PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 105-85
25-23 25-13 26-24 29-25
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game76.1
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Gran Canaria
Spain
Position#7
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.9
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Gran Canaria
05 Oct 2025
MAD81
GKA71
10 Nov 2024
MAD83
GKA77
15 May 2024
MAD105
GKA70
10 Dec 2023
MAD97
GKA71
28 May 2023
MAD95
GKA68
08 Jan 2023
MAD105
GKA85
24 Oct 2021
MAD70
GKA75
31 May 2021
MAD103
GKA79
31 Jan 2021
MAD81
GKA80
09 Dec 2018
MAD87
GKA63
20 Nov 2018
MAD89
GKA76
05 Jun 2018
MAD92
GKA83
03 Jun 2018
MAD88
GKA70
03 Dec 2017
MAD96
GKA72
26 Feb 2017
MAD81
GKA93
13 Dec 2015
MAD85
GKA68
29 May 2015
MAD101
GKA74
05 Oct 2014
MAD70
GKA57
30 Mar 2014
MAD83
GKA74
06 Feb 2014
MAD83
GKA60
13 Jan 2013
MAD90
GKA54
26 Feb 2012
MAD90
GKA72
26 Mar 2011
MAD74
GKA73
10 Feb 2011
MAD78
GKA72
20 Mar 2010
MAD74
GKA73
23 Nov 2008
MAD95
GKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 78
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 78
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 78
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 78
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 78
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 78
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-28
14-20
26-23
23-16
23-19
34-26
23-28
21-22
21-17
12-11
14-14
21-18
14-19
20-19
17-25
16-15
22-16
12-14
30-22
25-22
20-12
25-25
22-14
21-16
21-26
17-16
26-22
28-24
15-35
26-14
17-19
26-28
18-14
13-20
21-25
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
164.9Avg total
85.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.676.1162.6+10.579%
Season at home (7)90.474.6165.0+15.986%
Season away (7)82.777.6160.3+5.171%
Last 10 (10)85.679.3164.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.879.4167.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.880.6166.5+5.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.074.6159.6+10.479%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 74
H26/11
ACB
Trento
#18
L
72-75
72
75
-3
68avg 74
A30/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#12
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 74
A03/12
ACB
Turk Telekom
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
86avg 74
A07/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
68-96
68
96
-28
54avg 74
H11/12
ACB
Buducnost
#11
W
79-71 OT
79
71
+8
no box
H13/12
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
L
85-99
85
99
-14
76avg 74
A17/12
ACB
Hamburg
#16
W
83-76
83
76
+7
82avg 74
A21/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 74
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
82-88
82
88
-6
70avg 74
A03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
29-18
31-24
19-21
22-19
16-15
17-19
17-22
16-20
13-15
22-17
21-24
28-19
27-18
15-27
18-17
9-20
15-33
22-25
22-18
17-17
19-19
12-15
16-13
15-25
24-18
22-31
24-25
25-17
23-20
22-20
13-19
22-25
24-26
25-18
24-20
24-26
23-24
15-16
20-22
166.2Avg total
82.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.378.9160.2+2.457%
Season at home (7)86.084.6170.6+1.471%
Season away (7)76.673.3149.9+3.343%
Last 10 (10)82.383.9166.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.884.6169.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.686.5165.1-7.925%
vs Similar (4)88.084.8172.8+3.275%
vs Weaker (18)83.477.6161.0+5.861%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Real MadridGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
43.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.580.4+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.236.482.7+9.894%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.777.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.883.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.539.982.5+2.673%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.136.179.2+7.074%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H26/11
ACB
Trento
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/11
Eurocup
Bilbao
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A03/12
ACB
Turk Telekom
#3
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A07/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H11/12
ACB
Buducnost
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/12
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
ACB
Hamburg
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H27/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/01
ACB
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.680.6+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.183.9+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.035.876.8+5.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.043.283.2-3.250%-
vs Similar (4)49.243.292.5+6.075%-
vs Weaker (18)41.235.676.7+5.672%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
52.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.4
37.9%
34.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.316.5
74.0%
73.9%16.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.1
56.0%
52.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.7
37.2%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
73.9%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWLWWL
Gran Canaria
LWWLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#7
+10.8
Net rating
-3.6
113.5
Offensive rating
113.1
102.7
Defensive rating
116.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
37.2%
63.3%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 113.1Defence102.7 · 116.7Shooting53.5% · 55.9%3-point %37.9% · 37.2%Ball care17.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
14/05/22Gran Canaria v Real Madrid83-91
24/10/21Real Madrid v Gran Canaria70-75
02/06/21Gran Canaria v Real Madrid75-81
31/05/21Real Madrid v Gran Canaria103-79
31/01/21Real Madrid v Gran Canaria81-80
11/10/20Gran Canaria v Real Madrid65-90
07/04/19Gran Canaria v Real Madrid71-77
08/01/19Gran Canaria v Real Madrid67-75
09/12/18Real Madrid v Gran Canaria87-63
20/11/18Real Madrid v Gran Canaria89-76
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65
02/01/23HBarcelona78-87
29/12/22ABaskonia86-92
27/12/22ABilbao85-80
22/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne92-73
18/12/22ATenerife80-67
15/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas72-81
13/12/22ABayern68-64
11/12/22HManresa103-89
08/12/22HMonaco94-95 OT
Gran Canarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AReal Betis82-88
27/12/22HValencia95-89
21/12/22AHamburg83-76
17/12/22AMurcia85-99
13/12/22HBuducnost79-71 OT
11/12/22HBaskonia68-96
07/12/22ATurk Telekom88-81
03/12/22ABilbao72-76
30/11/22ATrento72-75
26/11/22HManresa99-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game86.690.482.7
Allowed / game76.174.677.6
Point differential+10.5+15.9+5.1
Avg total162.6165.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%86%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL57%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game81.386.076.6
Allowed / game78.984.673.3
Point differential+2.4+1.4+3.3
Avg total160.2170.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1512380%83.773.0+10.7
2 Real Madrid1411379%86.676.1+10.5
3 Baskonia1411379%91.882.3+9.5
4 Unicaja1410471%85.274.2+11.0
5 Tenerife1410471%81.171.2+9.9
6 Joventut Badalona1510567%83.478.9+4.5
7 Gran Canaria148657%81.378.9+2.4
8 Breogan158753%76.976.7+0.2
9 Valencia147750%85.484.4+1.1
10 Bilbao147750%78.578.9-0.4
11 Murcia147750%79.882.3-2.5
12 Obradoiro CAB157847%80.183.1-3.1
13 Basquet Girona1551033%74.480.4-6.0
14 Granada1551033%78.788.2-9.5
15 Basket Zaragoza1431121%76.481.4-5.0
16 Manresa1431121%83.193.2-10.1
17 Real Betis1531220%75.986.1-10.2
18 Fuenlabrada1531220%79.390.4-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid25252629105
Gran Canaria2313242585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.