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Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-93
20-24 21-14 20-29 27-26
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow
23 Dec 2021
MAD71
CMO65
18 Mar 2021
MAD89
CMO96
29 Nov 2018
MAD88
CMO93
19 Oct 2017
MAD82
CMO69
21 May 2017
MAD70
CMO94
06 Jan 2017
MAD95
CMO85
02 Mar 2016
MAD87
CMO96
20 Mar 2014
MAD93
CMO79
31 Jan 2013
MAD86
CMO78
06 Nov 2008
MAD54
CMO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H28/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A02/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
105-107
105
107
-2
H04/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A08/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A11/11
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A25/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-17
28-22
20-19
18-32
25-12
19-24
28-11
26-33
32-26
26-33
21-15
18-15
23-8
25-21
21-22
26-21
20-22
31-20
18-17
19-12
22-23
15-20
23-19
28-18
28-13
23-16
25-24
22-28
25-15
15-14
27-19
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
169.5Avg total
89.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.477.2167.7+13.289%
Season at home (5)92.675.4168.0+17.2100%
Season away (4)87.879.5167.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)89.180.4169.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)84.879.0163.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.286.8174.0+0.460%
vs Weaker (24)90.777.6168.3+13.192%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
108-84
108
84
+24
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
110-76
110
76
+34
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
119-88
119
88
+31
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A23/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
26-26
28-22
26-14
26-23
24-13
35-22
23-26
13-15
18-20
21-9
17-21
25-18
28-28
29-16
28-14
16-21
24-20
23-25
27-19
32-18
18-21
22-22
21-15
30-23
26-17
21-25
16-14
33-24
21-23
39-15
26-26
16-18
21-20
22-22
27-26
21-17
28-18
18-30
25-28
181.3Avg total
97.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.282.9173.1+7.389%
Season at home (4)85.578.0163.5+7.5100%
Season away (5)94.086.8180.8+7.280%
Last 10 (10)97.983.4181.3+14.590%
Last 5 (5)99.286.6185.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)83.092.0175.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (29)94.280.1174.3+14.190%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Real MadridCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H04/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A08/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/11
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
85.6Avg total
45.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.085.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.739.886.5+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)43.240.383.5+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.585.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.842.083.8-0.220%-
vs Weaker (24)46.139.986.0+6.275%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A26/10
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H29/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/11
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/11
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A11/11
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A16/11
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H18/11
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A23/11
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
47.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.640.788.3+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.940.786.6+5.261%-
Last 30 away (12)50.140.790.8+9.475%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.288.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.239.889.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)46.047.093.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (29)47.640.588.1+7.169%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.0
57.5%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.4
38.7%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.9
80.5%
76.7%16.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.2
50.2%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.8
40.7%
37.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
76.7%14.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWWWWLWW
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+11.7
Net rating
+7.5
118.4
Offensive rating
115.3
106.7
Defensive rating
107.8
57.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
40.7%
62.8%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 115.3Defence106.7 · 107.8Shooting57.7% · 54.1%3-point %38.7% · 40.7%Ball care16.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
6
CSKA Moscow wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88
20/11/18HGran Canaria89-76
18/11/18HGipuzkoa104-71
15/11/18HKhimki M.79-74
11/11/18AFuenlabrada95-80
08/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv87-66
04/11/18HMoraBanc Andorra105-107
02/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas90-79
28/10/18HSan Pablo Burgos90-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/18ABuducnost92-93
21/11/18HZalgiris Kaunas99-97 OT
18/11/18HMinsk119-88
16/11/18ABayern93-79
11/11/18ALokomotiv Kuban93-76
08/11/18AOlimpia Milano90-85
04/11/18HSaratov110-76
01/11/18HOlympiacos69-65
29/10/18HParma Perm108-84
26/10/18AGran Canaria106-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game90.492.687.8
Allowed / game77.275.479.5
Point differential+13.2+17.2+8.2
Avg total167.7168.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game90.285.594.0
Allowed / game82.978.086.8
Point differential+7.3+7.5+7.2
Avg total173.1163.5180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid98189%90.477.2+13.2
2 CSKA Moscow98189%90.282.9+7.3
3 Fenerbahce98189%84.977.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes97278%86.481.0+5.4
5 Barcelona96367%81.378.3+3.0
6 Olimpia Milano106460%86.284.2+2.0
7 Panathinaikos95456%81.479.9+1.6
8 Olympiacos95456%79.178.3+0.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%83.383.0+0.3
10 Bayern104640%80.281.5-1.3
11 Baskonia93633%81.281.9-0.7
12 Khimki M.93633%80.681.8-1.2
13 Gran Canaria103730%80.889.9-9.1
14 Buducnost92722%71.780.6-8.9
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%77.281.4-4.2
16 Darussafaka101910%76.689.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2021202788
CSKA Moscow2414292693
← all games of the day
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