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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-75
21-13 23-21 19-16 21-25
Position#3
Record21-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#2
Record26-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals
European cup2016
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
H06/04
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
H14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
W
71-58
71
58
+13
97avg 102
A18/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
109avg 102
A20/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
109avg 102
H25/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
96-57
96
57
+39
no box
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
101-55
101
55
+46
no box
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
19-16
14-15
14-12
20-15
26-13
16-27
24-20
19-23
16-36
24-9
38-24
16-15
12-27
20-8
23-8
22-20
23-23
18-16
17-16
18-17
19-13
15-12
27-19
23-17
20-17
18-14
20-28
25-21
21-16
24-21
23-18
29-6
21-23
23-13
23-15
24-13
18-15
35-11
24-16
154.2Avg total
85.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.273.9150.1+2.464%
Season at home (16)77.472.4149.8+5.075%
Season away (17)75.275.3150.5-0.153%
Last 10 (10)85.269.0154.2+16.2100%
Last 5 (5)90.065.0155.0+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.669.6143.1+4.056%
vs Weaker (19)84.472.8157.2+11.595%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H15/04
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
112avg 117
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
118avg 117
A26/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
117avg 117
A28/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H30/04
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A06/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H11/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
no box
A14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
21-19
17-22
24-21
16-24
20-13
25-16
22-22
19-22
19-22
30-22
12-18
26-17
20-16
24-25
18-23
24-21
21-17
27-20
17-20
23-20
17-15
21-15
18-22
33-13
22-25
20-22
16-20
29-14
22-27
24-16
23-21
20-14
24-18
33-22
18-16
22-13
24-17
22-24
9-23
165.8Avg total
87.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.078.6164.6+7.576%
Season at home (17)88.377.8166.1+10.588%
Season away (17)83.879.3163.1+4.565%
Last 10 (10)87.878.0165.8+9.890%
Last 5 (5)90.277.2167.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.981.0161.9-0.175%
vs Weaker (21)89.180.0169.1+9.276%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/04
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#7
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H14/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A18/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H25/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.3Avg total
40.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.275.7+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.339.678.9-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)37.835.273.0+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.176.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.675.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.637.373.9-0.856%-
vs Weaker (19)39.536.976.5+2.663%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/04
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/04
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A06/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A14/05
ACB
80.8Avg total
44.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.681.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.679.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)43.939.783.6+4.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.180.8+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.235.282.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.238.677.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker (21)44.838.383.1+6.571%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.1
48.7%
50.7%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.4
41.8%
37.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.312.1
74.2%
75.6%12.1
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.1
58.4%
50.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
37.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
75.6%12.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+12.9
108.1
Offensive rating
117.3
102.6
Defensive rating
104.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.8%
3-point %
38.2%
64.3%
Assist %
65.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 117.3Defence102.6 · 104.4Shooting54.9% · 58.0%3-point %41.8% · 38.2%Ball care17.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/17AAnkara Kolejliler101-55
10/05/17AAnadolu Efes96-57
06/05/17HBesiktas93-76
03/05/17ATrabzonspor81-76
25/04/17HPanathinaikos79-61
20/04/17APanathinaikos80-75
18/04/17APanathinaikos71-58
14/04/17HGaziantep97-92
09/04/17ABanvit86-75
06/04/17HBarcelona68-65 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/17AMoraBanc Andorra88-86 OT
11/05/17HJoventut Badalona95-70
06/05/17ATecnyconta Zaragoza98-78
04/05/17AManresa91-80
30/04/17HEstudiantes79-72
28/04/17ADarussafaka89-78
26/04/17ADarussafaka88-81
21/04/17HDarussafaka80-84
19/04/17HDarussafaka83-75
15/04/17HReal Betis87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %64%75%53%
Points / game76.277.475.2
Allowed / game73.972.475.3
Point differential+2.4+5.0-0.1
Avg total150.1149.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)71% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %76%88%65%
Points / game86.088.383.8
Allowed / game78.677.879.3
Point differential+7.5+10.5+4.5
Avg total164.6166.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)71% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3426876%86.078.6+7.5
2 CSKA Moscow3425974%87.380.3+7.1
3 Olympiacos36231364%77.873.7+4.0
4 Fenerbahce33211264%76.273.9+2.4
5 Panathinaikos33191458%76.474.7+1.7
6 Anadolu Efes35191654%82.082.6-0.6
7 Crvena zvezda30161453%73.673.5+0.2
8 Baskonia33171652%82.080.2+1.7
9 Darussafaka34171750%79.179.6-0.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas30141647%78.379.7-1.4
11 Barcelona30121840%71.474.7-3.4
12 Galatasaray30111937%78.282.5-4.3
13 Bamberg30102033%79.981.0-1.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%78.083.6-5.6
15 Unics Kazan3082227%76.680.8-4.2
16 Olimpia Milano3082227%80.787.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2123192184
Real Madrid1321162575
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