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Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2017
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-94
10-23 22-22 24-24 14-25
Position#2
Record26-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game78.7
Real Madrid
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record25-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - 3rd place
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow
23 Dec 2021
MAD71
CMO65
18 Mar 2021
MAD89
CMO96
29 Nov 2018
MAD88
CMO93
19 Oct 2017
MAD82
CMO69
21 May 2017
MAD70
CMO94
06 Jan 2017
MAD95
CMO85
02 Mar 2016
MAD87
CMO96
20 Mar 2014
MAD93
CMO79
31 Jan 2013
MAD86
CMO78
06 Nov 2008
MAD54
CMO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A26/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A28/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H30/04
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A06/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H11/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A14/05
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A19/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-13
25-16
22-22
19-22
19-22
30-22
12-18
26-17
20-16
24-25
18-23
24-21
21-17
27-20
17-20
23-20
17-15
21-15
18-22
33-13
22-25
20-22
16-20
29-14
22-27
24-16
23-21
20-14
24-18
33-22
18-16
22-13
24-17
22-24
9-23
13-21
21-23
16-19
25-21
165.4Avg total
86.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.778.7164.4+7.074%
Season at home (17)88.377.8166.1+10.588%
Season away (18)83.379.6162.8+3.761%
Last 10 (10)86.678.8165.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)89.479.6169.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.281.3161.6-1.167%
vs Weaker (20)89.580.1169.6+9.575%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H07/04
Euroleague
Minsk
#11
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H10/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#13
W
116-55
116
55
+61
A13/04
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A25/04
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H05/05
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H07/05
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A10/05
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H19/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-22
24-26
19-23
30-20
24-15
29-19
26-20
28-13
27-16
26-16
35-10
26-19
18-21
28-22
26-28
21-20
19-15
29-23
15-24
22-24
21-20
29-26
18-18
29-9
18-14
15-17
15-14
22-16
23-16
25-19
24-23
19-15
25-10
20-25
27-23
18-12
22-21
24-27
14-22
168.5Avg total
92.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.380.3167.6+7.174%
Season at home (18)91.180.4171.5+10.689%
Season away (16)83.180.1163.2+3.156%
Last 10 (10)92.775.8168.5+16.990%
Last 5 (5)86.074.2160.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)89.276.3165.5+12.980%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
Real MadridCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/04
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A06/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A14/05
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/05
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
43.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.881.5+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.679.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)43.340.383.6+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.280.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.083.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.739.277.9-0.644%-
vs Weaker (20)44.938.583.3+6.470%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/04
Euroleague
Minsk
#11
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H10/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#13
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A13/04
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A25/04
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H05/05
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/05
VTB United League
Astana
#10
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/05
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/05
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
45.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.636.482.0+9.283%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.035.881.8+10.294%-
Last 30 away (13)45.137.182.2+8.069%-
Last 10 (10)45.933.379.2+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.475.2+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)45.636.482.0+9.283%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.9
55.0%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.4
38.2%
37.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
75.6%13.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
50.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.6
39.2%
37.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.121.0
83.7%
75.6%21.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWLW
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+6.9
Net rating
+9.8
113.6
Offensive rating
114.3
106.8
Defensive rating
104.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.2%
3-point %
39.2%
62.5%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 114.3Defence106.8 · 104.5Shooting55.9% · 55.5%3-point %38.2% · 39.2%Ball care17.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
06/01/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow95-85
11/11/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid91-90
02/03/16Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow87-96
07/01/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-81
20/03/14Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow93-79
23/01/14CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid85-71
28/03/13CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid81-72
31/01/13Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow86-78 OT
17/12/08CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid78-82
06/11/08Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow54-58
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/17AFenerbahce75-84
14/05/17AMoraBanc Andorra88-86 OT
11/05/17HJoventut Badalona95-70
06/05/17ATecnyconta Zaragoza98-78
04/05/17AManresa91-80
30/04/17HEstudiantes79-72
28/04/17ADarussafaka89-78
26/04/17ADarussafaka88-81
21/04/17HDarussafaka80-84
19/04/17HDarussafaka83-75
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/17HOlympiacos78-82
10/05/17AAstana91-73
07/05/17HAstana94-74
05/05/17HAstana77-54
25/04/17ABaskonia90-88
20/04/17HBaskonia84-82
18/04/17HBaskonia98-90
13/04/17AParma Perm116-55
10/04/17HMinsk109-74
07/04/17HOlympiacos90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %74%88%61%
Points / game85.788.383.3
Allowed / game78.777.879.6
Point differential+7.0+10.5+3.7
Avg total164.4166.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)71% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %74%89%56%
Points / game87.391.183.1
Allowed / game80.380.480.1
Point differential+7.1+10.6+3.1
Avg total167.6171.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3526974%85.778.7+7.0
2 CSKA Moscow3425974%87.380.3+7.1
3 Fenerbahce34221265%76.573.9+2.6
4 Olympiacos36231364%77.873.7+4.0
5 Panathinaikos33191458%76.474.7+1.7
6 Anadolu Efes35191654%82.082.6-0.6
7 Crvena zvezda30161453%73.673.5+0.2
8 Baskonia33171652%82.080.2+1.7
9 Darussafaka34171750%79.179.6-0.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%78.379.7-1.4
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Unics Kazan3082227%76.680.8-4.2
16 Olimpia Milano3082227%80.787.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1022241470
CSKA Moscow2322242594
← all games of the day
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