
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