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Rapla vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-73
26-24 26-15 29-15 19-19
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.0
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game106.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v Keila KK
15 Oct 2024
RAPL100
KEIL73
20 Jan 2024
RAPL86
KEIL94
29 Nov 2022
RAPL67
KEIL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 66
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 66
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
49avg 66
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
48avg 66
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 66
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
40avg 66
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
52avg 66
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 66
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 66
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
23-8
21-26
23-22
10-26
18-34
10-19
13-27
11-27
16-22
20-31
19-30
21-21
10-25
8-26
17-15
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
21-16
10-17
7-13
17-19
8-12
21-8
21-26
18-19
28-18
15-12
26-21
13-15
13-14
18-23
19-17
15-26
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
147.5Avg total
67.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)67.779.8147.5-12.150%
Last 5 (5)71.071.2142.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.779.5149.2-9.843%
vs Similar (5)82.280.6162.8+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.570.2149.8+9.275%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
59-113
59
113
-54
40avg 69
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 69
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
59avg 69
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
52avg 69
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 69
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
38avg 69
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
76avg 69
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
61avg 69
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
78-116
78
116
-38
59avg 69
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
69avg 69
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-31
20-30
13-30
15-22
21-12
29-21
7-21
26-20
16-17
19-22
24-17
18-24
20-22
9-19
21-22
21-16
22-18
24-19
27-20
20-12
11-14
7-13
20-12
15-21
11-13
25-14
20-18
10-21
17-18
9-17
19-27
22-25
15-31
15-23
22-33
26-29
21-18
17-35
19-16
26-27
159.7Avg total
74.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.5106.0186.5-25.50%
Season at home (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
Season away (1)78.0116.0194.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)74.485.3159.7-10.930%
Last 5 (5)72.287.6159.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.895.9173.7-18.20%
vs Similar (9)78.679.4158.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (5)86.679.4166.0+7.280%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
RaplaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
72.7Avg total
33.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.875.1-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.540.777.2-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)34.239.173.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.872.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.269.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.240.273.4-7.019%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.239.580.8+1.875%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
74.6Avg total
33.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.544.483.0-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.644.384.9-3.729%-
Last 30 away (16)36.844.681.3-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.774.6-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.639.268.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.450.187.5-12.66%-
vs Similar (9)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (5)45.438.083.4+7.480%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.2
43.1%
51.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.3
28.9%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.810.6
67.1%
70.6%10.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.814.9
44.1%
51.9%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.9
33.7%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.6%13.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLWWLWLLLW
Keila KK
LLLWLWLLWL
#9
League position
#14
-17.2
Net rating
-14.1
93.8
Offensive rating
95.2
111.0
Defensive rating
109.3
43.2%
Effective FG%
47.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.9%
3-point %
33.7%
61.2%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 95.2Defence111.0 · 109.3Shooting43.2% · 47.1%3-point %28.9% · 33.7%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 19.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rapla wins
1
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Rapla v Keila KK86-94
15/12/23Keila KK v Rapla75-86
13/01/23Keila KK v Rapla71-85
29/11/22Rapla v Keila KK67-59
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AViimsi85-80
11/10/24AValmiera Glass Via65-80
25/05/24HParnu82-66
23/05/24AParnu68-65
21/05/24HParnu55-65
17/05/24AParnu68-59
12/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo56-87
10/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo66-110
08/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
05/05/24ATal Tech81-80
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HBK Ogre83-96
08/10/24AVentspils78-116
02/05/24AParnu67-87
01/05/24HParnu80-79 OT
28/04/24AParnu53-60
26/04/24HParnu93-69
24/04/24AParnu71-79
24/03/24HValmiera Glass Via77-80
20/03/24HTallinna Kalev83-74
17/03/24APrometey59-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.583.078.0
Allowed / game106.096.0116.0
Point differential-25.5-13.0-38.0
Avg total186.5179.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parnu110100%77.053.0+24.0
2 Tal Tech220100%93.089.5+3.5
3 VEF Riga54180%80.667.6+13.0
4 Valmiera Glass Via43175%78.267.0+11.2
5 BK Ogre43175%89.078.0+11.0
6 Rigas Zelli43175%86.082.8+3.2
7 Ventspils32167%92.085.7+6.3
8 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%78.078.0+0.0
9 Rapla21150%75.080.0-5.0
10 BK Liepaja51420%78.485.4-7.0
11 Tartu Ulikool1010%71.074.0-3.0
12 Keila Coolbet2020%81.086.5-5.5
13 Latvijas Universitate4040%68.885.0-16.2
14 Viimsi2020%66.087.0-21.0
15 Keila KK2020%80.5106.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla26262919100
Keila KK2415151973
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